The Betfair Insider Ratings: Pakenham, Thursday 28th April 2016

Posted: April 28, 2016 at 12:09 pm

Betfair Insider

Race comments, confidence and ratings across the entire card at Pakenham.

Pakenham Markets R1 – 8

Bruce Clough Maiden Plate | 1200m | 6:00pm

Code Break is lightly raced (3 starts) and resumed last start over this track and distance with a close second to Jawsome, returning a rating that is well clear of the others in this race. With top jockey Damian Lane riding he’s justifiably a short priced favourite.

Race Confidence: Good

Runner Name Rating
5. Codebreak $1.65
4. Calabah Flame $4.50
6. Favourite Sister $11.00
3. Gamora $15.00
1. Yankee Foxtrot $51.00

 

Martin Collins Maiden Plate | 2200m | 6:30pm

A difficult low grade staying race with two dominant chances, but scope for an upset with both likely to settle near the tail of the field

Race Confidence: Low

Runner Name Rating
6. The Weald $2.50
5. Transfixed $2.70
10. Zrinski $12.00
7. Just A Prayer Away $15.00
3. Harmeal $21.00
1. Bar Date $67.00
2. Crusin $101.00
8. Miss Laurenjosh $101.00
4. Misty Night $201.00

 

Polytack 3YO Maiden Plate | 1600m | 7:00pm

Field of Fire was very good last start sitting wide with no cover and only beaten very narrowly into 2nd. That’s clearly the best recent form in this race and from a good draw he looks to map very well. La Padrina presents as the main danger off two second placings in similar strength races and the Winkers on first time.

Race Confidence: Good

Runner Name Rating
3. Field Of Fire $1.80
10. La Padrina $5.50
8. Super Charm $12.00
1. Cantillate $14.00
11. Sals Reward $21.00
5. Mr Charisma $34.00
9. Tudeto $41.00
12. Myall Glen $151.00

 

Schweppes Maiden Plate | 1400m | 7:30pm

Red Silhouette was just even first up when sixth in this grade, but that rating is very competitive here and she has plenty of scope to improve towards her previous peak. Crystal Wand comes off a competitive last start rating and looks much better suited up to 1400m.

Race Confidence: Low

Runner Name Rating
11. Red Silhouette $2.40
6. Crystal Wand $4.20
3. Dame Largo $6.00
10. Falika $10.00
9. Egregious $26.00
8. Denmark $41.00
1. Budzone $101.00
5. Street Opera $151.00
13. Misty Lightfull $151.00
4. Jubel $301.00
12. Reigning Jewel $301.00

 

XXXX Gold BM64 | 1000m | 8:00pm

Wind Force is first up but 3 career starts so far have returned ratings that suggest he’s clearly the best horse in this field. On debut he was a very impressive 4L winner over 1200m on this Synthetic course.

Streetshavenoname has been very consistently lately without winning and has a number of past ratings, including last start that could challenge Wind Force if he’s not somewhere near his best.

Race Confidence: Good

Runner Name Rating
3. Wind Force $1.90
6. Streetshavenoname $4.50
1. Tycoon Felix $10.00
2. Kernahan $15.00
4. Stiletto $15.00
7. Gauteng Gal $81.00
8. Western Swing $20.00

 

Bet365 Australia BM64 | 1600m | 8:30pm

Lunar Spin is currently a dominant favourite, but that’s more on potential than the quality in his last start win. It wouldn’t surprise if he won again, but there’s no value. Party Boy rated well winning of this trip at Echuca last start and a repeat performance puts him in the finish. Crisis Point comes off two recent ratings that are right in the competitive mix here.

Race Confidence: Average

Runner Name Rating
8. Lunar Spin $4.00
9. Party Boy $4.60
6. Crisis Point $7.00
3. Momentary $7.50
4. Trancing $8.50
2. Latin Moves $13.00
1. Asqullion $51.00
11. Tupelo Boy $61.00
7. Gallant Spur $67.00
5. Aztec Storm $81.00

 

Racing.com BM64 | 2200m | 9:00pm

A very competitive race with a number of chances.

Race Confidence: Low

Runner Name Rating
2. Barwon $4.40
6. Our Elliott $4.80
1. Lord Ore $7.00
7. Dollars Not Sense $10.00
9. My Naughty Hoaks $10.00
4. Faraja $14.00
3. Bamberg $16.00
5. Cape Londonderry $34.00
8. See Line Woman $34.00
10. Lemon Crush $71.00
11. Honourable Fred $101.00
12. Believe In Harmony $201.00

 

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Ruralco MB64 | 1400m | 9:30pm

All In The Reflexs is first up from the Mick Price stable off a solid first preparation that included a second placing in Saturday grade over this distance. Her other ratings are comfortably below that level, but that talent has to be respected and it would not surprise to see her resume here at somewhere near that level. Hi Spun has been very consistent in recent runs with very competitive ratings and maps ideally.

Race Confidence: Average

Runner Name Rating
8. All In The Reflexs $3.60
11. Hi Spun $4.00
2. Dangerous Spin $6.50
3. Kaphni $13.00
1. Millau $14.00
5. Redwood Gardens $16.00
10. Seguro $21.00
9. Nacirema $41.00
4. Abichi $51.00
7. Unabashed $126.00
12. Goody Gumdrops $151.00