Racing Preview: Thursday May 4th, Warrnambool Day Three

Cracking Grand Annual and a below par Cup to round out a rock solid Warrnambool Carnival. I’ll return on Friday for a look at the upcoming feature races for the weekend.

Warrnambool Race 3 | Mercedes Benz Handicap | 1400m | 12:25pm

Moss ‘N’ Dale grows another leg on heavy rated tracks and while I have the utmost respect for Plein Ciel I’m confident that the Peter Gelagotis has the right set up ‘third-up to 1400m’ on a heavy track.  He can forward and control this small field from the front with Plein Ciel likely to be back and on the fence which by this stage of the carnival might not be the place to be despite the fence out 4m from the 1300m – 300m mark.

Insider Suggests

 BACK (WIN) Moss ‘N’ Dale

Warrnambool Race 7 | Grand Annual | 5500m | 2:35pm

Extremely tough race to race to assess so won’t going betting with supreme confidence. New Zealander Lucky Tonight did enough at Pakenham to suggest he’s absolute primed to peak here on the heavy rated surface.

The last horse to claim back-to-back Grand Annuals was Al Garhood in 2010 & 2011. Last year’s Grand Annual winner, No Song No Supper had excuses in Oakbank in both races and I’m confident he’ll improve into this race following a trial and 2500m flat race in the past fortnight.

Slowpoke Rodriguez is the up and coming horse but I can’t possibly be with him at $4.00 or less given his lack of experience over the steeples and distance. Looking at his lead up run at Cranbourne there’s no doubt he’s flying.

Insider Suggests

 LAY (WIN) Slowpoke Rodriguez

Warrnambool Race 8 | Warrnambool Cup | 2300m | 3:15pm

There’s two standouts if they can handle the heavy track, but on exposed form it’s a guessing game. Observational deserves to be SP favourite based on his last two wins at Bendigo and Caulfield where we won comfortably in very fast time.

The Improver is High Church who looks primed here and has a similar profile to past winners. He’s also a query on the Heavy rated surface but looking at his first up performance in February 2016 over 1400m behind Bascule on a Soft 5 I’m inclined he can get through a Heavy track over 2350m.

Insider Suggests

 BACK (WIN) High Church

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