The A-League Analyst: Week 5 Preview

Posted: November 6, 2015



Week 5


Sydney FC v Brisbane Roar

Friday November 6, 7:40pm

Match Odds


Sydney FC were good enough to get over the top of the Central Coast last week, though as I suspected it did take them the entire 90 minutes to do so. The 2 goals they scored in the in the 82nd and 88th minutes increased the count to 4 of their 6 goals this season coming after 80 mins. Interestingly enough they also scored a goal in injury time of the first half in their first match. This suggests they are either very fit, very committed or both. In truth though they were a little lucky last week as the Mariners had a certain penalty denied and were reduced to 10 men just before half time.

Brisbane themselves scored a couple of late goals last week though they have also been quick starters scoring before the quarter hour mark in 3 of their first 4 matches. Brisbane are the leading scorers with 10 so far this season however this is somewhat flattering as they have faced teams that have been rather poor in defence. They have also scored 10 goals from 40 attempts at goal, a league high.

Recommended Bets

I’m going to lean on the Sydney stats a bit more heavily here and the play is 2 units on the under 2.5 goals at 2.0+.


Central Coast Mariners v Wellington Phoenix 

Sunday November 8, 5:00pm

Match Odds


As I mentioned above, Central Coast were a bit stiff against Sydney FC last week and certainly far more stable defensively with the addition of Jacob Poscoliero and Josh Rose to the defence. The stats say they still conceded too many shots however most of those were late on when they started to run out of petrol playing a man short.

I thought Wellington were good enough to push Melbourne Victory last week. They were not awful but never looked likely at the same time. There away record has been quite good of late however they traditionally struggle to perform in the 2nd of two road games losing 8 of the last 12 matches in this scenario. The loss of Vince Lia will also be sorely felt.

Recommended Bet

Back Central Coast at 2.5+ for 2 units