ProLays: Wednesday 15th March 2017

Every week on The Hub, professional punters from across the country will be nominating their LAY of the week.

Get the latest LAY nominations for Wednesday 15th March below.

Racing Watch – 

John Walter – @J_Walter23 – Taree Race 4 #4 Valbeata

Walter Says: “Coming off a solid enough fourth in a heat of the Country Championships. Not convinced this horse is looking for 1400m on rain affected going. Apprentice back on board and really think she is going to need all the breaks in what looks a deep race. Extremely vulnerable here at short odds. ”

Champion Bets – 

Nathan Snow – @snowbet – Gosford Abandoned – 

Snow Says: “Tapping out today with Gosford rained out.”

Punting Form –

Shane Baker – @PuntingForm – Doomben – Race 7 #2 Passionflower

Baker Says: “Is having its sixth run this preparation and steps up to 1600m for only the second time in 35 starts. Will be thought of as having been unlucky at its last two starts and that will be having an influence on the short price in early betting. Does not look to be much upside or room for improvement considering the stage of its preparation, must go in at the price.”

Queensland Trials –

Chris Nelson – @qldtrials – Doomben – Race 4 #1 Medieval

Nelson Says: “Comes off a thrashing at Randwick last time out although there were excuses with a heavy surface the most logical explanation. He faces a soft rated track here however; things could well deteriorate during the day, which wouldn’t suit at all, couple that with the 58kg impost he could have his work cut out. Laying at $3.60 and expecting a drift with a downgrade from a soft five.”

Horse Racing Professionals –

Geoff McMurray – @mcmurray_geoff  – Sandown – Race 6 #4 Hurry

McMurray Says: “Happy to oppose this ex New Zealander at his Australian debut. His Kiwi form doesn’t quite stack up for mine and going into this race fresh over the 1300m with 59.5kg looks a tough ask. Plenty of promising horses in this that look better chances including Lady Skills, Good Oh and Toorak Miss. Looks very skinny at the current price of $3.00.”

racebk –

Ben Krahe – @racebk_com – Warragul Harness – Race 1 #1 Macdawn

Krahe Says: “Gets the gun draw here and this is a low class C1 race however there are a couple of stablemates in the race (British General and Out To Strike) with good drivers. It’s a deep race with Bongiorno Boys and Smile Lyle both big dangers. She’s a bit of a non-winner with only three victories in 42 starts. In a hot race, she looks a safe lay today.”

Rick Williams Racing –

Rick Williams – @rwilliamsracing – Taree – Race 4 #4 Valbeata

Williams Says: “Likely to settle in the last few runners here which isn’t where you want to be at Taree over 1400m. Comes through the Country Championship but her overall figures on our end are quite modest. History suggests she is a low percentage play and $2.90 looks too short.”


John McLeod – @macbetjohn – Doomben – Race 7 #2 Passionflower

McLeod Says: “Passionflower made some ground at Eagle Farm when the pace suited last time. It seems the market has the wrong Vandyke runner favourite or that’s how I see it anyway..”

Racetrack Ralphy –

Ralph Horowitz – @rtralphy – Sandown Race 4 #3 Inspired Estelle 

Horowitz Says: “Has three reasons to take her on at the short price, with the starting point that despite not being far off in stakes races at her past two starts, has yet to do anything on the clock. In those races, she’s been $41 and $31 respectively.

Opponent Zunbaqa has been $21 on each occasion for an ‘SP matchup’ and unfortunately her current jockey Craig Newitt has terrible Melbourne stats with 1 win from 86 rides since the start of November, with 16 pf those being at single figure odds and none of them have won. While this race is an obvious class drop, her $3 price range does not appeal so I’m happy to risk.”

Ratings2Win –

Paul Daily – @PaulD01 – Sandown – Race 4 #2 Fox Hall

Daily Says: “Resumed winning a BM64 in Adelaide by 1.8 lengths. Steps up to a harder race here and his performances to date have all rated below the required rating to win this type of race with 59kg. Whilst I acknowledge that he is a lightly raced improving type the current fixed odds of $4.00 is well below what fits his ratings profile so therefore I am happy to oppose.”

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