Timeform Shortlist: Leopardstown, Wednesday 28th December 2016

Posted: December 28, 2016

Race Speed Profiles  Full PDF: Leopardstown, Tuesday 28th December 2016

R1 At The Races Maiden Hurdle 2½m35y 11:15pm

Timeform Rating of previous winners: 135 141 135 133 143 (Avg 137)

Top Rated & Flags

Betting Forecast

$2.62 Montalbano, $8.5 Black Key, $11 Youcannotbeserious, $15 Ask Nile, Cap York, $17 Harold Peto, Its All Guesswork, $23 Cresus de Grissay, $26 Wigs On The Green, $34 Half Moon Street, Political Theatre, $51 bar

Analyst’s Verdict

Montalbano ran with plenty of promise on his hurdling bow at Auteuil in March and can make a successful debut for his new connections here. Black Key and Youcannotbeserious head the list of dangers.

Race 2 Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle (Qualifier) 3m 11:50pm

Top Rated & Flags

Betting Forecast

$10 Presenting Percy, $15 The Crafty Butcher, Isleofhopendreams, Sea Light, Electric Concorde, $17 Voices of Spring, $21 Mydor, Rathpatrick, $26 Noble Inn, Billy’s Hope, $29 Woodford Island, Waxies Dargle, Mahler Ten, Go It Alone, Wood Breizh, $34 Barnahash Rose, Bridgets Pet, Garri Rua, Rossvoss, Maggio, $41 bar

Analyst’s Verdict

Presenting Percy has taken really well to hurdling and found further improvement when scoring on handicap debut at Punchestown last month. He is bred to stay this longer trip and can land the hat-trick. In a wide-open event there are dangers aplenty, however, with Isleofhopendreams, Sea Light and Voices of Spring chief amongst them.

Race 3 Ballymaloe Foods Beginners Chase (DD1) (Q1) 2m3f 12:20am

Timeform Rating of previous winners: 150 137 150 152 148 (Avg 147)

Top Rated & Flags

Betting Forecast

$4 Bleu Et Rouge, $6 Gangster, $6.5 Acapella Bourgeois, $7 Don’t Touch It, $7.5 Gwencily Berbas, $23 Bosman Rule, $26 Bright Tomorrow, Jett, $34 Joxer, $41 bar

Analyst’s Verdict

Gangster just gets the nod in a competitive beginners chase. A useful performer over hurdles, he made a fine start to his chasing career when second at Punchestown earlier this month and this longer trip will suit him better. Bleu Et Rouge, Acapella Bourgeois and Don’t Touch It look the principal dangers.

Race 4 Squared Financial Christmas Hurdle (Grade 1) 3m 12:50am

Timeform Rating of previous winners: 166 167 169 159 174 (Avg 167)

Top Rated & Flags

Betting Forecast

$1.90 Vroum Vroum Mag, $6 Snow Falcon, $10 Kotkikova, $11 Clondaw Warrior, $13 Shaneshill, $19 De Plotting Shed, $101 bar

Analyst’s Verdict

Vroum Vroum Mag lost nothing in defeat when edged out by the race-fit Apple’s Jade on her reappearance and is fancied to resume winning ways here. Snow Falcon and Clondaw Warrior may give her most to think about, although support for the ex-French trained mare Kotkikova could be significant.

Race 5 Irish Daily Star Christmas Novice Handicap Hurdle 2m  1:25am

Top Rated & Flags

Betting Forecast

$5.5 Bull Ride, $7.5 Tudor City, $9.5 The Irregular, Spider Web, $10 Charlie Stout, Thirsty Work, $13 Whats The Plot, Camlann, Ben Dundee, $15 Aretesone, $51 bar

Analyst’s Verdict

Whats The Plot turned in his best effort yet over hurdles at Thurles this month, not at all knocked about, and he looks interesting on handicap debut. Bull Ride and Charlie Stout make most appeal of the remainder.

Race 6 Lexus Chase (Grade 1) 3m 2:00am

Timeform Rating of previous winners: 176 181 174 172 171 (Avg 175)

Top Rated & Flags

Betting Forecast

$5.5 Valseur Lido, $4 Djakadam, $11 Outlander, Zabana, $17 Don Poli, $21 Gilgamboa, More of That, $26 Road To Riches, $34 Taquin du Seuil, $51 bar

Analyst’s Verdict

Djakadam didn’t need to be at his best to make a winning return in the John Durkan this month, but that will have put him spot on for this, and he can make it successive wins in this for Willie Mullins. Vasleur Lido made an impressive start for Henry d Bromhead last month and looks a big danger, while 2014-winner Road To Riches should go well at an each-way price.

Race 7 Midland Legal Solicitors I.N.H. Flat 2m 2:35am

Timeform Rating of previous winners: 112 105 114 117 101 (Avg 110)

Top Rated & Flags

Betting Forecast

$3.12 Carter Mckay, $5.5 Moyross, $8.5 General Trickery, $10 Raise A Tail, Marta Mes, $11 Caliption, $15 Bakmaj, $21 Simone

Analyst’s Verdict

Carter McKay cost connections plenty after winning a point in April and can provide Willie Mullins with another winner on Rules debut. Moyross and Raise A Tail head the dangers.

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