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EXPERT RACING TIPS: ROYAL ASCOT DAY 5

ROYAL ASCOT DAY 5 | OVERVIEW

Rail: movements TBC

Track Conditions: Good to firm
Expected advantage: off speed, middle draws

Into the home straight for the final day of Royal Ascot 2023.

Best Bets

BEST BET

RACE 4 | #8 FREE WIND

SELECTIONS

16. PEARLS AND RUBIES
13. LA GUARIDA
3. GOLDEN MIND
5. LIGHTNING LEO

RORY FLANAGAN’S ANALYSIS

PEARLS AND RUBIES was raw on debut until hitting the final furlong where she came rattling home to win. Now tackles a major step up in distance for a summer 2yo, but looks suited and the stable keep firing in placegetters this week.

LA GUARIDA’s maiden win is stacking up superbly, with 2nd, 3rd and 4th from that race all winning at their next start. If the stand’s side is the place to be, she’s a bet.

GOLDEN MIND improved for better ground last start when getting the maiden out of the way. Another one that is drawn the stand’s side so it’s anybody’s guess where they head.

LIGHTNING LEO beat Sayedaty Sadaty and Quatre Bras on debut at Yarmouth, but all three could take a big step forward and the margin was small that day.

Betting Strategy

Back PEARLS AND RUBIES 3u
Back LA GUARIDA 1.5u
Back SAYEDATY SADATY 0.5u

SELECTIONS

5. COVEY
2. THE ANTARCTIC
7. ENFJAAR
2. HOLLOWAY BOY

RORY FLANAGAN’S ANALYSIS

I think COVEY is going to be a popular bet here as Frankie chases top jockey honours. He’ll attempt to lead them all a merry dance from the front and found plenty at Haydock doing so. John Gosden is on record saying it’s their best chance of the week and he’s already fired in a few winners.

THE ANTARCTIC upped in distance to 1400m is intriguing, his full brother Battaash never fired a shot beyond 1000m, but the recent group 3 win at Naas from the front over 1400m should give some confidence that he will.

ENJFAAR looks well above average, he won by 6L at Chelmsford doing it easily first up. I have reservations about the good to firm ground but he has to be in with a shout here if the favourites pester each other in front.

HOLLOWAY BOY won same day, same distance, same track last year and connections have gone to the well once more hoping to recapture his best form. Drawn the other side to where most of the pace is.

 

Betting Strategy

Back COVEY 3u

SELECTIONS

13. WELLINGTON
16. HIGHFIELD PRINCESS
1. AL SUHAIL
2. ARTORIUS

RORY FLANAGAN’S ANALYSIS

WELLINGTON looks an extremely appealing price here, and if you remove Lucky Sweynesse from the form guide recently his would read: 511212 and he’d likely be a much shorter price. He worked well at Manton the other day and looks in tremendous shape, I can see his price shortening substantially.

HIGHFIELD PRINCESS backs up from the King’s Stand where she was a touch unlucky and may have won the race in the stewards’ room had she finished a shade closer. She’ll be fighting out the finish once more.

AL SUHAIL traded at 1.1 in the run in the Al Quoz in Dubai and this suits him much better with a stiffer test at the finish. However, Charlie Appleby’s in terrible form at stakes level.

ARTORIUS a winning chance if he jumps with the field and gets a pace to aim at. Cannonball might offer that.

Betting Strategy

Back WELLINGTON 2u
Back HIGHFIELD PRINCESS 2u
Back ARTORIUS 2u

SELECTIONS

5. HUKUM
8. FREE WIND
3. DEAUVILLE LEGEND
6. PYLEDRIVER

RORY FLANAGAN’S ANALYSIS

I’ve been keen on HUKUM for this for quite a while and he’s come back with a bang. He travelled smoothly into the race at Sandown when beating Desert Crown, and had a superior turn of foot over a distance probably 400m too short. Without A Fight in Australia has also franked his Dubai form, bolting in at Eagle Farm. He’s beaten Pyledriver in the Coronation Cup and that horse went on to win a King George. It’s easy to see why he’s been well-backed and I expect him to win this in the same fashion as he did first up.

FREE WIND is a quality mare but she’s been bullying fillies and mares grade and now tackles the boys. She’ll need to improve a bit but it’s a definite possibility.

DEAUVILLE LEGEND is back on the scene after his Melbourne Cup campaign and will potentially need the run.

PYLEDRIVER has had some issues but is back on track for the King George. At peak fitness he was well-held by Hukum in the Coronation Cup.

Betting Strategy

Back FREE WIND 4.5u

SELECTIONS

19. TANMAWWY
20. APOLLO ONE
3. CHIPSTEAD
8. ORAZIO

RORY FLANAGAN’S ANALYSIS

Simply putting this in the too hard basket.

