Racing Preview: Saturday 17th February 2018

Flemington Rail True. Track will be in the Good range and expecting the fence to be inferior ground. Look for horses 3-6 wide in the straight and off fence in run.


Flemington R7 | G3 CS Hayes 1400m SWP | 4:00pm

Peaceful State. Huge win against the pattern fresh at Sandown in a BM70 that had depth. Stable indicated there’s improvement to come with this runner but he’s raw, with plenty of upside. Flemington is a big positive with his racing pattern of ‘get back and run on’. Would prefer a wider draw than Barrier 3 with the rail likely to be a no go zone. The other issue is Team Weir going soft on him here for a big spike in the Australian Guineas. Either way he looks the real deal and will be hard to beat if he’s there to win.

Cliff’s Edge was tough fresh but that run may have been a redline performance. Set for 1600-2000m this preparation so may sprout and be further improved third up.

Insider Suggests

 BACK (WIN) Peaceful State for 1 unit


Flemington R8 | G1 Black Caviar Lightning 1000m WFA | 4:45pm

Hard to make a compelling case against Redzel who is shooting for seven consecutive wins. Has won up the straight twice including a win over 1000m. WFA is the perfect scenario and despite a below par week at Caulfield, Kerrin McEvoy is still riding as well as anyone. He’s well found in the market at $1.90 and I expect him to drift closer to $2.20 at off (BSP).

Hey Doc looks the standout improver. Finally set for a spring campaign, already a Group 1 winner and handled the straight in good style in the Aurie’s Star handicap with 59kg. Loved the run five starts back in the Goodwood Handicap with 0.5kg more than Vega Magic. He was at the end of his preparation dropping from 1600m to 1200m. The only query is that he may be better in a sit sprint rather than a race with excessive early pressure which this could well be.

Insider Suggests

 BACK (WIN) Redzel for 2 Units (BSP)

 BACK (WIN) Hey Doc for 1 Unit


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