Timeform Shortlist: Royal Ascot Day 5

Posted: June 18, 2016

R1 Chesham Stakes (Listed) (1) 7f 11:30pm

Timeform Rating of previous winners: 123 112 121 118 119 (Avg 119)

Top Rated & Flags

Betting Forecast

$2.74 Churchill, $4.3 Cunco, $5.7 Frankuus, $7.2 Magillen, $7.5 Isomer, $8.5 Justice Frederick, $8.8 Admiralty Arch, $9.2 Aiming For Rio, $10 bar

Analyst’s Verdict

There’s a strong feeling that Churchill will improve markedly for this longer trip being by Galileo, so he’s narrowly preferred to Cunco, another who was learning on the job first time and will relish the extra emphasis on stamina. Frankuus completes a strong hand for his sire in what looks a mouth-watering Chesham Stakes on paper.

R2 Wolferton Handicap (Listed) (1) 1¼m 12:05am

Top Rated & Flags

Betting Forecast

$5.8 Best of Times, $7.4 Oceanographer, $8.2 Pacify, $9 Maleficent Queen, $9.4 Revolutionist, $11 Educate, $13.5 Second Wave, $15 Sir Isaac Newton, $16 bar

Analyst’s Verdict

Best of Times boasts some good form and caught the eye on his return from a year off at Chester. He could be on a lenient mark and gets the vote in a typically-competitive renewal of this handicap. Oceanographer is another big player for Godolphin, while Maleficent Queen and Revolutionist are thriving winners who can’t be discounted.

R3 Hardwicke Stakes (Group 2) (1) 1½m 12:40am

Timeform Rating of previous winners: 139 140 136 137 136 (Avg 138)

Top Rated & Flags

Betting Forecast

$3.5 Exosphere, $6.2 Dartmouth, $6.4 Eagle Top, $7.6 Highland Reel, $8 Astronereus, $9 Beautiful Romance, Simple Verse, $9.2 Almodovar, $12.5 Bar

Analyst’s Verdict

Exosphere was stepped up to this trip on his return in the Jockey Club Stakes at Newmarket and looked a totally different proposition, powering home in the final furlong to score. He escapes a penalty for that and is fancied to continue his improvement here with another success. The globe-trotting Highland Reel, the progressive Dartmouth and the fast-improving Almodovar head the list of dangers.

R4 Diamond Jubilee Stakes (Group 1) (1) 6f 1:20am

Timeform Rating of previous winners: 134 138 138 137 135 (Avg 136)

Top Rated & Flags

Betting Forecast

$4.3 Magical Memory, $5 The Tin Man, $5.5 Twilight Son, $8.2 Undrafted, $9 Gold-Fun, Jungle Cat, $11 Holler, Suedois, $21 Bar

Analyst’s Verdict

The 4-y-os look strong and it is The Tin Man who has created the most striking impression with his commanding reappearance win at Windsor last month. He could be the answer. Magical Memory has also improved further this year, and isn’t passed over lightly, while Twilight Son is likely to be much more competitive than he was on his return at York last month.

R5 Wokingham Stakes (Heritage Handicap) (2) 6f 2:00am

Top Rated & Flags

Betting Forecast

$8.4 Brando, $10 Outback Traveller, $17 Mutawathea, Toofi, $18.5 Buckstay, $19 Flash Fire, Spring Loaded, $20 George Dryden, $21 bar

Analyst’s Verdict

The Robert Cowell-trained pair Outback Traveller and Toofi make most appeal in what is always one of the most competitive races of the season, with preference just going to the former. Lightly-raced 4-y-o Brando will be suited by the return to 6f and is another to consider, along with Spring Loaded, Ninjago and Buckstay.

R6 Queen Alexandra Stakes (Conditions) (2) 2m5f 2:35am

Timeform Rating of previous winners: 119 117 110 124 117 (Avg 117)

Betting Forecast

$3.3 Oriental Fox, $5.4 Amour de Nuit, $5.9 Clondaw Warrior, $6.6 Pinzolo, 6.8 Sandro Botticelli, $7 Commissioned, $7.8 Grumeti, $8 Frosty Berry, $8.5 bar

Analyst’s Verdict

Oriental Fox was an impressive winner of this last year and holds sound claims of a repeat on the back of a good reappearance over shorter here last month, particularly as soft ground won’t faze him. The Willie Mullins pair Clondaw Warrior and 2012 winner Simenon are a couple of obvious threats. Amour de Nuit and Commissioned, who has his first run for Gordon Elliott here, complete the shortlist.

 

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