Timeform Shortlist: Royal Ascot Day 1

Posted: June 14, 2016 at 12:15 pm

R1 Queen Anne Stakes (Group 1) (1) 1m 11:30pm

Timeform Rating of previous winners: 147 161 140 140 140 (Avg 146)

Top Rated & Flags

queen anne timeform

Betting Forecast

$6.2 Tepin, $5.1 Ervedya, $5.2 Belardo, $8.4 Endless Drama, $8.8 Esoterique, $15 Kodi Bear, $23 Amazing Maria, $24 Toormore, $30 Barchan

Analyst’s Verdict

Ervedya won the Coronation Stakes at this meeting last year, and looks set for another big run following a sound reappearance last month, so she looks a solid alternative to the high-class Tepin, who is the one to beat on form but has to prove she is as effective in this different environment. The rain which has arrived will enhance the chances of Belardo, and he’s another to consider.

R2 Coventry Stakes (Group 2) (1) 6f 12.05am

Timeform Rating of previous winners: 147 161 140 140 140 (Avg 146)

Top rated & Flags

coventry stakes timeform

Betting Forecast

$3.4 Caravaggio, $7.2 Psychedelic Funk, $8.6 Mehmas, $9.4 Yalta, $10 Mokarris, $18.5 Thunder Snow, Broken Stones, $21 Silvertoni, $25 bar

Analyst’s Verdict

It’s hard to get away from Caravaggio, who has looked a very smart performer winning both starts this season, and he can give his master trainer a record eighth success in this contest. As ever, the Coventry isn’t a one-horse race though, with the similarly unbeaten trio Psychedelic Funk, Yalta and Mokarris all very live dangers.

 

R3 King’s Stand Stakes (Group 1) (1) 12:40am

Timeform Rating of previous winners: 134 136 136 138 129 (Avg 135)

Top Rated & Flags

Kings Stand Stakes

Betting Forecast

$3.55 Mecca’s Angel, $6.4 Profitable, $8.4 Acapulco, $14.5 Waady, $15 Pearl Secret, $20 Goldream, Muthmir, $23 Mongolian Saturday, $24 bar

Analyst’s Verdict

It’s hard to choose between Mecca’s Angel and Profitable. The latter had match fitness on his side when winning the Temple Stakes at Haydock and Mecca’s Angel narrowly gets the vote to turn the tables. Acapulco looks best of the others.

R4 St James’s Palace Stakes (Group 1) (1) 1m 1:20am

Timeform Rating of previous winners: 137 133 140 146 142 (Avg 140)

Top Rated & Flags

St James' Palace Stakes

Betting Forecast

$2.56 The Gurkha, $2.86 Awtaad, $7 Galileo Gold, $14 Emotionless, $21 Zonderland, $50 First Selection, $65 Cymric, $130 Ehtiraas

Analyst’s Verdict

A fascinating clash between 3 Guineas winners, with The Gurkha making the best impression when successful in France and having the most scope for further progress. Curragh-winner Awtaad is improving too, though all his form is on soft ground, while Newmarket winner Galileo Gold is better than he was able to show in Ireland.

R5 Ascot Stakes (Handicap) (2) 2½m 3:00am

Top Rated & Flags

Ascot Stakes

Betting Forecast

$7.2 Pique Sous, $8.2 Silver Concorde, $8.6 Sempre Medici, $9.8 Jennies Jewel, $10 Galizzi, $12 No Heretic, $15 Moscato, $15.5 Eshtiaal, $17 bar

Analyst’s Verdict

Silver Concorde did well to finish as close as he did when third to No Heretic in the Chester Cup, having been left with plenty to do. This marathon trip should be in his favour and Dermot Weld’s charge is taken to emerge on top this time. No Heretic should again be involved but Pique Sous, a winner at the 2014 Royal meeting, and Galizzi, who looks the pick of Godolphin’s quartet, are feared most.

R6 Windsor Castle Stakes (Listed) (1) 5f 4:35am

Timeform Rating of previous winners: 126 114 115 122 117 (Avg 119)

Top Rated & Flags

windsor castle stakes

Betting Forecast

$6 Drafted, $6.1 Big City Dreamin, $8.6 Mister Trader, $9.2 Battaash, $12 Tomily, $12.5 Savannah’s Dream, $13 Ardad, $14.5 Kananee, $15 bar

Analyst’s Verdict

Tomily may have had four races already, but he’s created a really good impression the last twice. He faces by far his stiffest test to date here, but it’s hard to think we’ve seen the best of him yet, so he is taken to land the spoils. The North American duo of Drafted and Big City Dreamin have to be feared, with Yulong Baobei and Pedestal completing the shortlist.

 

timeform key

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