NRL: EXPERT TIPS

Read our NRL expert tips and analysis for every game in Round 10 of the 2022 premiership season with Betfair’s NRL analyst. Includes game summaries, NRL expert tips and best Back and Lay bets for every round. NRL expert tips for Round 10 of the NRL season are online now!

Click here to view the markets for Round 10 of the 2022 NRL premiership season on the Betfair Exchange.


NRL ROUND 10 | BEST BETS

BEST BACK OF THE ROUND: MELBOURNE +2.5 at $1.80 or better

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BEST LAY OF THE ROUND: NORTH QUEENSLAND at $1.45 or shorter


NRL ROUND 10 | EXPERT TIPS

Match 1: Canterbury v Newcastle

Canterbury are set to be favoured in a game for just the second time in the last three seasons and they are not even at home so they cannot be taken with confidence. Newcastle cannot be bet in current form though either. The Bulldogs have won 8 of 11 against the Knights and Newcastle have covered just 26% interstate. The top play in this one though is the under. Since 2008 18 of 22 Bulldogs-Knights games have gone under the total. The under is 13-5 when the Bulldogs are off conceding 14 or fewer.

Betting Strategy & NRL Tips

BACK: UNDER 34.5 at $1.70 or better

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Match 2: Manly v Brisbane

Brisbane return to Suncorp off a highly impressive win over Souths and that puts them in good stead here against a Manly team that looked a little shaky against the Tigers. The Broncos have covered five of seven against the Sea Eagles. Brisbane have covered 9 of 11 at Suncorp including 8 of 10 as an underdog at the ground. Manly have covered just 1 of 7 at Suncorp and just 5 of 16 away from Brookvale.

Betting Strategy & NRL Tips

BACK: UBRISBANE (+3.5) at $1.80 or better

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Match 3: New Zealand v South Sydney

The Warriors are in their death spiral with their season well and truly done. A compelling argument can be made that they are the worst team in the NRL. Souths have dominated this matchup with five straight wins and covers in 15 of 20. Souths have scored 30-plus in 9 of 11. Souths have covered 10 of 13 when favoured. The Warriors have covered just 6 of 19 as an underdog and 3 of 14 off conceding 20-plus.

Betting Strategy & NRL Tips

BACK: SOUTH SYDNEY at $1.85 or better

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Match 4: Gold Coast v St George Illawarra

Two out-of-form teams meet in a desperate game for each. The Titans have won the last two against the Dragons and tend to bounce back off a big loss. They have covered 9 of 13 off a loss of 13-plus and 7 of 9 off a loss of 20-plus. The Dragons have covered just one of eight off conceding 30 or more.

Betting Strategy & NRL Tips

BACK: GOLD COAST at $1.85 or better

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Match 5: Melbourne v Penrith

The two standout premiership contenders square off in a blockbuster to cap the Saturday session of Magic Round. Melbourne should not be outsiders here even with Ryan Papenhuyzen unlikely to play. The Storm are playing in rarified air. The Storm have covered 11 of 13 off a win of 30 or more and are 39-20 against the spread away from AAMI. Penrith have covered just 7 of 20 away from Penrith and just 4 of 12 on the road off a loss.

Betting Strategy

BACK: MELBOURNE (+2.5) at $1.85 or better

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Match 6: Cronulla v Canberra

Canberra have dominated this matchup with Cronulla with seven straight wins but the Sharks are well worth a play laying double digits. The Sharks will take so much from their short-handed win over the Warriors. Cronulla have covered 17 of 24 day games, 12 of 18 off scoring more than 18 points and 10 of 14 as a double digit favourite. Canberra have covered just 3 of 13 off a win and 5 of 20 away from Canberra Stadium.

Betting Strategy & NRL Tips

BACK: CRONULLA (-10.5) at $1.80 or better

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Match 7: Sydney Roosters v Parramatta

The Roosters have really mixed their form this year and have dominated the Eels with 12 wins in their last 16 clashes. Parramatta are the play though after a super impressive win over Penrith. The Eels have covered 9 of 13 when favoured by less than a try. The Roosters have covered just 3 of 10 as an underdog and just 7 of 19 away from the SCG.

Betting Strategy & NRL Tips

BACK: PARRAMATTA (-2.5) at $1.70 or better

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Match 8: Wests Tigers v North Queensland

The Tigers have certainly had the edge in this matchup with seven wins in their last nine meetings but the key here is their record as a big underdog. The Tigers have covered 8 of 9 getting a start of at least eight points. The Tigers have also covered 17 of 27 off conceding at least 30. The Cowboys have covered just 6 of 17 off a double digit win and 3 of 13 on the road off scoring 24-plus points.

