Timeform Shortlist: Leopardstown, Tuesday 27th December 2016

Posted: December 27, 2016

Race Speed Profiles  Full PDF: Leopardstown, Tuesday 27th December 2016

R1 Paddy Power ‘Only 363 Days Till Christmas’ 3-Y-O Maiden Hurdle 2m 11:15pm

Timeform Rating of previous winners: 135 137 133 140 153 (Avg 140)

Top Rated & Flags

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Betting Forecast

$3.5 Housesofparliament, $4.3 Sword Fighter, $8.5 Icario, Meri Devie, $17 Alcander, $26 Easy Pass, $27 Tree of Knowledge, $41 bar

Analyst’s Verdict

A fascinating clash between classy Flat performers Housesofparliament and Sword Fighter. The Leger third was the better of the pair on the level for Ballydoyle and is the pick of Geraghty, so could have the measure of his stablemate who won at Royal Ascot. The promising Icario and the Mullins French recruit Meri Devie add further spice to what looks a sizzling 3-y-o maiden hurdle.

Race 2 Paddy Power ‘Easiest To Use Mobile App’ Maiden Hurdle 2m 11:45pm

Timeform Rating of previous winners: 121 140 145 132 141 (Avg 136)

Top Rated & Flags

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Betting Forecast

$1.7 Bacardys, $4 Capital Force, $9 Kolumbus, $41 bar

Analyst’s Verdict

Smart in bumpers, Bacardys would surely have made a winning start over hurdles had he completed at Cork and compensation awaits if none the worse. Capital Force made a promising debut at Fairyhouse and can build on that, while Kolumbus, like his stablemate, also fell first time up over hurdles at Cork but can do better.

Race 3 Paddy Power Cashcard Chase (Grade 1) 2m1f 12:20am

Timeform Rating of previous winners: 165 167 167 169 167 (Avg 167)

Top Rated & Flags

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Betting Forecast

$1.2 Douvan, $13 Black Hercules, $15 Simply Ned, Sizing John, $67 bar

Analyst’s Verdict

Potentially an all-time great, Douvan can make it 13 wins in a row back at the sight of 2 of his widest-margin victories. Simply Ned had to settle for second in this last year despite being 3 lengths clear at the last and it should be tight between him and Sizing John for that spot.

Race 4 Paddy Power Future Champions Novice Hurdle (Grade 1) 2m 1:30am

Timeform Rating of previous winners: 146 168 157 147 151 (Avg 154)

Top Rated & Flags

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Betting Forecast

$4 Peace News, $4.5 Saturnas, $5.5 Riven Light, $9 Le Martalin, $9.5 Sunni May, $13 Avenir d’Une Vie, $21 Brelade, $23 Lion In His Heart

Analyst’s Verdict

This is much tougher than the Thurles maiden Riven Light landed on his hurdles debut, but he couldn’t have been more impressive and it looks significant that Ruby Walsh partners him instead of stablemate Saturnas, who was runner-up in the Royal Bond at Fairyhouse. Peace News, who was bang there when falling 2 out in the Royal Bond, rates the main danger. Sunni May also enters calculations.

Race 5 Paddy Power ‘You Beauty’ Handicap Hurdle 2m 2:30am

Top Rated & Flags

timeform-leopardstown-2712-r5

Betting Forecast

$9.5 Morga, $10 That’s A Wrap, $11 Fire In Soul, $13 Veinard, Supasundae, Swamp Fox, $15 Cliff House, De Name Escapes Me, $19 Desoto County, $23 Okotoks, $26 Ice Cold Soul, Sound Money, Light That, $27 After Rain, $34 Guitar Pete, Theophilus, Runyon Rattler, $41 bar

Analyst’s Verdict

That’s A Wrap is firmly on the up, and a further 8 Ib rise for his latest success might not be enough to prevent the hat-trick. This is competitive though, with Cliff House, Fire In Soul and De Name Escapes Me all having plenty to recommend them.

Race 6 Paddy Power Chase (Extended Handicap) (Grade B) 3m100y 2:00am

Top Rated & Flags

timeform-leopardstown-2712-r6

Betting Forecast

$12 The Crafty Butcher, $13 Rogue Trader, $15 Ucello Conti, Noble Endeavor, Bonny Kate, $17 Oscar Knight, Gallant Oscar, Killer Miller, $19 Peoples Park, Otago Trail, $23 Colms Dream, Sambremont, $26 Rolly Baby, $29 Thunder And Roses, Stellar Notion, It Came To Pass, $41 bar

Analyst’s Verdict

Barry Geraghty has elected to partner Rogue Trader from a choice of six JP McManus-owned contenders, and the lightly-raced gelding can repay his jockey’s faith by landing this valuable prize. The 7-y-o did the job well at Punchestown, an 8 lb rise is fair and this trip should be within his range. Oscar Knight looks dangerous, as does The Crafty Butcher, while Killer Miller also needs considering.

Race 7 Paddy Power Games ‘One For The Road’ I.N.H. Flat 2½m 2:35am

Timeform Rating of previous winners: 118 109 134 112 109 (Avg 116)

Top Rated & Flags

timeform-leopardstown-2712-r7

Betting Forecast

$3.75 Ballyward, $4.5 Scarteen, $5 Minella Fair, $6.5 Caltex, $12 Drumconnor Lad, $34 Snugsborough Benny, $41 bar

Analyst’s Verdict

Several to consider, with Scarteen interesting starting out for Dermot Weld and preferred to Caltex and bumper debutant Ballyward.

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