Rail true +6m. Caulfield expected to play slightly to the advantage of leaders. Once again wind will be no issue.


Caulfield R8 | Caulfield Cup G1 | 2000m | 4:30pm 

Punting Form have landed with market favourite Johannes Vermeer “shown the ability to take up a position forward of midfield……showed an ability to build momentum over consecutive 200m splits.” If he can replicate that explosive finish on the back-up I agree he looks hard to beat. I’m not convinced Barrier 2 is a good draw for him I’d prefer further off the fence.

Paul Daily from Ratings2win rates Johannes Vermeer a clear favourite at $3.28. His full preview can be found here. Daniel O’Sullivan has also cleared out the overseas raider in his full preview. Rating it $3.50. This horse will stay hard in the market!

Lloyd Williams has nominated Sir Isaac Newton as the leader (pacemaker) which should replicate the pressure of overseas staying events.

A runner capable of a big spike here is Humidor who was ridden cold in the Turnbull behind Winx. With the addition of Bubble Cheeker and Tongue Tie and rise in trip I’m confident Damien Lane can position him midfield from barrier seven and be in the finish. Weir poured cold water over Humidor’s chances of upsetting Winx in the lead up to the Turnbull Stakes. I read that as the stable using that run as a track gallop.

Two horses that have beaten the handicapper for mine are Bonneval and Abbey Marie. Bonneval has been passed clear from a disputed lameness issue between Racing Victoria Veterinary Stewards and Trainer Murray Baker. Like Humidor, she went around for practice last week in the Caulfield Stakes and with a more aggressive ride and clear passage she could have finished beside Johannes Vermeer. Before being cleared by vets she touched $11 on the Exchange, I think the market will continue to come for her with only 52.5kg on her back.

Jonathan Walsh from the Bookies Bag is against Bonneval. “Opened short for a horse under an injury cloud. She hasn’t drawn particularly well either. At single figure odds I will be taking her on.’

Abbey Marie is some comeback story. Had major issues since her breakthrough win in the Adelaide Oaks last year, but this preparation has come back a new horse. Drops 5.5kgs from her five length defeat in the Caulfield Stakes and now draws Barrier 5 with 2400m a positive. Looks the best roughie in the race at $23.

Insider Suggests 

 BACK (WIN) Humidor

 BACK (WIN) Bonneval

 BACK (WIN) Abbey Marie


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