Ratings: Warwick Farm, Wednesday 12th April 2017

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Race comments, confidence and ratings across the entire card at Warwick Farm.

Warwick Farm Markets R1 – 8[/vc_column_text][/vc_column][/vc_row][vc_row][vc_column][vc_tta_tabs style=”modern” active_section=”1″][vc_tta_section title=”R1″ tab_id=”1460005795431-95b77940-c13ab48d-5566fa81-a6a1e227-1952091f-827a39ca-f751″][vc_column_text]

R1 | 1200| 12:50pm

2yo race with many unraced horses. Argemone rated very well running second on debut after some nice trials. The horse to beat. Mr Grumpy has been racing very well in the country and wasn’t beaten far at this track three starts ago. There are some interesting un-raced ones here too. Tough race.

Race Confidence: Poor

Runner Name  Rating
1. MR GRUMPY $6.00
5. PIERATA Market
6. SO BIZARRE Market
7. THE MIGHTY FED $11.00
8. ARGEMONE $3.80
9. MY MAGGIE $10.00
10. FURLANA Market
11. LONGMU Market
12. MONOPOLY $20.00
13. ORCHESTRAL LASS $17.00
14. POPULAR Market

 

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R2 | 1300m | 1:25pm

Not much difference between my prices and the early market here. California Archer won very well on debut at Newcastle. Should be improved here and McEvoy takes the ride. There are other chances too. Savvan resumes after a placing in the Ethereal Stakes. Obviously, a horse of potential. So Spirited is racing well and Aviator and On the Spot are both back in class.

Race Confidence: Average

Runner Name  Rating
1. AVIATOR $12.00
2. ON THE SPOT $9.00
3. SAVVAN $4.90
4. CALIFORNIA ARCHER $3.70
6. SO SPIRITED $6.00
7. LADY DANE $8.00

 

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R3 | 1600| 2:05pm

A small field with a number of chances. Octavian Augustus is the top selection. Just beaten in a good rating effort last start. Third up from the Waller camp and McEvoy takes the ride. Stablemate Axiomatic is the next best. Ran nicely at Newcastle first up and open to improvement. Istria is a little difficult to assess. Held up badly last start so can improve. Not much value here early.

Race Confidence: Average

Runner Name  Rating
1. AXIOMATIC $5.10
2. OCTAVIAN AUGUSTUS $4.80
4. OKLAHOMA GIRL $5.80
5. CROSS STITCH $9.00
6. MY FRIEND CHARLIE $11.00
7. POWER LAW $7.90
9. ISTRIA $9.80

 

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R4 | 1400m | 2:40pm

Another small field with limited early value. I don’t have much between four runners at the top of the market. Waller trains two of these main chances. Both are second up. Bowman goes on Miss Balantine and McEvoy onto Champagne Ready. So no great lead there. Speed Hero was very good winning by 2.5 lengths at Kembla Grange last start and Denzil was just beaten by Octavian Augustus last start and has raced well all prep.

Race Confidence: Average

Runner Name  Rating
1. PIRATE BEN $13.00
2. MISS BALLANTINE $4.70
3. SPEED HERO $5.30
4. CHAMPAGNE READY $5.10
5. EXITOZO $15.00
7. NO WHEN TO HOLD EM $9.60
8. DENZIL $6.10

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R5 | 1000m | 3:15pm

Kentucky Miss drops back in class here for Joe Pride and is the horse to beat. First up was down the track behind English in the Challenge Stakes and then went to Flemington when only beaten 2.2 lengths. Third up and this looks her race. Rose of Man is racing very well and should be at peak third up here. She Zar and Hot Hit are also chances.

Race Confidence: Average

Runner Name  Rating
1. KENTUCKY MISS $3.30
3. HOT HIT $5.60
4. ROSE OF MAN $3.80
5. LOVERBOY CHARLIE $11.00
6. SHE ZAR $6.10
7. JOHNNY ROO BOY $111.00

 

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R6 | 1200m | 3:50pm

The Gerald Ryan trained Modha has had a strong rating prep and is on top here. Modha was just beaten last start at this track and there is no reason he can’t repeat that effort. Dagny is an interesting runner. Resumes after winning twice last prep. These runs rate a little below its market price for me. Brulee looks some small value as third selection.

Race Confidence: Average

Runner Name  Rating
1. MODHA $4.10
3. BRULEE $5.50
4. DAGNY $5.00
6. O’REILLY CYRUS $8.00
7. SHELLEY’S GIRL  $17.00
8. EXPRESS POINT $10.00
9. ROUND MOUNTAIN GAL $57.00
10. THE BROWN ONE $11.00

 

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R7 | 1600m | 4:25pm

Stampede is a promising type. Romped in at Goulburn last start and was just beaten first up at this track. Should go straight to the front here and will be hard to hold out. Is very short. Stablemate Broadside looks the hardest to beat. Down in class from first up effort when well supported. Looks an improver here.

Race Confidence: Average

Runner Name  Rating
1. STAMPEDE $3.30
2. XEBEC $16.00
3. BROADSIDE $5.70
4. DUCHESS KATE $22.00
5. VOILIER $10.00
6. ANCIENT HISTORY $8.60
8. SO WILLIE $11.00
9. SOVEREIGNAIRE $14.00
10. LAST TRY WINS $22.00

 

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R8 | 1300m | 5:05pm

Scratchings have completely changed the nature of this race. Brigadoon Rise is left on top. Went well first up when second to Alpen Rose. Should be improved off that run and the heavy suits. Baby Don’t Cry and Jemadar are next best but both seems short in the early market.

Race Confidence: Average

Runner Name  Rating
1. MY GIULIANO $15.00
2. SPY DECODER $10.00
3. BABY DON’T CRY $5.80
4. TIMELESS PRINCE $13.00
7. DOWDSTOWN CHARLIE $17.00
9. BRACES $16.00
10. HILL SPY $16.00
12. JEMADAR $7.00
14.BRIGADOON RISE $6.90
15. HEARTLINGS $10.00
16. ALL BUT GONE $91.00
18. MAGIC DALLAS $60.00

 

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