Manly v New Zealand

AMI Stadium

Manly have completely dominated New Zealand in recent years. They have won seven straight and 16 of the last 18 so it has travelled well into hoodoo territory. The Sea Eagles will benefit significantly getting the Trbojevic brothers back too. It cannot be underestimated how important they are. Arguably no two players at a club contribute as much to production. The Sea Eagles are an excellent 13-6 against the line over the last four years as an underdog away from Brookvale and they have covered their last four away from their home ground.

The Warriors have a horrific record in New Zealand away from Mt Smart so this Christchurch match seems favourable on paper, history suggests it isn’t. The Warriors have won just five of their last 16 in NZ away from Mt Smart. The Sea Eagles are big overs in this one.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Manly +2.5

Parramatta v North Queensland

TIO Stadium

Injuries can be a blessing in disguise sometimes. That is where the Eels are at with the loss of Mitchell Moses. Moses can be a domineering playmaker who doesn’t understand his limitations. He has had a major negative impact on both Corey Norman and Bevan French. Norman returns in place of Moses this week and less should be more. Parramatta get a big start here against a team also in the bottom four and they match up well here against a team that struggles to score. Parramatta have won and covered both games they have played in Darwin and look in a good spot here to cover a sizable handicap.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Parramatta +7.5

Canterbury v St George Illawarra

ANZ Stadium

Canterbury have won six straight and 11 of their last 12 against the Dragons and are big overs despite sitting at the opposite end of the table to the all-conquering Saints. Canterbury have covered 12 of their last 20 as an underdog at ANZ and are a perfect 8-0 against the line since 2015 getting a start of six points or more. As an underdog at ANZ after being held to 14 or fewer, the Bulldogs have covered eight of 11. The Dragons have covered just six of 20 as a favourite away from their suburban home grounds and three of 11 when favoured by more than a try.

Betting Strategy

 BACK – Canterbury +1.5

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