Timeform Shortlist: Newmarket July Festival Day 1

Posted: July 7, 2016 at 1:49 pm

R1 Bahrain Trophy Group 3 (1) 1m5f 11:10pm

Timeform Rating of previous winners: 131 119 118 125 124 (Avg 123)

Top Rated & Flags

Bahrain Trophy

Betting Forecast

3.4 Prize Money, 5.6 Housesofparliament, 6.1 Platitude, 7.2 Shabeeb, 8.1 Harbour Law, 12.1 Gunnery, 17.5 Race Day, 30 Harrison, 34 Goldmember

Analyst’s Verdict

Platitude looks a typical improver for the yard and his latest second under top weight at Royal Ascot suggests he’s capable of making a big impact at this level. Shabeeb is improving fast and is another to consider, along with Prize Money, who was beaten only by subsequent Eclipse-winner Hawkbill in the Tercentenary Stakes but needs to settle better up in trip.

Race 2 Arqana July Stakes Group 2 (1) 6f 11:40pm

Timeform Rating of previous winners: 128 117 122 132 128 (Avg 125)

Top Rated & Flags

Arqana Stakes

Betting Forecast

3.9 Mehmas, 4 Ardad, 7.5 Intelligence Cross, 9 Silver Line, 11.4 Broken Stones, 12.6 Love Dreams, 15 Yalta, 23 Medici Banchiere, 50 bar

Analyst’s Verdict

Ardad impressed with how quickly he put the Windsor Castle to bed at Royal Ascot just 6 days on from his winning debut, and he’s taken to provide a second successive win in this race for his trainer/jockey. Mehmas beat the others comfortably when second in the Coventry and rates a serious threat, while Silver Line was another who was placed at the Royal Meeting and has more to offer upped to 6f.

Race 3 Princess of Wales’s Arqana Racing Club Stakes Group 2 (1) 1½m 12:15am

Timeform Rating of previous winners: 128 117 122 132 128 (Avg 125)

Top Rated & Flags

Princess of Wales's

Betting Forecast

3.7 Exosphere, 4.8 Second Step, 5.2 The Grey Gatsby, 6.2 Elite Army, 9.1 Big Orange, 10.2 Muntazah, 23 Battersea

Analyst’s Verdict

The Grey Gatsby has plenty of high-class form to his name and his style of running offers encouragement that he’ll stay this far. Exosphere’s run at the Royal Meeting was too bad to be true and he is feared most despite his penalty, with Second Step best of the others with his yard in better form now.

Race 4 Betfred Mobile Stakes (Heritage Handicap) (2) 6f 12:45am

Top Rated & Flags

Betfred Mobile Stakes

Betting Forecast

6.4 Taneen, 7.1 Dancing Star, 8.2 Show Stealer, 9.8 Projection, 11.6 Bounce, 12 Light Music, 12.1 Strong Challenge, 15 Venturous, 21 bar

Analyst’s Verdict

C&D winner Taneen could well be a Group horse given the impressive manner of his victory at Leicester and he’s hard to get away from. Projection and Dancing Star head the main dangers, while Bounce shaped really well behind the selection on her reappearance.

Race 5 British Stallion Studs EBF Maiden Fillies’ Stakes (4) (D.I) 6f 1:20am

Timeform Rating of previous winners: 99 121 101 98 108 (Avg 105)

Top Rated & Flags

Maiden Fillies' Stakes

Betting Forecast

4.5 Oh So Terrible, 7.3 Believable, 8.4 Manama, 9.3 Texas Katie, 11.1 Arwa, 17.5 Hawana, 22 Sun Angel, 26 The Lacemaker, 38 bar

Analyst’s Verdict

Wesley Ward’s 2-y-os are always worth a second look, and market confidence behind Oh So Terrible would look significant. Texas Katie caught the eye on debut and is bound to improve, while Believable is another interesting newcomer.

Race 6 British Stallion Studs EBF Maiden Fillies’ Stakes (4) (D.II) 6f 1:55am

Timeform Rating of previous winners: 99 121 101 98 108 (Avg 105)

Top Rated & Flags

Maiden Fillies' Stakes II

Betting Forecast

6.1 Easy Victory, 7.4 Bouquet de Flores, 7.6 Glitter Girl, 8.1 Tropical Rock, 14.3 Island In The Sky, 16.7 Marwa, 18.5 Suffragette City, 26 Mythical Spirit, 44 bar

Analyst’s Verdict

Tropical Rock shaped well when third in an Ascot maiden on debut 2 months ago and she can put her experience to good use. Godolphin-pair Bouquet de Flores and Easy Victory head a clutch of interesting newcomers.

Race 7 Plusvital Sir Henry Cecil Stakes (Listed) (1) 1m 2:30am

Timeform Rating of previous winners: – – 126 126 122 (Avg 125)

Top Rated & Flags

Sir Henry Cecil Stakes

Betting Forecast

4.9 Crazy Horse, 5.5 Lumiere, 7.1 Estidraak, 7.6 Cymric, 8.4 Final Frontier, 9.8 Atlantic Sun, 12.1 Kentuckyconnection, 15 General Macarthur, 24 bar

Analyst’s Verdict

Crazy Horse wasn’t far behind the runner-up when sixth in the Poule d’Essai des Poulains at Deauville on his return and looks a big player on that form back down in class. Lumiere is the one to beat judged on her Cheveley Park win but she has to put a tame effort in the 1000 Guineas behind her. Impressive maiden winners Manaboo and Estidraak are potentially smart so need considering, too.

Race 8 Robinsons Mercedes-Benz Handicap (3) 5f 3:05am

Top Rated & Flags

Mercedes Benz Handicap

Betting Forecast

9.1 Diamond Lady, 9.2 Snap Shots, 10.5 Lady Kyllar, 11.2 Top Boy, 11.3 Krystallite, 11.6 Rosie’s Premier, 12.8 Soie d’Leau, 16.4 Normal Equilibrium, 17 bar

Analyst’s Verdict

Soie d’Leau did best of those drawn high in a strong-looking handicap at Newcastle 2 weeks ago, suggesting his turn is near. Lady Kyllar, Vimy Ridge and Normal Equilibrium complete the shortlist.

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