Randwick, Monday 26th December 2016 – Summer Cup

Current Track Rating: Good 3

Rail: +3m Entire

Weather Forecast: www.bom.gov.au

Sunday 25th – Max 28c. Partly Cloudy.

Monday 26th – Max 31. Sunny.

R6 Summer Cup G3 2000m

Major Players

1. Amovatio: Looks suited fifth up to 2000m despite never being tried at the distance. There’s not a huge amount of speed here which will be another thing is his favour. Another big tick is the unsuitable soft to dry, after a good run on performance in the Group Two Villiers which looks the right form.

2. Red Excitement: Another stepping to 2000m for the first time and will map outside the leader or just off his back.Knockout.

3. Malice: OK win last time in the ATC Cup but Beyond Thankful (since failed) and Iggi Pop (second next start) both ran him to a length which makes me query the form slightly. Has a poor record at Randwick and being from the Godolphin yard and a last start winner he’s likely to start under the odds ($4.00 in early betting). Might struggle for clear running at the top of the straight which is another big concern.

5. Centre Pivot: Went enormous in the Villiers off a 44-day break to be run down in the final 100 metres. This looks his grand final and Blake Shinn takes over from Jay Ford which looks a positive move. He started $3.50 favourite in the Canberra Cup in March and ran a very big race without winning, he looks well in here with 55kg. Strange things happen in small fields so hopefully Shinn doesn’t end up three wide.

7. Foreign Prince: Will have come on significantly from the Festival Stakes when he knocked up badly. Improver but races best with sting out of the track.

Betting Strategy

 LAY (WIN) Malice for 10 units

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