Rail true and good weather forecast. Caulfield expected to play slightly to the advantage of leaders. Importantly wind will be no issue.

Caulfield R6 | Thousand Guineas G1 | 1600m | 3:15pm 

Alizee dominated her rivals in the G1 Flight Stakes. She won running away from them and was eased down. Punting Form have high confidence and the lack of strong tempo appears to be to her advantage. The small field appeals and I think she starts odds on. Shoals looks the best of the Melbourne Filles, last start fitness gave way. Blinkers on is a big plus for her and I’ll be saving late once the market comes for Alizee. Aloisia was huge fresh, expect her to be the best run with a view to races like the Wakeful and the Oaks.

Insider Suggests 

 BACK (WIN) Alizee

 BACK (WIN) Shoals on the BSP

Caulfield R7 | Caulfield Stakes G1 | 2000m | 3:50pm 

Norm Oke leads the Bookie Bag with an 80% strike rate spanning 10 weeks of the spring season, he nominates Hartnell as his lay of the day. ‘I am just not convinced he’s come up since his freshen off the first up win. He may struggle to recapture his best’. I agree with Norm but now they probably push forward from Barrier 7 which should keep him hard in the market.

Punting Form are against us. They expect Hartnell to map in front of Bonneval with that being enough to turn the tables on the up and coming Kiwi mare. With four internationals Johannes Vermeer, Riven Light, Calderon and The Taj Mahal in the mix, Jon Snow and Inference improvers there’s no way I can step into Hartnell at $3.50 for this.

Timeform rates The Taj Mahal on top of the Internationals and looking at Vince Accardi’s RSPs his strong mid-section data catches my eye.

Insider Suggests 

 LAY (WIN) Hartnell

Caulfield R8 | Caulfield Guineas G1 | 1600m | 4:30pm 

Sydney Colts and Geldings have had a mortgage on this race in recent times winning the last four editions looking at the Punting Form feature race history. Another surprising trend is that three of those four winners have come through the Stan Fox which might surprise some people with prelude expected to provide the most winners.

Kementari has been heavily backed both times this preparation but negative tactics fresh and then a gap between runs has brought him undone. Peak fitness here, a positive position on the map have him top elect from the Punting Form team and I have to agree. To my eye his last furlong he ran out due to needing the run. I expect him to start SP favourite.

Daniel O’Sullivan from The Rating Bureau rates Catchy $3.70 favourite. I have serious concerns with her position on the speed map and I’m not convinced she wants a fast run 1600m. I’ve seen plenty of smart horses miss the boat here and this race looks a gut buster. Jonathan Walsh from the Bookies Bag is against Catchy ‘likely to end up four back the fence with limited room’. Ray Swannie is laying Royal Symphony from a get back position and the gear change appear a ‘desperate move’.

Insider Suggests 

 BACK (WIN) Kementari

 BACK (WIN) Gold Standard

Caulfield R9 | Toorak Handicap G1 | 1600m | 5:10pm 

Deep race. Punting Form nominate two bets with Tom Melbourne and Omei Sword on top. Their full preview can be found here.

No surprise to see Egg Tart come up favourite. Her figures look strong with Vince Accardi’s RSPs in the mid and closing sections. Her fresh effort behind Deploy over 1300m was scintillating. If she can find the back of Mr Sneaky she can run past him like he’s nailed to the fence.

Amazing to see Waller and Hayes/Dabernig with 10 out of the 18 starters here. I’m playing Egg Tart small then leaving the race alone.

Insider Suggests 

 BACK (WIN) Egg Tart

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