Your Expert Soccer Predictions for EPL 2018/19

They’re veterans of the Betfair Hub and we’re happy to announce that Football Formlabs are giving their Soccer Predictions for the 2018/19 Premier League season. With one of the most extensive football databases on the market, you can be sure that each and every bet recommendation is backed up by significant statistical evidence.

For those new to The Betfair Hub, Form Labs provided expert analysis on every single game over the 2018 World Cup. You can view their insight here.


What Can You Expect This Season?

Six comprehensive match previews each and every week which will be focusing predominantly on the Big Six. To avoid confusion, that is, Manchester City, Manchester United, Liverpool, Chelsea, Arsenal and Tottenham.

When these teams clash with each other we will replace it with a match preview from the remaining pool of games.

Form Labs will also provide us with matchday content for marquee clashes in the Champions and Europa League when these tournaments kickoff later this year.

If you missed their full 2018/19 Season Preview it’s not too late. It can be viewed here.

Lastly, be sure to check out the Betfair Hub and the Betfair Exchange for up to the minute Premier League and football odds.


Newcastle v Tottenham

August 11th, 9.30pm AEST

Spurs won 2-0 at St. James’ Park on the opening day last term but Newcastle managed some excellent results hosting the top teams thereafter as they beat Man Utd, Arsenal and Chelsea, drew against Liverpool, whilst they were edged out 1-0 by Man City. With that in mind, Spurs look a touch short, particularly with question marks over the fitness of the likes of Lloris, Alderweireld, Vertonghen, Rose, Trippier, Dier, Dembele, Alli and Kane after each were part of sides that made it to the final weekend of the World Cup.

What’s more, Spurs have won only three of 10 opening day away games since 2006/07, losing six of them, and so at the prices we’re looking to take them on. Newcastle have lost only three of 11 opening day home games since 1995/96 and with Rafa Benitez working out how to get results against the top teams last term, we’re backing the Magpies to pick up at least a point.

Betting Strategy

 LAY – Spurs at 2.1


Huddersfield v Chelsea

August 12th, 12am AEST

Huddersfield are many people’s fancy to go down this term and they have a tough assignment to kick things off as they host Chelsea. However, the Terriers proved they were capable of beating the top teams here last term as they beat Utd 2-1. We fancy there could be another upset as they host a Chelsea side likely to be without what are arguably their three best player s in Hazard, Kante and Courtois after each went deep into the World Cup.

Chelsea have a recent history of starting slowly too as they went down 3-2 at home to Burnley last term, only won curtesy of a late winner over West Ham the year before, whilst they drew 2-2 at Stamford Bridge against Swansea on the opening day in 2015/16. They appear on the short side after what’s been a turbulent summer with doubts over the futures of Hazard and Courtois, let alone their participation in this game. Huddersfield look to have spent well in the transfer window having laid out over £40m at the time of writing and we wouldn’t be as down on their chances as others are.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Huddersfield +1 Asian Handicap at 1.96


Wolves v Everton

August 12th, 2.30am AEST

Wolves are widely expected to have a good season after they won the Championship fairly comfortably last term and brought in the likes of Rui Patricio and Joao Moutinho in the transfer window. However, against proven Premier League opposition in Everton, they look on the short side. Marco Silva looks a good appointment after he did better than most could with a dire Hull side and results with Watford only started to suffer after the instability of being linked with a move to pastures new. Meanwhile, he’s been backed substantially in the transfer window with Digne and Richarlison coming in.

Promoted teams have won only five of 30 opening games since 2008/09 and if we only look at opening fixtures against teams that finished in the top half in the season prior, their record in that period is W1-D2-L14. Everton won five of six unbeaten games against promoted teams last term, conceding just once across these, whilst they’ve remarkably lost just one of 24 matches against such sides since 2014/15 and so we’re looking to side with the Toffees.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Everton +0.25 Asian Handicap at 1.93


Liverpool v West Ham

August 12th, 10.30pm AEST

Expectations are high for West Ham after the appointment of Manuel Pellegrini and a busy transfer window that has seen Felipe Anderson, Issa Diop and Andriy Yarmolenko all join the club, whilst Jack Wilshere could prove a shrewd addition on a free transfer. A trip to Anfield on the opening day is about as tough as it gets though and will be a good indicator of where they are as a club.

Liverpool were W12-D7-L0 at Anfield last term and contrary to popular belief were excellent defensively as they kept a clean sheet in 12 of these matches. West Ham did manage to get some positive results at the top teams though as they drew at Chelsea and Spurs whilst they came close to upsetting City before they came from behind to win 2-1. Liverpool haven’t won by more than one goal on the opening day since way back in 1994/95 and so the new-look Hammers ae worth siding with +1.5 on the Asian Handicap.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – West Ham +1.5 Asian Handicap at 2.24


Arsenal v Manchester City

August 13th, 1am AEST

It’s a baptism of fire for Unai Emery as he begins his tenure by hosting champions Man City, who are odds-on to retain their title. For all their struggles last term, the Gunners had an excellent W15-D2-L2 record at the Emirates, though their defeats did come against the Manchester clubs. That was one of 16 away wins for City last term and the Citizens are generally excellent starters, having won their opening game in each of the last seven seasons with a combined score of 20-3.

Arsenal, on the other hand, have won only two of eight opening matches since 2010/11, including home defeats against Liverpool, West Ham and Aston Villa. They have concerns in defence with Kolasinac, Monreal and Koscielny all unlikely to feature and that leaves them short at left back, with it not immediately obvious who could step in. City won 3-0 here last term and whilst they may not be as emphatic in victory here, they look a fair price to kick off the campaign with a win.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Man City Win at 2.02


Manchester United v Leicester

August 11th, 5am AEST

United enter the season under a cloud following some strange comments from Mourinho in pre-season but they have a relatively straightforward assignment to start the season as they host a Mahrez-less Leicester. The Red Devils had an excellent home record last term as they won 15 of their 19 games (W15-D2-L2), including each of their first five without conceding.

Indeed, one of those was a 2-0 win over Leicester themselves and we could envisage something similar here. The Foxes have picked up only two points from 12 trips to top-six opponents since 2016/17, conceding more than twice in half of these matches. Jamie Vardy and Harry Maguire are unlikely to feature having only returned to training this week and so they may well struggle to challenge the Utd back line. We like both the win to nil and Utd -1 on the Asian Handicap but with Leicester managing to net in eight of those 12 trips to the Big Six, we’ll opt for the latter.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Man Utd -1 Asian Handicap at 1.86

 


Extra Betting Resources

If you’re looking to improve your Soccer Betting, we recommend checking out the following resources as well:


EPL Futures Markets

Winner

Top Goal Scorer

To be Relegated


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