Newcastle Knights v Penrith Panthers

Friday May 11, 6:00pm – McDonald Jones Stadium

Penrith have dominated Newcastle in recent meetings with four straight wins and six victories in their last seven. Over that four game streak the Panthers have posted on average 35.25 points per game with an average winning margin of 26. Penrith have also won three of four against the Knights in Newcastle. Penrith have been hit hard by injury but the Knights have not escaped either. Newcastle have won just five of their last 14 home games and covered just four of their last 11 at home at night. Penrith are the better team here and can be bet with confidence.

Betting Strategy

BACK – Penrith – 3.5

New Zealand Warriors v Sydney Roosters

Saturday May 12, 3:00pm – Mt Smart Stadium

The Warriors have had the best of the Roosters in recent years with 14 wins from the last 22 including four straight. The teams met earlier this year and the Warriors pulled off a monumental upset at Allianz when Shaun Johnson and Simon Mannering didn’t play. There is a huge angle here for the Roosters though with small interstate underdogs (3.5 points or less) covering 66 of 98 back to 2013. The Roosters have also covered seven of their last nine as an interstate underdog. The Warriors have been flying of late this year but have covered just six of 19 as a favourite at Mt Smart. The Roosters are the bet.

Betting Strategy

BACK – Sydney

South Sydney v St George Illawarra

Sunday May 6, 2:00pm – ANZ Stadium

South Sydney are an excellent play here against a St George Illawarra team in a major letdown spot after a dominant home win against Melbourne. The Bunnies have won nine of their last 12 against the Dragons and all three of those losses came by four points or fewer. Souths have won five of their last seven overall and in their last four games have been devastating in attack, averaging 31 points a game. Souths are in a great spot as an underdog, having covered eight straight as an outsider. The Dragons have covered just six of their last 17 as a favourite away from their suburban home grounds. Souths are significant overs this week.

Betting Strategy

BACK – South Sydney + 6.5

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