West Tigers v South Sydney

Saturday 21st July 5.30pm AEST ANZ Stadium

The Wests Tigers have been astonishingly good bets under Ivan Cleary as big outsiders and can cover the big start against a South Sydney team riding a nine-game win streak. The Tigers have covered 14 of 18 when getting a start of 6.5 or more dating back to 2018. Home underdogs of 8.5 or more off a win are 22-7 against the line dating back to 2008. The Tigers have won four of their last five against South Sydney. This game shapes as a compelling affair that will play tight.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – West Tigers + 9.5

North Queensland v St George Illawarra

Saturday 21st July 7.35pm AEST 1300 Smiles Stadium

North Queensland’s season is all but over but with Johnathan Thurston deserving of a better farewell they won’t throw the towel in, particularly back on home turf. They get a major opportunity against a Dragons team that has lost their last two and covered just one of their last eight. The Saints have covered just three of their last 13 as favourites of four or more away from their two suburban home grounds and just 10 of their last 28 night games away from those venues. The Cowboys have won four straight against the Dragons in Townsville.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – NQL + 4.5

New Zealand Warriors v Melbourne Storm

Sunday 22nd July 2.00pm AEST Mt Smart Stadium

Melbourne have won five straight against New Zealand by an average margin of 22.2 and posting 50 when the teams met at AAMI Park earlier in the season. The Storm have covered 13 of their last 20 when favoured by less than a try. They have also covered nine of 13 when winning five straight so tend to hold their form. The Warriors have covered just 17 of 41 at Mt Smart.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Melbourne – 3.5

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