On 24 November, Victoria will be voting for their state government. Despite the influence of the Greens, the contest and betting markets show a two horse race. Pitted against each other are the Labor Party, led by Daniel Andrews and the Coalition, led by Liberal Party leader Matthew Guy.
The first term Labor government has been in power for four years and the major polls have it ahead by 4 to 8 points. Labor has 46 seats in the 88 seat Legislative Assembly and for the Coalition to win, there needs to be a uniform swing of 3.0% to gain the 7 seats needed to form government.
The Greens and Independents could retain and also win a small number of seats and in a close result and a minority government, they could prove to be the “King Maker” in deciding which side gets their support.