NRL: EXPERT TIPS

Read our NRL expert tips and analysis for every game in Round 22 of the 2022 premiership season with Betfair’s NRL analyst. Includes game summaries, NRL expert tips and best Back and Lay bets for every round. NRL expert tips for Round 16 of the NRL season are online now!


NRL ROUND 22 | BEST BETS OF THE WEEK

BEST BACK OF THE ROUND: South Sydney Rabbitohs -3.5 at $1.75+

Click here to view Handicap market for Eels vs Rabbitohs on the Betfair Exchange

BEST LAY OF THE ROUND: Cronulla Sharks at < $1.30

Click here to view market for Tigers vs Sharks on the Betfair Exchange


NRL ROUND 22 | EXPERT TIPS

Penrith Panthers vs Melbourne Storm

With so many key playmakers missing from this game and so much on the line, the under looks the bet here.

The under has hit in 15 of 23 games since 2008, with eight of the last 10 failing to top 38 points. The under hits at 60% when Penrith are off a win of more than 20 points, while it has hit in the last three Storm games away from AAMI Park.

Betting Strategy & NRL Tips

BACK: Total Points under 41.5 at $1.85+

Click here to view markets for Panthers vs Storm on the Betfair Exchange.


New Zealand Warriors vs Canterbury Bulldogs

The Bulldogs are a vastly improved team but the line of -5.5 points seems too large.

The Warriors have won and covered the last three against the Bulldogs. New Zealand have covered their last three off conceding 48 or more, while they have covered six of eight off a double-digit loss.

The Warriors have played well at Mt Smart Stadium since returning, so happy to bet they will dig in.

Betting Strategy & NRL Tips

BACK: New Zealand Warriors +5.5 at $1.75+

Click here to view markets for Warriors vs Bulldogs on the Betfair Exchange.


Parramatta Eels vs South Sydney Rabbitohs

Souths are arguably the form team of the premiership and with their outstanding record against the Eels they shape as one of the bets of the week.

Souths have won and covered five straight against the Eels, scoring 30-plus in each, with all wins recording a margin of more than 14.

The Bunnies cover at 60% off a double-digit win. Meanwhile, the Eels have covered just one of six off a double-digit win.

Betting Strategy & NRL Tips

BACK: South Sydney Rabbitohs -3.5 at $1.70+

Click here to view markets for Eels vs Rabbitohs on the Betfair Exchange.


Sydney Roosters vs North Queensland Cowboys

The Roosters have an outstanding record against the Cowboys, but it is surprising they are underdogs considering the standard of football they are playing and how inconsistent the Roosters have been.

The Roosters have covered just four of 13 off a win and just five of 14 as a favourite. The Cowboys have covered 14 of 20 this season, including eight of 10 road games.

The speed they play with can cause the Roosters no end of drama.

Betting Strategy & NRL Tips

BACK: North Queensland Cowboys +2.5 at $1.85+

Click here to view markets for Roosters vs Cowboys on the Betfair Exchange.


Wests Tigers vs Cronulla Sharks

The NRL road train heads to Tamworth this week and the Tigers present as value against the high-flying Sharks.

The Tigers were embarrassing against the Knights last week but have typically been reliable plays as a big outsider. The Tigers have covered 11 of 13 when receiving a double-digit handicap and have covered four straight off a loss.

The Sharks, meanwhile, have covered just 18 of 46 off a loss.

Betting Strategy & NRL Tips

BACK: Wests Tigers +12.5 at $1.80+

LAY: Cronulla Sharks at < $1.30

Click here to view markets for Tigers vs Sharks on the Betfair Exchange.


Brisbane Broncos vs Newcastle Knights

The Broncos are heavily favoured against the Knights but that line is not big enough.

Brisbane have won eight of 12 against the Knights including the last two by 13-plus. The Broncos have covered 14 of the last 18 meetings. With Brisbane covering 14 of 17 at Suncorp Stadium and the Knights covering just 12 of 38 off a win, the Broncos can be bet right up to -21.5 on the handicap.

Betting Strategy & NRL Tips

BACK: Brisbane Broncos -17.5 at $1.80+

Click here to view markets for Broncos vs Knights on the Betfair Exchange.


Canberra Raiders vs St George-Illawarra Dragons

Canberra are significantly overvalued in this one.

The Raiders have a shocking home record with just 13 covers in their last 36. They have covered just five of 15 when favoured at home by more than a converted try.

The Dragons meanwhile have covered the last three against the Raiders as well as nine of the last 12. They are playing well enough to beat the team they rolled just six weeks back.

Betting Strategy & NRL Tips

BACK: St George-Illawarra Dragons +6.5 at $1.80+

Click here to view markets for Raiders vs Dragons on the Betfair Exchange.


