Penrith v Manly

 Stadium

Penrith have been super-reliable as a big home favourite but could be in a vulnerable spot here. The big series win of NSW will probably have the biggest impact on Penrith, whose two stars halves were central to the win and no doubt spent plenty of time celebrating. Manly get Dylan Walker back from a fractured cheekbone and have a very good record as a double-digit outsider, covering seven of 10. The Panthers could rest some players here. The big line should be good.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Manly +11.5

Newcastle v Canterbury

 Stadium

Canterbury are a team in flux, having just released Moses Mbye and Aaron Woods and placed Kieran Foran on the sidelines for the year. Wins will be few and far between for the rest of the season which makes this very winnable clash against a weakened Newcastle team a spot the Bulldogs could and should show up for. There is plenty of excitement around debutant Lachlan Lewis, nephew of the great Wally Lewis. The Knights have covered just one of five home games and just five of their last 13 at home at night. With the Bulldogs winning five straight against the Knights, they look over the odds here.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Canterbury +2.5

South Sydney v North Queensland

North Queensland have won eight out of 10 against South Sydney and should have beaten them earlier this year when a penalty after the siren consigned them to a 20-19 loss. This game will be played in Cairns and is virtually a home game for the Cowboys. Souths have an ordinary record in Cairns with just one cover in their last five with the Cowboys downing the Rabbitohs by 13-plus in the last two meetings in Far North Queensland. The Cowboys have been fairly solid defensively and can keep this one tight.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – North Queensland +9.5


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