The forecast for Melbourne is bleak. Possible hail with 2-6mm of rain in the morning/afternoon. The track is a Good 3 with some light rain in the lead up. Expect the track to fall no worse than a Good 4 with a close watch on the forecast hail. Rail will be True.

Flemington R2 | VRC – CRV Cup Tour Trophy Open Hcp 2000m | 12:25

Keen on Sixties Groove who returns on the 7-day back up following a strong second placing against Pacodali who was primed to win at Caulfield.

Sixties Groove raced a touch fresh last week and went for home early looking the winner 300m out. His condition and perhaps a lack of turn of foot his undoing which won’t be the case here with most of this field unlikely to be able to sprint with him from a midfield position for his new rider Craig Williams.

Grand Dreamer appears the obvious danger, has measured up at listed level in the Ballarat Cup and no knock his performance in the Swan Hill cup at his latest start. I feel he needs slow/heavy conditions to show his best which won’t be the case here.

Betting Strategy

 BACK (WIN) Sixties Groove for 4 units

Flemington R9 | Seppelt Wines Vic Sprint Final 1200m | 16:40

Wide open market in early betting here which surprises me a touch. I thought Man From Uncle would be unsuited at 1100m first up with his best racing at 1200-1400m. Off his replay he looked to have needed that run so treating his fresh run as a barrier trial and a good one at that looking at his early position, work between the 800-400m and then how he closed off. Can sit handy to the speed here and will into the leaders Hellova Street and Typhoon Jolie from the 600m mark. $6.00 looks a fair price early.

The forgotten horse is Ability. Complete forgive first up beaten only 5.3 lengths but importantly pulled up with mucus when scoped. With a month between runs, a known carrier of big weights, this event is no harder then his past four starts. Can stalk the leading pack here and launch late.

Respect Divine Quality, but how much improvement is left in her? Just Hifalutin is very progressive, but small query first up and by far her toughest test to date.

Betting Strategy

 BACK (WIN) Man From Uncle for 1 unit

 BACK (WIN) Ability for 1 unit

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