17. ZIRYAB
6. CANUTE
12. HAVE SECRET
1. LOCAL DYNASTY

RORY’S SUMMARY

ZIRYAB looks a steadily improving horse and should take more benefit stepping up in trip. I think Frankie Dettori was meant to be booked on this horse but there was a doubt he’d make it into the field so he opted for Knockbrex instead. That could explain the price discrepancy, and I rate the former much higher than front-running latter.
CANUTE might benefit from a staggering amount of pace in this field if not ridden too far forward. Plenty of mad leaders are engaged, and Moore might make a play for the lead himself with the blinkers still on.
HAVE SECRET will be suited by this tempo and drop out the back. Ran a blinder last time and looks still underrated by the handicapper, I think there’s a lot to like about his run a Newbury and Bertinelli ran well earlier this week, with Bold Act also running a stormer. I’d price closer to $9 and instead we’re getting more than double.
The ride cost LOCAL DYNASTY at Chester, three horses overraced and battled for the lead. The one that was allowed to gallop bolted in. He’s likely to fire up once more and in a massive field with a load of pace on it’s not ideal. If i find out they’re going to ride colder, I’ll get involved.

Betting Strategy

Back ZIRYAB 2u
Back HAVE SECRET 1u each way
Back LOCAL DYNASTY 0.5u each way

1. STRATUM
3. DAWN RISING
7. RUN FOR OSCAR
6. GOSHEN

RORY’S SUMMARY

STRATUM has won this race two years in a row and always seems to be set for it. He had a pipe opener when 8th last time and should be ready to go once more. He’s been crunched in betting each year and it’s likely to happen once more.
DAWN RISING finished ahead of Stratum last time out but this is a different ball game now steeply up in trip. If they go slow here I don’t think he’s as suited as Stratum is.
RUN FOR OSCAR was tuned up with a 2400m barrier trial of a race at the Curragh. He won the Cesarewitch with plenty in the tank last year so he will go close if fully fit and ready.
GOSHEN the madman returns to the flat for a spin around Ascot having mixed his form over jumps. He needs some miraculous rain.

Betting Strategy

Back STRATUM 3u

ROYAL ASCOT TIPS 2023

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Royal Ascot is one of the world’s most revered race meetings, held across five days at Ascot Racecourse in the middle of June. With the Queen in attendance, the famous meeting kicks off with three Group 1 races on Tuesday – the Queen Anne Stakes, King’s Stand Stakes and St. James’ Palace Stakes – and concludes on Saturday, when the Platinum Jubilee Stakes brings the Group 1 action to a close. Australian horses have enjoyed great success at the carnival down the years, headlined by Black Caviar’s heartstopping victory in the 2012 Golden Jubilee Stakes. Be sure to head to the Betfair Hub for your Royal Ascot tips.                 

FEATURE RACES

The King’s Stand Stakes, run over five furlongs (1000m) on the opening day of the carnival, has been a very happy hunting ground for Australian sprinters. Choisir blazed a trail, becoming the first Australian-trained horse to win the race in 2003. Four days later, trainer Paul Perry backed up his stable star in the Golden Jubilee Stakes (1200m) and Choisir promptly won again, which led to him being named Europe’s Champion Sprinter for 2003. Choisir’s performance persuaded an increasing number of Australian trainers to send their sprinters to the royal meeting, with Takeover Target (2006), Miss Andretti (2007) and Scenic Blast (2009) subsequently adding their names to the roll call of champions for the King’s Stand Stakes. However, undoubtedly the most famous Australian victory at Royal Ascot came in 2012, when Black Caviar (aka ‘Nelly’) put her unbeaten record on the line in the Golden Jubilee Stakes. Despite an interrupted build-up, Black Caviar seemed to have the race at her mercy at the 200 metre-mark, only for jockey Luke Nolen to drop his hands in the closing which allowed Moonlight Cloud to rapidly close in on her. After an agonising wait for the photo finish judge to deliver his verdict, Black Caviar was declared the winner and, by the narrowest of margins, kept her flawless race record intact. For Royal Ascot racing tips and in-depth analysis, the Betfair Hub is well worth a visit.           

TRACK PROFILE

With a circumference of 2,800m and a long home straight measuring 500m, Ascot Racecourse is renowned as one of the UK’s finest and fairest tracks. There is a deceptively steep incline up the home straight, testing the stamina of horses at the end of races. All races run over 1400m or less are held on the straight course. With every horse generally getting their chance, punters can bet with confidence at Ascot. Our Royal Ascot betting tips are posted on the Betfair Hub every day of the carnival.       

HISTORY

Over its 300-year history, Ascot has become a national institution with the royal meeting forming the centrepiece of Britain’s summer social calendar each June. The racecourse was founded in 1711 by Queen Anne, with the inaugural race meeting staged in August of that year. In 1768, Ascot staged its first four-day meeting although the Royal Ascot as we know it today only began to take shape with the first running of the Ascot Gold Cup in 1807. For tips on the Gold Cup and Royal Ascot best bets, visit the betfair Hub during the royal meeting. 

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