Timeform Shortlist: Royal Ascot Day 4

R1 Albany Stakes (Group 3) (1) 6f 11:30pm

Timeform Rating of previous winners: 121 128 126 123 123 (Avg 124)

Top Rated & Flags

Betting Forecast

$3.45 Cuff, $5.6 Create A Dream, $6.2 Kilmah, $7.2 Grizzel, $7.6 Queen Kindly, $8 Romantic View, $12.5 Oh Grace, $13 Brave Anna, $14 bar

Analyst’s Verdict

Cuff sets a high standard with the promise of plenty more to come based on the way she forged clear in a listed race at Naas, so she has a huge chance of giving her trainer a first success in this contest. Queen Kindly has to be feared after such an emphatic debut, while Grizzel looks sure to run a big race in her bid to make it 3 from 3.

R2 King Edward VII Stakes (Group 2) (1) 1½m 12:05am

Timeform Rating of previous winners: 139 133 134 137 128 (Avg 134)

Top Rated & Flags

King Edward VII Stakes

Betting Forecast

$3.5 Beacon Rock, $5.1 Humphrey Bogart, $5.6 Carntop, $5.7 Muntahaa, $6.6 Choreographer, $8 Lustrous Light, $8.2 Housesofparliament, $9.2 Linguistic, $13 Across The Stars

Analyst’s Verdict

Carntop looks open to further improvement and could reverse Lingfield placings with the Derby fifth Humphrey Bogart and come out on top. Across The Stars chased that pair home at Lingfield and remains with potential having had excuses at Epsom.

R3 Commonwealth Cup (Group 1) (1) 6f 12:40am

Timeform Rating of previous winners: – – – – 139

Top Rated & Flags

Commonwealth cup

Betting Forecast

$2.88 Quiet Reflection, $6.2 Donjuan Triumphant, $7.2 Log Out Island, $9 Washington DC, $11 Cheikeljack, La Rioja, $12 Buratino, $13 Kachy, $22 bar

Analyst’s Verdict

Quiet Reflection is clear top on ratings following her visually impressive display at Haydock, and with that effort backed up by the clock, she can make her first go in a Group 1 a winning one. Donjuan Triumphant can chase the selection home again, with Log Out Island and La Rioja completing the shortlist.

R4 Coronation Stakes (Group 1) (1) 1m 1:20am

Timeform Rating of previous winners: 133 134 134 126 137 (Avg 133)

Top Rated & Flags

Betting Forecast

$3.25 Jet Setting, $6.3 Nemoralia, $7.4 Qemah, $7.6 Nathra, $13.5 Alice Springs, $15.5 Tanaza, $17.5 Fireglow, $18 Ashadihan, $21 bar

Analyst’s Verdict

Qemah ran creditably in the Poule d’Essai des Pouliches, though not quite up to expectations as she was sent off favourite, but she isn’t one to write off yet by any means, and looks a solid alternative to likely favourite Jet Setting, who is sure to be popular following her triumph over Minding in the Irish 1000 Guineas last time. Nemoralia is another to consider.

R5 Duke of Edinburgh Stakes (Handicap) (2) 1½m 2:00am

Top Rated & Flags

Betting Forecast

$7 Elite Army, $8.8 Kinema, $9.4 Kings Fete, $9.6 Ivan Grozny, $10 Ajman Bridge, Cymro, $12 First Sitting, Fabricate, $13 bar

Analyst’s Verdict

This could be an ideal test for Fabricate and he can become the latest Royal winner at this meeting. Smart hurdler Ivan Grozny looks very interesting back on the level for Willie Mullins, while Elite Army and Rare Rhythm are part of a strong challenge for Godolphin.

R6 Queen’s Vase (Listed) (1) 2m 2:35am 

Timeform Rating of previous winners: 121 124 119 123 111 (Avg 120)

Top Rated & Flags

Betting Forecast

$5 Ebediyin, $6.4 Ormito, 7 Landofhopeandglory, $7.2 Harbour Law, $10 Cole Porter, $12 Opposition, $13 Daphne, Gunnery, $14 bar

Analyst’s Verdict

Ebediyin‘s dam was a Group 1 winner over a staying trip so there’s reason to believe this test of stamina will see him in an even better light and he can strike for the Derby winning-team of the Aga Khan, Dermot Weld and Pat Smullen. Ormito has long since left the impression he’ll be suited by this sort of trip, while Landofhopeandglory is the choice of Ryan Moore from the Aidan O’Brien trio.

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