Canberra Raiders v Canterbury Bulldogs

Thursday April 5, 8:05pm – GIO Stadium

There is no more frustrating team in the NRL than Canberra, who are remarkably win-less through four rounds despite posting the fifth best attack and leading late in three. They get a good match-up this week though against a Bulldogs team that is really struggling for punch out wide. The Bulldogs have covered just 11 of their last 37 away from ANZ, including two of 10 after conceding 20 points. The Raiders are desperate and should be winning well.

Betting Strategy

BACK – Canberra -1.5

Cronulla Sharks v Sydney Roosters

Friday April 6, 6:00pm – Southern Cross Group Stadium

Cronulla have a great record against the Sydney Roosters and should be able to keep that run of dominance up as a home underdog. The Sharks have won six of seven against the Chooks and have only two losses of more than a converted try against them since 2010. The Sharks have conceded just eight points the last two games and have the second best defence in the premiership. The Roosters have covered just three of their last 10 away from Allianz when favoured by less than a converted try.

Betting Strategy

BACK – Cronulla +2.5

New Zealand Warriors v North Queensland Cowboys

Saturday April 7, 5:30pm – Mt Smart Stadium

The Warriors are in the throes of their finest start to a season after rattling off four straight wins but against a desperate Cowboys they face their toughest test. The last time these teams met at Mt Smart, the Cowboys racked up a 50-16 victory. The Cowboys have won four on end and 15 of their last 23 against the Warriors but perhaps the most telling stat in this is the Warriors at Mt Smart at night, where they have covered the start in just three of their last 15.

Betting Strategy

BACK – North Queensland

Newcastle Knights v Brisbane Broncos

Saturday April 7, 7:35pm – McDonald Jones Stadium

It is stunning that Newcastle have come up favourites in this one when the model has Brisbane $1.39 shots. The Broncos were poor at home against the Titans, totally out-enthused, but are a much better team than Newcastle. Brisbane have won six straight against the Knights by an average of nearly 28 points. The Knights have covered just six of their last 15 when starting $2.00 or shorter while the Broncos have covered 11 of their last 15 away from Suncorp off a loss and 11 of their last 17 as an underdog away from Suncorp.

Betting Strategy

BACK – Brisbane

related articles

NRL Season 2018: Round 4 Analysis

Round 4 of the NRL kicks off between the Cowboys and the Panthers, with The Analysts giving a comprehensive ...

Read More

NRL Season 2018: Round 3 Analysis

The Analysts preview Round 3 of the NRL.

Read More

NRL Season 2018: Round 2 Analysis

Round 2 of the NRL kicks off and our experts discuss their four favourite betting matches. Small minuses and ...

Read More