Racing Preview: Wednesday May 3rd, Warrnambool Day Two

Hopefully everyone is well positioned coming into day two and punters are using the ‘sniper approach’ to stay ahead. Not a card I have a lot of confidence in but think the Wangoom is very straight forward.

Warrnambool Race 6 | Galleywood Hurdle | 3200m | 2:10pm

Generally a race that is only won by stars up in the weights, names like Gotta Take Care and Black And Bent. Last year Gingerboy 65kg (Weir) went around close to even money to hold out Arch Fire 68kg (Smerdon).

This year’s race looks billed to be another classic with Arch Fire (Smerdon) against the new comer Renew (Weir). Both look in strong form and should dominate the betting market. It’s a genuine leap in class for Renew but looking at his two recent victories it’s hard to make a case against him.

Insider Suggests

 BACK (WIN) Renew

Warrnambool Race 8 | Wangoom | 1200m | 3:25pm

It is rare to see a runner dropping back from the Weight-For-Age Group 1 All Aged stakes to the time honoured Wangoom Handicap but here Jungle Edge is. Despite no horse winning the Wangoom with anything more than 58.5kg (Second Effort 2013) I feel Jungle Edge is reasonably well weighted. If he’s not over the top, he wins.

Royal Rapture and Ulmann are both capable of an upset, but I would prefer both runners at 1400m on soft ground. Yesterday’s Songs won the race last year and comes into the event 0.5kg lighter with 54.5kg on his back. His final 200m tells me he’s going as good, if not better than this time last year.

Mahuta seems too short for untried on a heavy ground. Not many Flying Spur’s I know love it.

Darren Weir trained Telopea has the class to win and is another that will reveal in the heavy going. She’s the class horse on the minimum capable of upsetting the top weight. She raced very well in Group 1 and 2 company behind Ocean Embers, Don’t Doubt Mamma and Bon Aurum last spring. My only concern is that she may be targeting the Brisbane carnival and will be spotting Jungle Edge a big head start looking at how they settle on the speed map.

Insider Suggests

 BACK (WIN) Jungle Edge

 BACK (WIN) Telopea

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