Caulfield Rail +3. The track will stay in the Good 3-4 range with a humid day forecast with 2-8mm. Wary about a pattern early, but think cover will be important with 30-40 km/h winds forecast and a possible switch from a northerly to a southerly

Caulfield R6 | G1 Futurity Stakes 1400m WFA | 3:25pm

Brave Smash looked primed here off an unlucky run last time in the CF Orr. Understand there were plenty in the smash boat as him but as an entire this is the G1 Stallion stamping race for him and looking at his preparation probably the race he’s been set for all along.

Danger appears to be Showtime after a trip away to Sydney and hit the line hard behind Trapeze Artist. That 3yo colt form always seems to measure up against the older horses at WFA level around these distances in Melbourne. Barrier 10 is a little query, where does it land on the map?

Insider Suggests

 BACK (WIN) Brave Smash for 3 units

 BACK (WIN) Showtime for 1 unit

Caulfield R7 | G1 Blue Diamond 1200m SW | 4:05pm

Deep race of 2yo’s with $7.00 available for the field. I expect Long Leaf to start the BSP favourite for Kerrin McEvoy and David Hayes. Despite not riding like he has in Sydney in recent time, Kerrin’s fortunes can change quickly.

Long Leaf maps perfectly from Barrier 7 and there’s plenty of speed drawn wide so I can easily see a horse like Ennis Hill box seating from four or even being forced to the fence. Long Leaf has tactical speed with a strong finishing burst and races professionally.

Prairie Fire was the best of the closer behind Ennis Hill in the Chairman’s Stakes his win at Flemington was full of merit. Looks a talented Colt and obviously thriving for a trainer like Mick Price to be confident enough to race him on the seven day back up. Three of the last five winners of the Magic Millions 2yo have been on the ‘bounce’, the race profile looking at Punting Form’s feature race reports have X . Mark Zahra rides Caulfield as good as anyone and he’ll shorten in betting from $11 on the exchange.

Encryption has been targeted at this event for a while and shares the Ennis Hill form line. No knock it’s lead up but Barrier 15 could be a negative with Damien Lane needing his best ride to win from that draw and the marking might be risking him on that factor alone. It’s worth noting he did SP favourite in the lead up.

Qafila might be the forgotten runner with Blue Diamond ‘Specialist’ Dwayne Dunn on board. Comes here first up but hearing that she’s only small so perhaps the stable believes there’s only one good race in her. Both starts to date have been moderately run affairs, but we’ve seen a nice finishing burst. I’d be finding the back of Encryption if I were Dunn.

Insider Suggests

 BACK (WIN) Long Leaf for 1 unit

 BACK (WIN) Prairie Fire for 1 unit

 BACK (WIN) Qafila for 0.5 unit

Caulfield R8 | G1 Oakleigh Plate 1100m Hcp | 4:45pm

Another tough contest to dissect with a dozen live chances. Marked Catchy shorter than $10 on The Exchange. She bottomed out at the last run in both preparations to date. Loves the track and distance, drawn midfield and can sit midfield too unleash a big sprint off a hot tempo.

The knockout appears to be Glenall at $26 for Team Hawkes. Comes here fresh off 83 days and 1100m specialist.  Has proven he can absorb early pressure and sprint hard. Perhaps buried three back the fence but if a split appears can pinch this.

Insider Suggests

 BACK (WIN) Catchy for 1.5 Units

 BACK (WIN) Glenall for 0.5 Unit

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