Betting Strategy & NRL Tips

BACK: WESTS TIGERS (+8.5) at $1.80 or better
LAY:NORTH QUEENSLAND at $1.45 or shorter

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National Rugby League (NRL)

The National Rugby League (NRL) is the major professional rugby league competition in Australia and New Zealand. Betfair has all the necessary information, including expert tips for every NRL game, that will help you follow all elements of betting on one of Australia’s most popular winter sporting codes.

Betfair provides NRL tips for every NRL game during the premiership season and the finals. Studying Betfair’s NRL betting tips will help you become a sharper and more discerning punter. The suite of data and information prepared by Betfair’s NRL analyst includes game previews and summaries, head-to-head selections, expert tips, betting strategies, betting tips, and advice on the best Back and Lay bets and the players to watch for every round and future events. Betfair also provides punters with expert advice to navigate betting options including total points, half time/full time margins, winning margins and first try scorers. Sign up to Betfair to get ahead of the pack via our NRL expert tips and betting advice and use this specialist information to your advantage on Australia’s largest betting exchange. Betfair’s point of difference is that it also allows punters to try a different approach by setting their own odds for markets including the NRL premiership and the top four and top eight teams.

The NRL features 16 teams – 15 in Australia (based in New South Wales, Queensland and Victoria) and one in New Zealand (in Auckland, on the country’s North Island). The league will expand to 17 teams in 2023 when the Redcliffe Dolphins, which currently play in the Queensland Cup competition, will join the action.

The NRL was formed in 1998 after a tumultuous period in the game that saw a rebel competition established to compete with the New South Wales Rugby League. NRL games are played from March to September/October. The season consists of 25 premiership season rounds. Each team plays 24 games and has one bye. The top eight teams qualify for the finals, which are played over four weeks and culminate with the NRL Grand Final. The analysis and information provided by Betfair’s NRL tipping experts for every game in the 2022 season is logical and easy to follow and can help punters decide which teams to back and which to lay. Make sure to follow Betfair’s NRL tips for this weekend for the most astute betting advice.

The Sydney Roosters and the Melbourne Storm are the most successful NRL teams, having each won four premierships. The Storm also ‘won’ in 2007 and 2009 but were stripped of their titles because of salary cap breaches. The Penrith Panthers are the reigning NRL premiers, having beaten the South Sydney Rabbitohs in the 2021 NRL Grand Final.

The outstanding player in the NRL Grand Final is awarded the Clive Churchill Medal, named after the star fullback from the 1940s and 1950s. The NRL season’s player of the year is awarded the Dally M Medal, named after Henry ‘Dally’ Messenger, who played a key role introducing rugby league to Australia.

A major highlight of each season is the keenly contested State of Origin series, with NRL players selected to represent the New South Wales Blues and the Queensland Maroons in three representative games. Rugby league afficionados consider the annual Blues-Maroons battle the country’s greatest sporting rivalry.

Following Betfair’s NRL tips and expert analysis will keep bettors up-to-date with all the action and help you make the right choices when focusing on betting categories involving individual players and the popular state of origin series.

RECENT WINNERS

NRL GRAND FINAL

2021    Penrith Panthers def. South Sydney Rabbitohs
2020    Melbourne Storm def. Penrith Panthers
2019    Sydney Roosters def. Canberra Raiders
2018    Sydney Roosters def. Melbourne Storm
2017    Melbourne Storm def. North Queensland Cowboys

CLIVE CHURCHILL MEDAL 

2021    Nathan Cleary (Penrith Panthers)
2020    Ryan Papenhuyzen (Melbourne Storm)
2019    Jack Wighton (Canberra Raiders)
2018    Luke Keary (Sydney Roosters)
2017    Billy Slater (Melbourne Storm)

DALLY M MEDAL

2021    Tom Trbojevic (Manly Warringah Sea Eagles)
2020    Jack Wighton (Canberra Raiders)
2019    James Tedesco (Sydney Roosters)
2018    Roger Tuivasa Sheck (New Zealand Warriors)
2017    Cameron Smith (Melbourne Storm)

 STATE OF ORIGIN SERIES

2021    New South Wales 2, Queensland 1
2020    Queensland 2, New South Wales 1
2019    New South Wales 2, Queensland 1
2018    New South Wales 2, Queensland 1
2017    Queensland 2, New South Wales 1