Shortlist: Saturday 10th February 2018 – Newbury

Read Paul Nicholls Exclusively At Betfair Novices’ Hurdle (3) 2m69y – 12:15am

Timeform Ratings of Previous Winners: 131 150 156 149 140 (Avg 145)

Betting Forecast

$2.75 Whatswrongwithyou, $4 Air Navigator, $6 Rockpoint, $11 Grapevine, $13 Nelson’s Touch, $23 Another Crick, $41 Hardness, $67 Filemon, $67 Skinflint, $151 The Premier Celtic

Analyst’s Verdict

A good race of its type to kick-off with. Air Navigator’s bumper form reads well and he rates a very useful prospect for jumping, so earns a narrow vote over impressive C&D winner Whatswrongwithyou. Rockpoint is going the right way and looks the pick of the remainder.

Betfair Cash Out Handicap Hurdle (2) 3m52y – 12:50am

Betting Forecast

$5 Barters Hill, $6 Lough Derg Farmer, $6.5 King Uther, $7 Bastien, $8 The Eaglehaslanded, $9 Talkischeap, $11 Book of Gold, $15 Indian Stream

Analyst’s Verdict

Barters Hill needs to prove all his ability remains intact having not been seen since pulling up over fences at Cheltenham during late 2016. However, he’s a tough, admirable sort who arrives potentially well treated judged on his useful hurdles form and could be worth chancing with his yard firmly amongst the winners. Low-mileage pair Lough Derg Farmer and Talkischeap head up the dangers.

Betfair Denman Chase (Grade 2) (1) 2m7f86y 1:25am

Timeform Ratings of Previous Winners: 183 176 180 173 170 (Avg 176)

Betting Forecast

$1.8 Native River, $3.5 Cloudy Dream, $5.5 Saphir du Rheu

Analyst’s Verdict

Native River and Saphir du Rheu are the form picks, with preference for the former. Both have missed the first part of the season but, whereas Saphir du Rheu has an injury to bounce back from, Native River has intentionally been kept fresh with the Cheltenham Gold Cup in mind. Cloudy Dream may prove better over shorter but does have the advantage of race fitness.

Betfair Exchange Chase (Game Spirit) (Grade 2) (1) 2m92y 2:00am

Timeform Ratings of Previous Winners: 173 166 169 176 183 (Avg 173)

Betting Forecast

$1.44 Altior, $3 Politologue, $41 Valdez

Analyst’s Verdict

A race which to a large degree revolves around whether Altior is as good as he was on his first start for 9 months/since a wind operation. If he is he’ll likely have too much for Politologue, but Paul Nicholls’ charge has developed into a high-class chaser this term so Altior will need to be somewhere near the top of his game to stretch his unbeaten chase record to 7.

Betfair Hurdle (Handicap) (Grade 3) (1) 2m69y 2:35am

Betting Forecast

$12 Irish Roe, $13 Jenkins, $15 Kayf Grace, $15 Lalor, $17 Bleu Et Rouge, $17 Knocknanuss, $17 Lough Derg Spirit, $17 Silver Streak, $19 High Bridge, $19 Kalashnikov, $19 Verdana Blue, $21 Waterlord, $26 Poppy Kay, $29 Charli Parcs, $29 Coeur Blimey, $29 Misterton, $29 Spiritofthegames, $29 William H Bonney, $41 Moon Racer, $41 Project Bluebook, $51 Divin Bere, $51 Nietzsche, $67 Remiluc, $67 Zalvados

Analyst’s Verdict

Invariably one of the hottest handicaps of the season. Irish Roe looks well-in on the back of her excellent second in a Doncaster Grade 2 a fortnight ago and can provide North Yorkshire permit-holder Peter Atkinson with a famous success. Verdana Blue is another strong-travelling mare who should be well suited by this race and heads the many dangers along with Silver Streak and Waterlord.

Betfair Each Way Edge Novices’ Limited Handicap Chase (3) 2m7f86y 3:10am

Betting Forecast

$4.5 Duke des Champs, $5.5 Markov, $5.5 Reigning Supreme, $9.5 Minella Aris, $10 Lovely Job, $13 Ibis du Rheu, $13 Three Ways, $15 Indy Five

Analyst’s Verdict

A cracking-looking handicap that can go to Duke des Champs. The useful hurdler shaped as if retaining all his ability on his first start over fences here in December and seems sure to go well if building on that as expected. Markov should figure again with his yard back in form, while Lovely Job could have more to offer returning from a break.

Best Odds Guaranteed At Betfair Bumper (Standard Open National Hunt Flat) (Listed) (1) 2m69y 3:40am

Timeform Ratings of Previous Winners: 145 134 134 135 138 (Avg 137)

Betting Forecast

$4.5 Good Boy Bobby, $5 Brewin’upastorm, $8 Morning Vicar, $9.5 Moonlighter, $13 Acey Milan, $15 Lechlade Magician, $17 Danny Kirwan, $17 Nestor Park, $19 Pym, $26 Thistle Do Nicely, $41 Woulduadamandeveit, $67 Enrichissant

Analyst’s Verdict

A cracking contest in store, with Brewin’upastorm perhaps the pick of the bunch given the manner in which he accounted for 8 rivals at Hereford last month (had fetched £250,000 prior to that). Good Boy Bobby has just about achieved the most of these, though the likes of Moonlighter and Morning Vicar could be anything.


Betting Strategy

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