Read our NRL expert tips and analysis for every game in Round 10 of the 2022 premiership season with Betfair’s NRL analyst. Includes game summaries, NRL expert tips and best Back and Lay bets for every round. NRL expert tips for Round 10 of the NRL season are online now!
NRL ROUND 10 | BEST BETS
BEST BACK OF THE ROUND: MELBOURNE +2.5 at $1.80 or better
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BEST LAY OF THE ROUND: NORTH QUEENSLAND at $1.45 or shorter
NRL ROUND 10 | EXPERT TIPS
Match 1: Canterbury v Newcastle
Canterbury are set to be favoured in a game for just the second time in the last three seasons and they are not even at home so they cannot be taken with confidence. Newcastle cannot be bet in current form though either. The Bulldogs have won 8 of 11 against the Knights and Newcastle have covered just 26% interstate. The top play in this one though is the under. Since 2008 18 of 22 Bulldogs-Knights games have gone under the total. The under is 13-5 when the Bulldogs are off conceding 14 or fewer.
Betting Strategy & NRL Tips
BACK: UNDER 34.5 at $1.70 or better
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Match 2: Manly v Brisbane
Brisbane return to Suncorp off a highly impressive win over Souths and that puts them in good stead here against a Manly team that looked a little shaky against the Tigers. The Broncos have covered five of seven against the Sea Eagles. Brisbane have covered 9 of 11 at Suncorp including 8 of 10 as an underdog at the ground. Manly have covered just 1 of 7 at Suncorp and just 5 of 16 away from Brookvale.
Betting Strategy & NRL Tips
BACK: UBRISBANE (+3.5) at $1.80 or better
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Match 3: New Zealand v South Sydney
The Warriors are in their death spiral with their season well and truly done. A compelling argument can be made that they are the worst team in the NRL. Souths have dominated this matchup with five straight wins and covers in 15 of 20. Souths have scored 30-plus in 9 of 11. Souths have covered 10 of 13 when favoured. The Warriors have covered just 6 of 19 as an underdog and 3 of 14 off conceding 20-plus.
Betting Strategy & NRL Tips
BACK: SOUTH SYDNEY at $1.85 or better
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Match 4: Gold Coast v St George Illawarra
Two out-of-form teams meet in a desperate game for each. The Titans have won the last two against the Dragons and tend to bounce back off a big loss. They have covered 9 of 13 off a loss of 13-plus and 7 of 9 off a loss of 20-plus. The Dragons have covered just one of eight off conceding 30 or more.
Betting Strategy & NRL Tips
BACK: GOLD COAST at $1.85 or better
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Match 5: Melbourne v Penrith
The two standout premiership contenders square off in a blockbuster to cap the Saturday session of Magic Round. Melbourne should not be outsiders here even with Ryan Papenhuyzen unlikely to play. The Storm are playing in rarified air. The Storm have covered 11 of 13 off a win of 30 or more and are 39-20 against the spread away from AAMI. Penrith have covered just 7 of 20 away from Penrith and just 4 of 12 on the road off a loss.
Betting Strategy
BACK: MELBOURNE (+2.5) at $1.85 or better
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Match 6: Cronulla v Canberra
Canberra have dominated this matchup with Cronulla with seven straight wins but the Sharks are well worth a play laying double digits. The Sharks will take so much from their short-handed win over the Warriors. Cronulla have covered 17 of 24 day games, 12 of 18 off scoring more than 18 points and 10 of 14 as a double digit favourite. Canberra have covered just 3 of 13 off a win and 5 of 20 away from Canberra Stadium.
Betting Strategy & NRL Tips
BACK: CRONULLA (-10.5) at $1.80 or better
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Match 7: Sydney Roosters v Parramatta
The Roosters have really mixed their form this year and have dominated the Eels with 12 wins in their last 16 clashes. Parramatta are the play though after a super impressive win over Penrith. The Eels have covered 9 of 13 when favoured by less than a try. The Roosters have covered just 3 of 10 as an underdog and just 7 of 19 away from the SCG.
Betting Strategy & NRL Tips
BACK: PARRAMATTA (-2.5) at $1.70 or better
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Match 8: Wests Tigers v North Queensland
The Tigers have certainly had the edge in this matchup with seven wins in their last nine meetings but the key here is their record as a big underdog. The Tigers have covered 8 of 9 getting a start of at least eight points. The Tigers have also covered 17 of 27 off conceding at least 30. The Cowboys have covered just 6 of 17 off a double digit win and 3 of 13 on the road off scoring 24-plus points.
Betting Strategy & NRL Tips
BACK: WESTS TIGERS (+8.5) at $1.80 or better
LAY:NORTH QUEENSLAND at $1.45 or shorter
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