With bumper cards at the Gold Coast and Adelaide for feature racing it’s a monster weekend on the quick back up from ‘The Bool’.


Gold Coast Race 4 | GC Bracelet | 1800m | 1:40pm

Candika rates a $3.75 favourite with Ratings2win. Last start she had every possible favour from barrier one and dominated the Princess Stakes to win by over three lengths running away from her rivals. Saturday is a different story after drawing Barrier 16 which means she’ll be posted wide with a big target on her back.

There’s a handful of Sydney fillies here that have genuine claims in the race, Invincibella had minimal luck last time in the JB Carr second up and I can’t see why she won’t roll forward from Barrier 2. Dawn Wall could be a run short but has the class to be in the finish. Savvan and Fallacy come from races that were slow overall but her final 400’s suggest there’s improvement from both up in trip.

Insider Suggests

 LAY (WIN) Candika


Morphettville Race 5 | Queen Of The South Stakes | 1600m | 3:15pm

Amelie’s Star looks extremely well placed here third up dropping back to 1600m in mares company after a big second up run behind Sadaqa in the Long Tan Handicap at Flemington. Despite her trainer Darren Weir suggesting she was a run short she revelled in the heavy going and ran past class mare Real Love comfortably.

Vince Accardi’s RSPs add to my confidence with Amelie’s Star ranking first in the mid and closing sections of the race. She’s shortened from $4.80 into $4.20 in the early market and Barrier 13 is a positive with her run on style.

Punting Form favour Sort After and Lopartega who settle more forward on the map.

Insider Suggests

 BACK (WIN) Amelie’s Star


Gold Coast Race 7 | Hollindale Stakes | 1800m | 3:40pm

Daniel O’Sullivan has rated Doncaster Handicap winner It’s Somewhat $3.00 favourite and clear top pick. Daniel highlights that his previous peak runs have come third-up at 2000m. That indicates the step up to 1800m is a big positive and his front running style should add to our confidence in putting him clear on top.

Single Gaze run to a new career PB on my ratings last start at Doomben. I’m not convinced she can replicate that performance out to 1800m.

Chris Waller has two class runners entered but both look too short in the early market. McCreery is $5.50 and is a winner out to 2000m. He maps close to last which makes me feel he’ll be out for the run only. The other, Preferment who doesn’t go a yard on rain affected ground. He’s had three trials since his flop in the Chipping Norton but has the class to get close here.

Insider Suggests

 BACK (WIN) It’s Somewhat


Morphettville Race 6 | Schweppes Oaks | 2010m | 3:54pm

There looks to be plenty of speed on paper but I’m not convinced that will be the case. The two likely improvers are Kenednawho was snagged back off a wide gate last start, she now starts from Barrier 3 and will sit in the first half of the field. Given her dominance in the Auraria Stakes I find it highly unlikely any of her opposition that day can turn the tables. Punting Form are with her also and have indicated they will be taking a stand against the Waller filly Egg Tart. Egg Tart rises to 2000m and faces a dryer track and looks set to be buried well back on the fence. I expect her to be up against it based on those factors.

The other improver could be Harlow Gold. She pulled up with the thumps in the Oaks at Randwick and her last two starts on rain affected ground look to have dulled her finished. If the track can get to a Good 4 she can track a filly like Toffee Nose into the race off her wide barrier draw.

Insider Suggests

BACK (WIN) Kenedna


Morphettville Race 7 | Robert Sangster | 1200m | 4:34pm

Despite her class I’m not keen to be with English. She comes here fifth up after four starts on heavy tracks (three of them at Randwick) dropping back in distance off three weeks. From Barrier 11 her only option is to go back and be spotting plenty of mares with class and freshness on their side. Punting Form have layed her in their preview and Vince’s RSPs indicate she has no clear edge despite her obvious abundance of class.

Driefontein won this race in 2014 at start eight of her preparation. She did it from the front and started $6.50. I expect English to be very easy from $5.00 in the early market and have rated her double figure odds.

Insider Suggests

 LAY (WIN) English


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