THE TRIAL FILES
Sale – 18th November
The rail back to the True after being out at 6m for the most recent meeting. It was advantageous to be on the inside that day and the fresh section of grass should result in the track playing fairly.
Sale is one of the better betting tracks for mine with a generous run into the home turn with a nice wide straight. The 1100M start has a 600M run into the home bend which means horses get plenty of time to find their positions. Jockeys aren’t under pressure to get over form wide draws and as a result the tempo can be more pedestrian than it would be if the race were to start nearer to a bend.
The Speed Map:
Only fair here.
INTERNSHIP showed enough speed in a recent trial to come over from gate six and seek the early lead. The locally trained ILIKEHOWITFEELS will look to use gate two and be prominent while STYLISH ASSASSIN has shown a degree of toe this preparation and suspect Damien Oliver will press forward form the wide draw. They will only roll at a moderate tempo and horses up on speed should be advantaged.
The Standout Trial:
STYLISH ASSASSIN has caught my eye twice at the trials this preparation.
At Caulfield on the 4th November it was noted:
SYLISH ASSASSIN won the trial by 3-4L impressively. He travelled nicely in the run and then quickened down well when asked for an effort over the final 300M. He has always shown a bit on the track but failed to deliver on raceday – on the back of this trial he looks set for a solid preparation.
Mick Price took him to the official trials at Cranbourne on the 9th November and again the son of Exceed And Excel went nicely. The trial was more workmanlike which is typical of a Mick Price horse leading into his resumption.
Key Cranbourne Trial:
INTERNSHIP and CHEN BAY competed in a 990m trial at Cranbourne last week.
INTERNSHIP showed very good tactical speed to lead the heat and he was able to boot away under his own steam, eventually winning the trial by 3L. It was a nice work and it was good to see him show improved early speed leading into this second preparation.
CHEN BAY drifted back in the heat before being extricated to the outside, slowly working through his gears late. He took a bit of riding at the top of the straight but by the post was working strongly under light urging. The trial was good, but more so of a horse looking for further than 1100M. Expect him to be hitting the line strongly as a pipe-opener to something a little longer next start.
The stable have clearly harboured a big opinion of STYLISH ASSSASSIN for some time, as evidenced by his $3.80 SP in a listed race on debut at Caulfield.
The owners have opted to geld him as a 3YO and that seems to have really settled him down. It was reported he sweated up terribly in the mounting yard at his first two starts and seemingly he ran his race before hitting the track.
He has shown a little more tactical speed this campaign and that will help him offset the wide draw and race handy to the speed. The 1100m looks ideal on the back of two trials and he rates as a short priced favourite in my books.
INTERNSHIP showed glimpses of ability in his first campaign and appears to have come back a far better horse for this his second preparation. I was especially taken with the early speed he showed in that recent trial and this race looks a very winnable first up assignment.
MA DEUCE is a new addition to the Greg Eurell stable having previously been trained in Sydney by John Hawkes. He trialled in Sydney back in May and showed early speed before knocking up the last furlong. Unfortunately he hasn’t trialled publicly this time in based on that work in Sydney coupled with the fact he is a 4YO who has clearly had issues getting to the track I’d be willing to risk him on debut.
CHEN BAY looks to have above average ability but is still very green and learning what the caper is all about. The inside draw might help him settle a touch closer but it will also see him racing cluttered up inside horses – which based on the recent trial doesn’t seem ideal.
The Betting Strategy:
These two will totally dominate the market.
BACK – WIN – STYLISH ASSASSIN – Rates as a $2.50 chance here and has been rightly backed in from $4.40 to $3.20 in early markets. Have 3 units to WIN.
BACK – WIN – INTERNSHIP – Rates a $4 clear second pick. – Have 3 units to WIN.