The Betfair Insider Ratings: Pakenham, Thursday 14th April 2016

Posted: April 14, 2016

Betfair Insider

Race comments, confidence and ratings across the entire card at Pakenham.

Pakenham Markets R1 – 7

R1 Schweppes Maiden Plate | 2200m 6:00pm

There’s very little to get excited about in the form here with a total of 46 previous starts among the field and just 5 placed finishes. Quaternion Eagle looks hardest to beat but not exactly the type of horse / race to be taking a very short price.

Bamberg has the ratings to challenge and at least has more scope for improvement after just 2 career starts.

Race Confidence: Low

Runner Name Rating
3. Quaternion Eagle $2.50
1. Bamberg $3.70
2. Harmeal $7.00
4. Valle Noce $7.50
6. My Sophia $26.00
5. Miss Laurenjosh $51.00

R2 John Duff & Co Maiden Plate 1200m 6:30pm

This race really lacks depth and Sauternes brings dominant ratings from her last 2 starts. She’s the only one that could possibly be considered a betting prospect in this.

Race Confidence: Good

Runner Name  Insider Rating
8. Sauternes  $1.60
6. Codebreak  $5.50
2. Rasputin  $15.00
3. Congratulations  $21.00
4. Hollywood Tycoon  $26.00
5. Jawsome  $26.00

R3 Bet 365 3YO Maiden Plate | 1000m | 7:00pm

Plenty of first uppers add some uncertainty to this race. The Big Le Boomski has had the benefit of a first up run over this trip in a well above average rating Maiden race, which leaves her with a clear top rating figure here. A positive in run position adds to her credentials.

Joyano has been very consistent in her ratings and only need to maintain that form to be very competitive.

Race Confidence: Average

Runner Name  Insider Rating
8. The Big Le Boomski  $2.20
6. Joyano  $6.00
5. Darling Lili  $8.50
9. Tycoon Kate  $15.00
2. Voluto  $16.00
4. Capital City  $26.00
7. Tactical Lass  $26.00
1. Palaios  $34.00
3. Alvilda  $41.00

R4 Frances Knaap BM70 Handicap 1400m | 7:30pm

Ma Deuce is a lightly raced 4YO coming off an impressive last start win where he sat behind a very slow speed and then showed an impressive turn of foot to race away and win by 1.5L, still full of running at the line. That’s the best recent performance in this field and stepping up to 1400m racing close to the lead again looks suitable.

Bobs Hope is a potential big improver at odds. He was never a chance first up at MV settling near last over an unsuitable 1200m, but is up to 1400m here, should settle closer and a number of ratings from last preparation that can be very competitive.

Race Confidence: Average

Runner Name  Insider Rating
3. Ma Duece  $2.30
7. Viceroy  $4.50
8. Star Impluse  $8.00
2. Bobs Hope  $9.00
6. Sharif  $11.00
1. Godspiel  $26.00
4. Northern Journey  $31.00

R5 Racing.com BM64 Handicap | 2200m | 8:00pm

My Naughty Hoaks brings solid ratings from her last 2 runs that rank her at the top of this field and she’s previously won 2 from 4 on this Synthetic track. Treasure Map has had genuine excuses in his last two moderate runs, but has some prior ratings that can measure right up to this. He looks to map ideally here and that could see him bounce back.

Race Confidence: Average

Runner Name  Insider Rating
7. My Naughty Hoaks $3.80
6. Waving $5.00
3. Treasure Map $7.00
5. Western Kingdom $7.00
1. Lord Ore $7.50
4. Barwon $16.00
8. Gift From Heaven $31.00
9. Chadra Boy $126.00
10. Maximum Overdrive $126.00

R6 Polytrack F&M BM64 Handicap 1600m | 8:30pm

A tricky race with all of the chances presenting at least one reason to be concerned about their winning prospects. If winners have been running on from back in the field during the meeting, then Angel Eight presents with appeal. She did a good job last start running on from well back against the slow pace (beaten 2.1L). That run produced a very competitive rating for this and she’s still lightly raced with improvement potential.

Race Confidence: Low

Runner Name  Insider Rating
3. Swifty Red $4.80
6. Angel Eight $4.80
1. Trancing $5.00
2. High Lago $6.50
7. Aura Lee $10.00
5. Dollars Not Sense $15.00
8. Sistine Star $17.00
9. Calmalist $201.00
10. Bibibang $331.00

R7 XXXX Gold BM64 Handicap 1100m | 9:00pm

All About Rhythm was sound first up, beaten 1.1 lengths with a rating that represents the best last start performance in this race. She also multiple ratings from last preparation at that level of better and looks to get a nice run handy to the pace. Nadeem’s Melody comes off a last start win with a very competitive rating for this and looks to map ideally from barrier 4.

Race Confidence: Average

Runner Name  Insider Rating
6. All About Rhythm $3.00
1. Classy Al $6.50
10. Nadeems Melody $7.50
5. Streetshavenoname $10.00
2. Queen Extreme $10.00
9. Nina Rules $10.00
4. Dark Ensign $14.00
8. Nacirema $81.00