Shortlist: Cheltenham Festival 2018 – Day 3

JLT Novices’ Chase (Golden Miller) (Grade 1) (1) 2m3f198y – 12:30AM

Timeform Rating of previous winners: 170 177 189 173 177 (Avg 177)

Betting Forecast

$4 Invitation Only, $5 Terrefort, $8 Modus, $9 Finian’s Oscar, $10 Benatar, $10 Shattered Love, $17 Bigmartre, $23 Kemboy, $23 Snow Falcon, $67 West Approach

Analyst’s Verdict

No stand-out performer in this Grade 1, but Invitation Only’s close-up third in the Flogas Chase appeals as being the best form on offer, and with improvement on the cards too, he can provide Willie Mullins with a fourth success in a row in this race. Terrefort has made a faultless start to life with Nicky Henderson and is feared most, ahead of the mare Shattered Love.

Pertemps Network Final Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) (1) 2m7f213y – 1:10AM

Betting Forecast

$10 Glenloe, $12 Who Dares Wins, $13 Louis’ Vac Pouch, $13 Sort It Out, $15 Delta Work, $17 Forza Milan, $21 A Great View, $21 Boite, $21 Kansas City Chief, $21 Mine Now, $26 Lovenormoney, $26 Protek des Flos, $26 The Mighty Don, $29 others

Analyst’s Verdict

Glenloe was behind the same owner’s A Great View when third at Leopardstown over Christmas but this has presumably been the plan all along and it looks significant that Barry Geraghty sides with him now. The other Gordon Elliott runner Delta Work has plenty going for him too, while Who Dares Wins, the unexposed Forza Milan and Louis’ Vac Pouch look best of the British runners.

Ryanair Chase (Festival Trophy) (Grade 1) (1) 2½m166y – 1:50AM

Timeform Rating of previous winners: 191 176 178 191 180 (Avg 183)

Betting Forecast

$2.38 Un de Sceaux, $4.5 Douvan, $7 Cue Card, $11 Balko des Flos, $13 Cloudy Dream, $19 Frodon, $21 Sub Lieutenant

Analyst’s Verdict

It’s very hard to get away from Un de Sceaux who saw off the reopposing Sub Lieutenant in this last year and has looked every bit as good as ever when winning both starts this term. 2013 winner Cue Card showed he’s still a force to be reckoned with when second in the Ascot Chase and won’t go down without a fight if turning up in similar form, while Cloudy Dream will be suited by the drop in trip.

Sun Bets Stayers’ Hurdle (Grade 1) (1) 2m7f213y – 2:30AM

Timeform Rating of previous winners: 173 177 163 178 172 (Avg 173)

Betting Forecast

$5.5 Sam Spinner, $7 Yanworth, $7.5 Supasundae, $11 Apple’s Jade, $11 Bacardys, $12 Unowhatimeanharry, $13 The New One, $15 L’Ami Serge, $15 Penhill, $19 Wholestone, $41 Augusta Kate, $41 Let’s Dance, $41 Lil Rockerfeller, $41 Old Guard, $41 The Worlds End, $51 Colin’s Sister, $67 Donna’s Diamond

Analyst’s Verdict

Sam Spinner has to be one of the most progressive hurdlers around, showing a tremendous attitude to see off L’Ami Serge in the Long Walk Hurdle, and he could well become the dominant force in this division (6-y-o, after all). Yanworth and Supasundae occupied the first 2 spots in the Liverpool Hurdle in April and perhaps head the opposition, in that order.

Brown Advisory & Merriebelle Stable Plate Handicap Chase (Grade 3) (1) 2½m166 – 3:10AM

Betting Forecast

$10 King’s Socks, $10 Tully East, $11 Movewiththetimes, $13 The Storyteller, $15 Last Goodbye, $17 Romain de Senam, $19 Ballyalton, $23 Drumcliff, $23 Mercian Prince, $26 Go Conquer, $26 Guitar Pete, $26 Oldgrangewood, $26 Pougne Bobbi, $29 King’s Odyssey, $29 Willie Boy, $34 Ballybolley, $41 Midnight Shot, $41 Quite By Chance, $41 Shanahan’s Turn, $41 Traffic Fluide, $41 Village Vic, $51 Splash of Ginge, $51 Ultragold, $67 Viconte du Noyer, $499 Kilcrea Vale, $500 Plaisir d’Amour

Analyst’s Verdict

Tully East did the job well when landing the Close Brothers at this meeting 12 months ago. His preparation has been very similar this time round and, with conditions no problem, Alan Fleming’s charge is taken to deliver the goods once again. Fellow Irish raiders Last Goodbye and The Storyteller are live dangers, while Movewiththetimes enters calculations and King’s Socks is also of interest.

Trull House Stud Mares’ Novices’ Hurdle (Dawn Run) (Grade 2) (1) 2m179y – 3:50AM

Betting Forecast

$1.73 Laurina, $9.5 Maria’s Benefit, $13 Countister, $17 Salsaretta, $21 Cap Soleil, $29 Cut The Mustard, $41 Pietralunga, $51 Angels Antics, $51 High School Days, $51 Spice Girl, $67 Dawn Shadow, $67 Rouergate, $101 Champayne Lady, $126 Ellie Mac

Analyst’s Verdict

Willie Mullins has won both previous runnings of this race and has a strong chance of the hat-trick courtesy of Laurina who looked yet another top-class mare for the stable when barely breaking sweat at Fairyhouse. The likeable frontrunner Maria’s Benefit looks sure make a bold bid, with the shortlist completed by Nicky Henderson’s Countister.

Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Challenge Cup Amateur Riders’ Handicap Chase (2) 3¼m – 4:30AM

Betting Forecast

$8 Squouateur, $9 Mall Dini, $13 Pendra, $15 Band of Blood, $15 Missed Approach, $15 Sugar Baron, $15 The Young Master, $21 Braqueur d’Or, $21 Tintern Theatre, $23 Aubusson, $23 Final Nudge, $23 Wild West Wind, $26 Actinpieces, $29 Captain Buck’s, $29 Millanisi Boy, $34 Arctic Gold, $34 Very First Time, 41 other

Analyst’s Verdict

Mall Dini is yet to break his duck over fences, but he ran very well in this race last year, despite being given plenty to do. He rates a solid proposition in first-time blinkers. However, Pendra, Squouateur and Band of Blood all merit strong consideration.


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