Common sense prevails and we’re racing on a Good 4 at Doomben. Moonee Valley is back from a break since March. Track manager Marty Synan indicates that despite being rated a Good 4 it could race like a Soft 5, listen to his comments via here.

Doomben Race 4 | PJ O’Shea Stakes | 2200m | 2:00pm

Punting Form side with the class runner Preferment. He doesn’t go a yard on rain affected ground and the tight turning circuit at the Gold Coast insight his cup of tea either. Rising from 1800m to 2200m is perfect. Chris Waller could have won the 2015 Caulfield Cup but went via the Cox Plate in hunt of Melbourne Cup Glory. Taking him to Hong Kong was another error but thankfully he recovered the following autumn.

What I’m trying to say in a long winded manor is that he’s the class stayer amongst a very moderate field that’s been saved for a Good rated surface. Here it is and here he is, with Hugh Bowman in form and starting from the plumb draw of barrier two. He’ll be stalking Single Gaze and unless he’s not 100%, will run straight past her!

Insider Suggests

BACK (WIN) Preferment

Moonee Valley Race 5 | Cafetto Coffee Clean BM84 | 1600m | 2:48pm

An import knocking the door down to breakthrough in Australia is Coldstone from the Mick Kent yard. He’s on the seven day back-up, dropping back in class after a solid third placing to Plein Ciel at Sandown. That form will translate well here and despite drawing barrier 10 it should work to his favour, allowing him clear running. The white hot Beau Mertens takes over from Jake Bayliss and claims 1.5kg, Beau’s winning strike rate is a 13.4% looking at all rides at Moonee Valley over the past 12 months.

Insider Suggests

 BACK (WIN) Coldstone

Doomben Race 6 | Moreton Cup | 1200m | 3:20pm

This looks difficult.

Part of me wishes this race only was at Eagle Farm. We’d be lumping on The Virginian who is in career best form, has matured, rises in trip and handles the shifty Eagle Farm surface which can’t be said for others. Despite being at Doomben, the race sets up well for the Toby Edmonds trained gelding. He’s well in but will Doomben play run on? The inside draw helps but at $6.00 he hasn’t been missed.

Yesterday’s Songs comes out of the fast run ‘Straight Six’ at Flemington. Plenty of southerners have raced well up the straight to perform well at the Brisbane carnival. He maps midfield and can pinch runs along the fence.

Deploy is a progressive runner capable of measuring up here for Tim Clark and Gerald Ryan. He’ll need to produce a career PB to win this but looking at the race profile he’ll sit midfield which could be the best place to be.

I prefer to wait for the pattern to develop to bet. But looking at the early market the error appears to be Yesterday’s Songs, who will race on the fence OK ground with the rail +5m.

Daniel O’Sullivan from The Rating Bureau has previewed the race. He’s singled out two value bets in Dothraki and Yesterday’s Songs.

Insider Suggests

 BACK (WIN) or (BACK-to-LAY) Yesterday’s Songs

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