Racing Preview: Moonee Valley & Caulfield

Moonee Valley should race Good 4, the rail is out 4m with a view from Track Manager Martin Synan to preserve the track for Manikato and Cox Plate day so both meetings are contest in the True position. Caulfield will race Good 3, track playing fairly within wind no factor.

Moonee Valley R7 | Moir Stakes | 1000m | 3:35pm 

What a stunning line up in the Moir. Punting Form side with She Will Reign the 3yo who is at the base camp of Everest here against a capacity field of Weight-For-Age sprinters who could push this race into the track record zone.

She Will Reign won the Slipper in stunning fashion. For memory it was a 10/10 Ben Melham ride and I have to query her back to a good track and drawn barrier 11 on speed in a potential gut-buster with Grand Final day weeks away. I’d rate her closer to $8-10 against a field of hardened sprinters, her recent trial was lack lustre to my eye but she has been in work a while.

Russian Revolution is a chance to be posted. Placed well by Team Snowden thus far boasting six wins from nine starts in strong company. As a 4yo he’s still open to massive improvement, has a fitness edge and has seen Moonee Valley and likes it. Of the two favourites in better I’d rather be with him over the filly. Jonathan Walsh from the Bookies Bag maps Russian Revolution 4-5 wide on speed and makes him lay of the weekend.

Looking at chances, Terravista is a world class 1000m horse at his best. Malaguerra, Derryn, Faatinah, Rock Magic and Super Cash can all fire fresh. Hellbent, Ability and Supido are terrific emergencies who may not get the chance to race. No shock to have missed the winner, deepest 1000m I can remember!!!

Vince Accardi’s RSPs may help solve the puzzle but for mine the winner will be the best run in transit rather than the best horse in the race.

Insider Suggests 

 LAY (WIN) She Will Reign

Caulfield R6 | Caulfield Guineas Prelude G3  | 1400m | 2:30pm 

Huge contest here with Royal Symphony taking on Kementari. If you thought the Golden Rose was a fizzer this race will make up for it. Daniel O’Sullivan from TRB side with Kementari rated $3.50 with a saver on Perast $20.00, on the quick back up from Sydney. His full preview can be viewed here.

Punting Form agree with the two horse race theory and will back both close to BSP. Reading their comments it sounds they lean ever so slightly to Royal Symphony with an apparent fitness edge.

Looking at the early market I’m happy to back Kementari early at $5.50 and save for the favourite late expecting a drift. They look a cut above.

The In-Form Bookie Bag tipster Barry Cook suggests to lay Royal Symphony “despite a big win I feel this horse is looking for further now”.

Insider Suggests 

 BACK (WIN) Kementari (Early)

 BACK (SAVE) – Royal Symphony (Late)

Caulfield R7 | Underwood Stakes G1 | 1800m | 3:00pm 

We learn plenty about Bonneval and Inference here. Both on a cups path and capable of plenty of improvement. Punting Form side with Hartnell who flopped last start off a fast run race. The race shape and smaller field is more suitable, another positive for Hartnell is the two week back up opposed to a month between runs.

Vince Accardi’s Race Speed Profiles side with Hartnell marginally on top. If desperate to bet you’d lean his way with a big watch on the 4yo’s.

Insider Suggests 

 BACK (WIN) Hartnell

Caulfield R8 | Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes  G1 | 1400m | 4:00pm 

Deep race or is it? Looks to be plenty of speed in the contest which will make it a last man standing affair. The horse that immediately catches my eye is Japanese Import Tosen Stardom. Lightly raced for a seven-year-old his form over this track and distance is impeccable.

You could argue that he should have beaten Black Heart Bart in the Futurity earlier this year. His fresh run this time in was a barrier trial in the PB Lawrence. The Memsie run was the best of the closer’s behind the Everest favourite Vega Magic who is the talk of town. What a set up here with Blinkers on, a drop of 3.5kg and almost a month between runs to keep the freshness in his legs. Darren Weir is a master at keeping horses in work and this looks his race to loose despite a wide draw.

Insider Suggests 

 BACK (WIN) Tosen Stardom

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