ProLays: Wednesday 15th February 2017

Every week on The Hub, professional punters from across the country will be nominating their LAY of the week.

Get the latest LAY nominations for Wednesday 8th February below.

Racing Watch – 

John Walter – @J_Walter23 – Randwick Race 1 #4 Alizee

Walter Says: “Well-bred runner on debut from the Darley Team, being a half-sister to Astern. Just the one trial where she did it easily enough against the fillies. Straight to the races where she takes on a couple of other debutantes who just looked a little sharper to my eye at the trials and will certainly give Alizee something to catch. Just feel her breeding alone has influenced her price and happy to be against the filly this time around.”

Champion Bets – 

Nathan Snow – @snowbet – Randwick – Race 2 #2 Invader

Snow Says: “Both runs this preparation have been in solid races but is now ‘well found’ due to the drop in grade. Had favours in the run first up and hit the line OK behind From Within before missing the start and running on fair in the Magic Millions. Returning from the trip away with a month off and no trial between is a query. The inside draw could work against with a likely pattern of runners coming wide today. Looks a race with a few chances, so I’m happy to be against it around the $3.00-3.50 quote.”

Punting Form –

Shane Baker – @PuntingForm – Ascot – Race 4 #6 Bounce Down  

Baker Says: “A winner by a decent margin at Bunbury last start but it was in a very slowly run race resulting in poor overall time. Has never run a good time rating in five career starts and in its previous races over 1200m it has not finished off powerfully. There are quite a few other runners in this race that rate more highly than Bounce Down so less than $3.00 is poison odds.”

Queensland Trials –

Chris Nelson – @qldtrials  – Doomben – Race 1 #1 Misprint

Nelson Says: “Finished well down the tack at his only start back in October showing no speed at all. Although he strikes an easier race today, his recent trial at Toowoomba clocking in last beaten 6.5 lengths did not impress.  He had the whip put on him early in the straight and did not respond at all. Opening favourite who needs to improve plenty on what we have seen to date.”

Horse Racing Professionals –

Geoff McMurray – @mcmurray_geoff  – Morphettville – Race 2 #11 Taqaareed

McMurray Says: “Looks under the odds at 5/4 ($2.25) in early betting. I can’t knock its form but from a pedigree and trial basis, I’m very keen to play the Tony McEvoy first start I’m a Princess. From a pedigree analysis perspective, the mating is high quality and it is no surprise the cross has already produced Group 1 winner Shoot Out. I’m A Princess showed in her only trial that she has inherited some of the ability with a very nice win over 900m at Murray Bridge recently. For a High Chaparral, the filly showed very good speed but the most impressive part of the trial was the way she attacked the line. That indicates today’s 1250m event will be ideal. Therefore, while Taqaareed has been solid at its two starts to date I’m happy to take her on as the current favourite.”

racebk –

Ben Krahe – @racebk_com – Warragul Harness – Race 3 #1 Supplements

Krahe Says: “Still a maiden from 22 starts, indicating how big a risk this runner is from a betting perspective. Although there has been improvement at its last two starts at big odds if he opens up less than $5.00 it must be laid.”

Rick Williams Racing –

Rick Williams – @rwilliamsracing – Morphettville – Race 5 #2 Soaring High

Williams Says: “Drawn 11 of 11 here and hasn’t shown a tendency to muster early speed. That being the case there is a high chance this runner will be caught wide or end up too far back if Claire Lindop is negative early. It is a hard ‘run on’ track with the rail out nine and six metres. My KPI rankings have it down the list and $3.50 looks too short.”


John McLeod – @macbetjohn – Doomben – Race 6 #8 So Serene

McLeod Says: “I am taking on the in-form Toby Edmonds/Jeff Lloyd combination here. So Serene has trialled OK but can be very fractious in the gates and has drawn wide here. There seems to be good speed drawn inside her and the class of the field is quite strong for a midweek class three. Our lay of the day drifted from $1.60 to around $3.00 last time but got the cash, hopefully we will not be eating the paint of the wall this week!”

Racetrack Ralphy –

Ralph Horowitz – @rtralphy – Sandown – Race 7 #5 El Dorado Mine

Horowitz Says: “It is only a basic mid-week race, but El Dorado Mine has not shown enough to be worthy of the morning line favourite that he is. He does have a strong SP Profile after starting his career with Team Snowden with three unplaced runs. Resumed his second preparation with only a fair Pakenham Synthetic win for Mick Price followed by two competitive wet track city runs and two synthetic placings at Geelong and Pakenham, which remained in the just ‘OK’ category.

His first up Pakenham fifth when $2.40 was in dreadful time and while he’s open to improvement from that performance this looks a deep race with 1,2,3,7,9 and 12 having winning claims. Craig Newitt has ridden one city winner from 78 Melbourne rides since Derby day and zero from 13 at single figure odds, I am happy to risk.”

Ratings2Win –

Paul Daily – @PaulD01 – Randwick – Race 7 #1 Divine Sanction

Daily Says: “In both runs since resuming, the gelding was suited by the tempo of the race (fast/slow) yet on each occasion has returned below PAR figures. Now coming to town is up in class and distance with today’s race configuration looking unsuitable comparing to how things have set up for him in both runs this preparation. At his current quote of $4.20, he looks the one to oppose.”

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