Racing tips and betting strategy for Saturday’s Group 1 Rosehill Guineas are online now. Preview, speed map, race analysis, racing tips & betting strategy for the Group 1 Rosehill Guineas at Rosehill with Dean Evans of Winning Edge Investments.
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Track: Rosehill | Distance: 2000m | Condition: Heavy 8 | Rail Position: +2m | Prizemoney: $600,000
Some rain forecast for Thursday, Friday & Saturday morning. Track could be slow or heavy. Rosehill can play inside favoured even on wet days.
A high quality G1 race won in recent years by topliners including Mo’unga, Castelvecchio, The Autumn Sun, Tarzino, Criterion & Its A Dundeel.
Historical Profiling (last 10 years):
- 3rd up (6), 4th up (2), 6th up (1)
- 14-day break (8), 21-day break (2)
- Settled 3rd-6th (6), 9th-11th (4)
The Hobartville then the Randwick Guineas, coming into this race 3rd up, is the key lead-up profile required to win this race historically.
SPEED MAP RACING TIPS
Average speed here with Profondo, Mediaro, Sword Point & Raging Bull likely to push forward. Converge will be sitting just off the speed midfield, with Forgot You & Anamoe back of midfield. Sinba & Three Wise Men out the back.
ROSEHILL GUINEAS | KEY RUNNERS + RACING TIPS
G1 Sires Produce and G1 Caulfield Guineas winner, who was beaten a nose in the G1 Cox Plate. Won the Hobartville Stakes second up and then a close 2nd in the Randwick Guineas. Key player.
Is by Frankel and trained by Gai so should excel to this trip Won the JJ Atkins G1 comprehensively by 3.3L and his dominant Randwick 964m Aug 20 trial win by 2.8L was outstanding. Then caught a virus and was spelled. Came back this prep, settled back and rattled home to win a Randwick 1000m Jan 24 trial by 3L+2.9, running the 7th quickest last 600m and 2nd quickest last 200m of the day. Was a slashing 3rd at Randwick first up over 1200m against 2 G1 sprinters Paulele & Ranch Hand, only beaten 1L when in the wrong part of the track. Then hit the line well for 3rd in the Hobartville. Won the Randwick Guineas for us last start. Is the one to beat again here.
Won on debut, then 2nd in the Gloaming before a dominant 2L win in the G1 Spring Champion at 3rd start. Caught wide first up and tired. Will need to improve sharply here.
4. Forgot You
Won the G2 Stutt Stakes last prep, then 6th beaten 3L in the Caulfield Guineas before winning the G2 Moonee Valley Vase. Was strongest on the line when got back and flew home for 4th in the CS Hayes first up beaten 3L. Ran +4.9 the last 600m which was the 2nd quickest of the day. Solid 4th in the Australian Guineas. Can figure here.
5. Raging Bull
Ran 6th in the G1 Spring Champion and 4th in the G1 Vic Derby last prep. That Vic Derby run profiles very well for a tough 2000m here. Sat 3 wide no cover first up in the Hobartville and only beaten 5L. Beaten 7L second up when on pace. Should improve up in trip here.
Converge is the one to beat. Anamoe is the key danger. Raging Bull & Forgot You are the knockouts.
TOP 5 SELECTIONS
1 – Converge
2 – Anamoe
3 -Raging Bull
4 – Forgot You
5 – Profondo
ROSEHILL GUINEAS | BETTING STRATEGY
BACK (WIN) — Converge for 1 unit
BACK (WIN) — Anamoe for 0.8 units
BACK (WIN) — Raging Bull for 0.2 units
Units Outlayed: 253.4
Units Returned: 276.3
Profit On Turnover: 9%