Since 2016, Fat Stats has been building statistical models with the aim of predicting the Brownlow Medal. Every year, they have tweaked the models and datasets with the aim of emulating the decisions of the umpires on game day and (hopefully) improving their models.
This is a hard task – every year they review our results and something different they haven’t thought about pops up. Fat Stats have decided to run through 5 things which make this particular prediction difficult. All of the plots shown are generated in the chaRlie app.