The Pink Sheets: Morphettville, Saturday 23rd April – Over The Line Punting

Over The Line Punting

The Pink Sheets – Morphettville, Saturday 23rd April

 

R6 R N Irwin Stakes WFA 1100m Group 3

Race Assessment and Confidence

Race Confidence: High

Tuscan Sling returns off a 56 day break & is 3/3 f/up so should be assessed close to her best. Has a 50% win S/R & boasts recent form around Azkadellia. Drawn well & will only need clear running late to prove very HTB. Northern Zhar is very talented & had no luck from the barrier first up. He can atone although drawn awkwardly once again. Happy to back both as suggested below. Daytona Grey, Nostradamus and Runway Star look the other principal chances.

Major Players

9. Tuscan Sling: Very talented mare. Comes off a 56 day let up but fires fresh. Drawn well & has form around some very good horses. 50% win S/R. Yes!

7. Northern Zhar: Overlook his first up run when had no luck from bad barrier. He was well backed that day. Can atone with better luck in running.

1. Daytona Grey: Very solid win first up & won this race last year on wet ground. Data suggests very forward first up so not much improvement likely but chance.

2. Nostradamus: Very talented on his day and was OK first up last start. Just one win since August 2014 and needs to lift but is capable of doing do. In the mix.

10. Runway Star: Solid win first up for new trainer last start but did have great run t/out & was >SUI. Kept fresh but 1100m & 2/up stats are a little concern.

 

Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Northen Zhar – 1 units at $12 or more

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Tuscan Sling – 5 units at $1.95 or more

The Pink Sheets full analysis for Morphettville Race 6

 

R7 Auraria Stakes F SWP 3yo 1800m Group 3

Race Assessment and Confidence

Confidence: High

Artesian comes off 28 day break but should be SUI by drop back from 2000m under those circumstances. Maps well & should get ECH. Alittle Loose has similar formlines and should also get an economical run in transit. Concubine appears to offer the most upside on recent form & must be respected also. Happy to back all three as suggested below. Sailing By needs to settle better but has claims. Street Spun, Beluga Blue and Dashebo round out the principal chance’s. Silent Sedition appears unders.

Major Players

9. Artesian: From powerful Godolphin yard & comes into the race with solid credentials. Likely to get a good run third out & looks a big chance.

13. Alittle Loose: Another who hails from a very solid interstate yard and also brings the right credentials. Drawn well & looks a genuine contender.

16. Concubine: Had the three runs back from a long spell and looks set to peak here. Pedigree suggests that the trip should hold no fears & is a good chance.

5. Sailing By: Racing well but over exerted on the speed last start. Blinkers come off and has solid figures but she will need to relax better to win today.

12. Street Spun: Solid fifth in main SA lead up last start and has a jockey change today. Unlikely to improve on last start but is in the mix if can hold that level.

 

Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Artesian – 2 units at $8.5 or more

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Alittle Loose – 1 unit at $8.5 or more

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Concubine – 2 units at $8 or more

 

The Pink Sheets full analysis for Morphettville Race 7