After a mixed bag last week, I turn my attention this weekend to The Winter Carnival which steps up a notch with the Group 1 Doomben 10,000. I have found my best selections from Doomben and also two feature races from Scone on Friday and Saturday.


Race 7 | Scone Cup | 1600m | 3:57pm (FRIDAY)

Fabrizio completed a big form reversal to win the Hawkesbury Cup last start. The race was run in even tempo for early and late sections of the race so it was really served up on a plate for the Waterhouse/Bott trained gelding. The 2016 edition was 4.5 lengths quicker in comparison so with that in mind, I’m not willing to take $5 or less about Fabrizio this time around either. I expect more pressure from further out and the long straight at Scone will allow a few to run him down.

Moher had a dream run behind Fabrizio last start and was entitled to run past him. He’s come up $7 in early betting and I’m putting the pen straight through him.

Pure Pride had no luck at Caulfield over 1400m and Beau Mertens was crucified for the ride. Her sectionals indicate she can bounce hard on the quick back up and with only 53kg she is a big overlay looking at the early market. Jockey Patrick Moloney has more ability than he’s given credit for and would thrive if given more opportunities at better stables.

Last year’s winner Pajaro was the best of the closer’s in the Hawkesbury Cup. Brenton Avdulla replaces Blake Shinn which is no negative and he’ll get every chance from barrier eight. Expect plenty of market support.

Insider Suggests

 BACK (WIN) Pure Pride

 BACK (WIN) Pajaro


Scone Race 5 | Scone Guineas | 1400m | 2:30pm (SATURDAY)

Prized Icon has been heavily supported off a strong trial over 1045m at Randwick defeating Attention.

This looks a really strange move dropping from 2400m to 1400m off a 6 week break. He’s got the best figures over a mile without question and looks set to get across from barrier nine. $4.00 looks rock bottom odds off a freshen with Calanda and Mr Sneakyboth coming into the race with solid form and OK positions in running.

Outside these three chances the race falls away badly. I’ve rated the James Cummings trained colt at $8.00 making him one of the better lays across the feature races for the weekend.

Insider Suggests

 LAY (WIN) Prized Icon


Doomben Race 7 | Doomben 10,000 | 1300m | 3:10pm

Russian Revolution dominates betting and rightly so. He’s the progressive 3yo colt that relishes track with give.

Vince Accardi’s RSPs indicate that he’ll be well equipped to absorb the likely fast tempo of the race. Upstart Pride and Redzelwill tear along in front but both are suspect over 1200m at this level. Redzel won a Group 3 last start over 1200m but the race was served up on plate for him with even tempo early.

Counterattack is a winner at Doomben and looks to be the best value bet. He races best on rain affected ground and maps extremely well.

Insider Suggests

 BACK (WIN) Russian Revolution

 BACK (WIN) Counterattack


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