Rail +3m and a Good 3. Another warm day with little to no wind and a southerly late. The fence seemed to fall away late in the day Oaks Day so I expect runners to be shifting well off the fence in the straight. Most runners in straight races will spear to the outside fence.

Flemington R7 | G1 Darley Classic WFA| 1200m | 4:10pm 

A very familiar feel to this year’s Darley Classic with many of these having competed against each other multiple times throughout the year.

Everest winner Redzel warrants great respect, winning his last five starts for Team Snowden. The horse has gone to a huge new level and his win over 1000m in the Mumm Stakes last year was impressive. I expect all horses head to the middle to outside part of the straight so with barrier 10 he’s sure to have his admirers.

The horse that appeals from a value perspective is Impending. A huge run behind In her Time a month ago when racing a touch tight weaving between runners. From barrier 17, Bowman had no other option to be negative on that occasion. In the past when drawn favourably he can side midfield. Whilst he’s never seen the straight course he’s drawn some of the major players and looking at Punting Form’s speed map he can find the back of Malaguerra to take him into the race. Punting Form’s Analyst suggests bets on Redzel and Impending which adds to my confidence.

Vince Accardi’s Race Speed Profiles rate Redzel on top ever so slightly with the race shape ultra-important. Tempo and or best ride will be the difference between winning and losing.

Insider Suggests

 BACK (WIN) Impending

Flemington R8 |  G1 Emirates Stakes | 2000m | 4:55pm 

Punting Form’s Feature Race Report highlights a clear pattern of previous winners. The last four have come through the Cox Plate hitting a BM performance of -12.7 or higher.

Winx is in the paddock, Aloisia may have been deadly with a no weight in hindsight and Humidor possibly had this race at his mercy if connections had opted for this race rather than the 3200m of the Melbourne cup!

Folkswood, Gailo Chop and Happy Clapper all ran terrific races in the Cox Plate, and I side with Folkswood to have the most improvement of that trio only third up in his preparation.
Happy Clapper tends to soften up deeper into his preparation and at start six after the toughest run of the trio I’m happy to be against him.

Gailo Chop may not get his own time in front, Cliff’s Edge, It’s Somewhat, Samovare and Odeon all push forward. Despite barrier 15 I’m confident Folkswood can get a cart across from all bar Odeon who is drawn inside, in Barrier 3.

Gingernuts has had a nightmare preparation and been racing only moderate opposition in New Zealand. He’ll be spotting the leading division a big head start but now fourth up to the big Flemington track he appears to be the best of the closers.

Insider Suggests

 BACK (WIN) Folkswood

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