Timeform Shortlist: Newmarket July Festival Day 3

Posted: July 9, 2016 at 1:56 pm

R1 Rossdales EBF Stallions Maiden Fillies’ Stakes (4) 7f 11:15pm

Timeform Rating of previous winners: – – – 105 114

Top Rated & Flags

Rossdales EBF Stallions Maiden Fillies’ Stakes

Betting Forecast

5.5 Dabyah, 7 Dubara, 7.5 Pichola Dance, Amabilis, 8.5 Sasini, 10 Mary Anne Evans, 15 Whispered Promise, 17 Carol, Excellent Sunset, 23 Varun’s Bride

Analyst’s Verdict

The market should reveal plenty but there’s lots to like about Dabyah on paper so she gets the verdict. Dubara shaped well on her debut at Yarmouth and is open to plenty of improvement, while the booking of Ryan Moore for Amabilis catches the eye.

Race 2 Spa At Bedford Lodge Hotel Nursery Handicap (2) 7f 11:50pm

Top Rated & Flags

Spa At Bedford Lodge Hotel Nursery Handicap

Betting Forecast

4.5 Spiritous, 5.5 High Acclaim, 7 Bacchus, 9 Pleaseletmewin, Mistime, 12 Showdance Kid, 15 Kreb’s Cycle, 23 Challow, 26 Quandary Peak, 34 Ingleby Mackenzie

Analyst’s Verdict

Spiritous gets the narrow vote in a race full of interesting, unexposed 2-y-os. Although all out last time, the form has a strong look to it (third has won since) and the fact that he should be able to bowl along in front once more could give him the edge he requires in a competitive nursery. High Acclaim warrants a mention following his impressive maiden win, as does the gutsy Mistime.

Race 3 bet365 Mile (Handicap) (2) 1m 12:25am

Top Rated & Flags

bet365 Mile (Handicap)

Betting Forecast

5 Silent Attack, 6 Hornsby, 6.5 Von Blucher, 7.5 Manson, 8.5 Sir Roderic, 11 Mikmak, 21 Whitman, 23 Replenish, 26 Palawan, 34 Perkunas, 67 bar

Analyst’s Verdict

Manson was an impressive winner of a Sandown handicap on his return and is worth another chance off his revised mark having probably found the going against him in the Britannia at Royal Ascot since. Von Blucher remains on a tempting mark on his AW maiden win and is feared most ahead of Godolphin-improvers Silent Attack and Hornsby.

Race 4 bet365 Superlative Stakes (Group 2) (1) 7f 1:00am

Timeform Rating of previous winners: 122 118 117 127 123 (Avg 121)

Top Rated & Flags

bet365 Superlative Stakes

Betting Forecast

5 South Seas, 6 War Decree, Cunco, 7 Bin Battuta, 11 Boynton, 15 White Tower, 17 Mr Scaramanga, Monks Stand, Hyperfocus, 101 bar

Analyst’s Verdict

It seems significant that Ballydoyle rely solely on War Decree, who looked a smart prospect when making a winning debut at Leopardstown 3 weeks ago. South Seas justified market confidence in great style in a soft-ground maiden at Windsor and is another to consider, while Cunco left the impression he has more to offer after his fine third in the Chesham at Royal Ascot.

Race 5 Darley July Cup (Group 1) (1) 6f 1:35am

Timeform Rating of previous winners: 135 133 137 133 130 (Avg 134)

Top Rated & Flags

July Cup

Betting Forecast

7 Twilight Son, 8 Magical Memory, 9 Limato, Profitable, 9.5 Quiet Reflection, 15 Air Force Blue, 17 Don’t Touch, 23 Danzeno, Suedois, 26 Jungle Cat, 29 Cotai Glory, 34 Waady, 41 bar

Analyst’s Verdict

One of the most competitive renewals in recent times. Twilight Son is just about the pick on form and may have a bit more to offer, so is selected to get the better of Magical Memory again. Royal Ascot winners Quiet Reflection and Profitable are also big players, while Jungle Cat is offered at bigger odds.

Race 6 bet365 Bunbury Cup (Heritage Handicap) (2) 7f 2:10am

Top Rated & Flags

Bunbury Cup

Betting Forecast

8 Buckstay, 10 Golden Steps, 11 Heaven’s Guest, 15 Mutawathea, 17 Growl, Flash Fire, 19 Tanzeel, Glory Awaits, 21 Farlow, 23 Glorious Empire, Bossy Guest, 26 Emell, Squats, 34 Perfect Pasture, Dinkum Diamond, Majestic Moon, B Fifty Two, Boomshackerlacker, Accession, Kickboxer

Analyst’s Verdict

Golden Steps is an ideal sort for these big-field handicaps, impressive winner of the consolation race for the Stewards’ Cup at Goodwood last summer, and this trip should suit at least as well judged on his eye-catching third at Chester 6 weeks ago. Growl is thriving for his new stable now and is feared most under a penalty, while Buckstay and Heaven’s Guest are sure to be on the premises again.

Race 7 Longines Irish Champions Weekend Handicap (3) 1½m 2:45am

Top Rated & Flags

Irish Champions Weekend

Betting Forecast

4.5 Lord George, 5 Rockspirit, 8.5 Sbraase, 9 Gold Faith, 10 Another Go, 12 Al, 17 Mengli Khan, 21 Sellingallthetime, Hepplewhite, 23 Cape of Glory

Analyst’s Verdict

Rockspirit and Lord George are showing no sign that their improvement is about to end any time soon, so they are taken to fight out the finish. Marginal preference is for the former, a big galloping type who has been crying out for the step up to this trip. Sbraase could provide an each-way alternative given that he’s been really consistent this year.

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