Warwick Farm – December 23: The Trial Spy

Posted: December 23, 2015

TheTrial Spy_W_RGB

 

The Betfair Trial Spy: Warwick Farm December 23

 

Track: Heavy

Rail: +5m

 

Race 1: 1100m 3YO Maiden

 

Summary

After the overnight scratchings we’re left with two first starters and one horse first-up.

The Track

A band of wet weather has swept over Sydney leaving us with heavy conditions. Generally the 5m position at Warwick Farm tends to favours those horses up on pace and I expect that to be the case tomorrow. Fitness will also be an advantage.

 

Major Players

 

The First Starters

Sugar Bay LeonardJoe Pride’s 3YO Gelding Sugar Bay Leonard had a trial before being tipped out and has come back in fine fettle. In his first trial back he was absolutely strangled back through the field before finishing fifth, while in his next trial jockey Tim Clark allowed him to stride to the front and won well coasting through the line under a hold. The only negative from the trial was that the horse didn’t really relax in Tim’s hands however he was still strong late and could actually appreciate the additional speed of race conditions.

Ramatuelle: Two nice solid winning trials spaced out over 30 weeks. She’s been doing everything right but with just the one trial this time in I’d be happy to see how she goes first up as opposed to putting our money on.

 

The Rest

Water Diviner: John Sargent’s Water Diviner has had the run under his belt this time in with a solid second the promising Donxing Princess. He’s trialled and raced well on heavy tracks previously and he could be the forgotten horse.

Yuma Desert: She was a complete forgive run last time at Canterbury after sitting wide the entire. She has a fitness edge on most and had to be a good chance from the Snowden yard.

 

Betting strategy

Back on Betfair BACK – WIN – Sugar Bay Leonard at $4 + for 3 units

Back on Betfair BACK – WIN – Water Diviner at $7+ for 1 units