Gold Coast Titans vs Manly Sea Eagles

Gold Coast are in a particularly bad spot here, covering just three of 15 off a loss and four of 17 off conceding 30-plus.

Manly are not overly enticing as a betting proposition on the road. The strong play in this one, though, is the over.

The over has hit in seven of nine Titans-Sea Eagles matches. It’s also hit in 13 of 17 when the Titans are a home underdog of 6.5 or more. The over has also hit in 31 of 44 when Manly are off a loss.

Betting Strategy & NRL Tips

BACK: Total Points over 47.5 at $1.80+

Click here to view markets for Titans vs Sea Eagles on the Betfair Exchange.


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National Rugby League (NRL)

The National Rugby League (NRL) is the major professional rugby league competition in Australia and New Zealand. Betfair has all the necessary information, including expert tips for every NRL game, that will help you follow all elements of betting on one of Australia’s most popular winter sporting codes.

Betfair provides NRL tips for every NRL game during the premiership season and the finals. Studying Betfair’s NRL betting tips will help you become a sharper and more discerning punter. The suite of data and information prepared by Betfair’s NRL analyst includes game previews and summaries, head-to-head selections, expert tips, betting strategies, betting tips, and advice on the best Back and Lay bets and the players to watch for every round and future events. Betfair also provides punters with expert advice to navigate betting options including total points, half time/full time margins, winning margins and first try scorers. Sign up to Betfair to get ahead of the pack via our NRL expert tips and betting advice and use this specialist information to your advantage on Australia’s largest betting exchange. Betfair’s point of difference is that it also allows punters to try a different approach by setting their own odds for markets including the NRL premiership and the top four and top eight teams.

The NRL features 16 teams – 15 in Australia (based in New South Wales, Queensland and Victoria) and one in New Zealand (in Auckland, on the country’s North Island). The league will expand to 17 teams in 2023 when the Redcliffe Dolphins, which currently play in the Queensland Cup competition, will join the action.

The NRL was formed in 1998 after a tumultuous period in the game that saw a rebel competition established to compete with the New South Wales Rugby League. NRL games are played from March to September/October. The season consists of 25 premiership season rounds. Each team plays 24 games and has one bye. The top eight teams qualify for the finals, which are played over four weeks and culminate with the NRL Grand Final. The analysis and information provided by Betfair’s NRL tipping experts for every game in the 2022 season is logical and easy to follow and can help punters decide which teams to back and which to lay. Make sure to follow Betfair’s NRL tips for this weekend for the most astute betting advice.

The Sydney Roosters and the Melbourne Storm are the most successful NRL teams, having each won four premierships. The Storm also ‘won’ in 2007 and 2009 but were stripped of their titles because of salary cap breaches. The Penrith Panthers are the reigning NRL premiers, having beaten the South Sydney Rabbitohs in the 2021 NRL Grand Final.

The outstanding player in the NRL Grand Final is awarded the Clive Churchill Medal, named after the star fullback from the 1940s and 1950s. The NRL season’s player of the year is awarded the Dally M Medal, named after Henry ‘Dally’ Messenger, who played a key role introducing rugby league to Australia.

A major highlight of each season is the keenly contested State of Origin series, with NRL players selected to represent the New South Wales Blues and the Queensland Maroons in three representative games. Rugby league afficionados consider the annual Blues-Maroons battle the country’s greatest sporting rivalry.

Following Betfair’s NRL tips and expert analysis will keep bettors up-to-date with all the action and help you make the right choices when focusing on betting categories involving individual players and the popular state of origin series.

RECENT WINNERS

NRL GRAND FINAL

2021    Penrith Panthers def. South Sydney Rabbitohs
2020    Melbourne Storm def. Penrith Panthers
2019    Sydney Roosters def. Canberra Raiders
2018    Sydney Roosters def. Melbourne Storm
2017    Melbourne Storm def. North Queensland Cowboys

CLIVE CHURCHILL MEDAL 

2021    Nathan Cleary (Penrith Panthers)
2020    Ryan Papenhuyzen (Melbourne Storm)
2019    Jack Wighton (Canberra Raiders)
2018    Luke Keary (Sydney Roosters)
2017    Billy Slater (Melbourne Storm)

DALLY M MEDAL

2021    Tom Trbojevic (Manly Warringah Sea Eagles)
2020    Jack Wighton (Canberra Raiders)
2019    James Tedesco (Sydney Roosters)
2018    Roger Tuivasa Sheck (New Zealand Warriors)
2017    Cameron Smith (Melbourne Storm)

 STATE OF ORIGIN SERIES

2021    New South Wales 2, Queensland 1
2020    Queensland 2, New South Wales 1
2019    New South Wales 2, Queensland 1
2018    New South Wales 2, Queensland 1
2017    Queensland 2, New South Wales 1