TASRacing: Launceston, Wednesday 9th March 2016

Posted: March 9, 2016 at 11:42 am

Tasmania Wednesday

Racing returns to Launceston on Wednesday night with a bumper 9 race card featuring big fields and some intriguing races. Predicting the track condition is a little difficult with showers and a little rain forecast for Tuesday night and Wednesday but with warm weather forecast and a Good 4 track currently it will remain reasonably firm with any luck. The rail comes back to the True after being out 3m on Cup day a fortnight ago and if firm ground prevails we should be playing on a fair track.

 

Race 1 5:43pm Judy’s Body Fashions Maiden/Class 1 Plate (1600m)

Speed Map

Big field but only a few genuine on pacers engaged here. Leigh John will likely push forward from wide out and he may have Belmont for company after that horse showed improved early speed last time. Beaudion and Miss Choosey can be there, while Siggy Carr may push forward on Gee Gees Cool Gal and Clark may do likewise on Mediano. Just a standard tempo likely.

Major Players

6. Quirribilly Lodge: A lightly raced 5yo who won impressively first up in maiden grade before having little luck last time when midfield behind Box Of Frogs. Ready for the mile now and fresh win showed he is capable on dry ground. Outside gate not ideal but will get back and has McCoull to navigate his way from the back. Has more upside than most of these and looks a top chance.

14. Miss Choosey: A good filly dropping back from the two 2100m fillies’ features when she was just a little outclassed against the mainland invaders. Won the 1000 Guineas over this course 3 starts back and previous runs at this track were also good. Can go forward and make her own luck from the middle draw and provided she hasn’t had enough this prep she is a definite winning chance.

7. Strathalbyn has been up a long time but he should be fit to step to the mile now after two previous 1200m runs. Ran home well in both in good 3yo company and should find this easier. Placed here over a mile in December and wasn’t far away in the Tasmanian Guineas at this trip. Needs luck as he’ll get back but finds a winnable race.

A number of chances outside the four major hopes. Beaufort Lad has run home strongly at his past couple and is ready to attempt the mile now. Turtles Nest was pretty good last time when 2nd behind Box Of Frogs and tackles the mile again but has to cope with an outside draw. Leigh John was OK two back before disappointing on the quick back-up last time in an unsuitable race. Gee Gees Cool Gal finally broke through last time and wasn’t bad when had excuses at only try over a mile here.

Verdict

Very open race to commence the night. Quirribilly Lodge is a horse going places and should run well but has an ask from the wide gate if the tempo is only steady. Beaudion and Miss Choosey can be advantaged racing near the lead, as can Leigh John at longer odds. At least 8 of these could win without surprising.

 

Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK – WIN – Quirribilly Lodge for 3 units

Back on Betfair BACK – WIN – Leigh John for 1 unit

 

Race 2 6:25pm Routley’s Benchmark 72 Handicap (1400m)

Speed Map

Big field to do battle here and looks plenty of speed on paper but worth noting much of it is from the emergencies so scratchings may change the shape of the race. Beckon and Super Daph look like taking up the running with Treasury Bond, Sandeep and possibly Streak On being on speed also. Many of these like to get back so no surprise if the pace is only steady should they find their positions early, which would suit the box seaters.

Major Players

5. Treasury Bond: Was most impressive in this grade on Launceston Cup day when he revelled in the wet ground for a dominant all-the-way win. Loses little with Clark replacing Maskiell and stays down in the weights. Very capable on top of the ground also and think this is his best trip. Hard to beat again.

8. O’Reillys Geegee: Got things back on track last time when 3rd behind Treasury Bond and now looks well placed with McCoull on from an inside draw. Maybe better with the sting out so back to firm ground casts a shadow over that run but proven in this grade and races well at this track. Good galloper on his day and right in the mix if he goes on with it now.

7. Livermore: Comes back to this trip from an aborted Launceston Cup campaign after disappointing in a slowly-run Night Cup. Has only had 3 weeks to freshen up back from 2100m and has trialled in between so wary he’s using this as a stepping stone for something longer across the water, but he did similar last time at 1400m and ran a super 2nd behind Hyperbole. Loves this track so must respect.

Plenty of these with minor chances, namely Ash For Cash (improved last time, likes this course), Van Diemens Fire (good on wet ground last time but drawn very wide back on firm ground here), Super Daph (gutsy win last time in easier race, suited by step up in trip and can get good run near lead), Streak On (comes from Weir stable with average provincial form but has been trialling sharply) and Lingo (inside draw and one of the class runners give him a knockout hope despite trip short of his best).

Verdict

Big competitive field but Treasury Bond does look the standout runner and capable of making it consecutive wins. Found it hard to separate them outside of him.

 

Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK – E/W – Treasury Bond for 4 units

 

Race 3 7:05pm Gazman Class 4 Handicap (1200m)

Speed Map

A few on-pacers here but no really genuine leader. Liluka Belle can take it up from the wide gate and expect Spihro to push forward, while Viva La Verve and Auntie Beverley can kick up from inside draws. Trot On Candy can also be there from the inside gate if desired while Partenza won’t be far away. Could be a muddling tempo which won’t suit the backmarkers.

Major Players

4. Trot On Candy: A very promising filly who was very impressive on Hobart Cup day when able to control the race in front. May be able to do so again but has Muhcu back aboard who has had success riding her from off the pace. Only run at this course was good and while she goes up in grade again she has beaten a couple of her rivals here previously. Looks a leading chance.

5. Partenza: Has been kept fresh since failing in Hobart and returns to her favourite track here. Has won 3 of 5 here at this course and draws beautifully for Darmanin to position her wherever he likes behind the speed. Always runs well under these conditions so providing the rain stays away she’ll be hard to beat.

7. Step The Pedal: Comes here having won her past 2 starts and she has been a model of consistency since arriving in the state. Ran 3rd behind Trot On Candy earlier in her prep where she ran favourite so that form ties in well here. Would love any rain as she showed last time with a dominant win but still capable on dry ground. Tempo may not suit and this is her toughest test but she’s right in the mix.

12. Spihro: Hasn’t put a foot wrong since arriving in the state with four very consistent runs despite having to race at his past couple. Very good last time wide on good speed in fast race behind Issawi in this grade at this course. Gets in light with Doodt’s claim and if he goes the same speed early he may cross this field. Doesn’t seem to get much love from the market but keeps running well and he is a genuine winning chance in an open race.

13. Auntie Beverley: Another who rarely runs a bad race and draws nicely to get a good run on speed. Racing well over this course and did place in this grade a few runs back behind Gee Gees Jet, beating home Partenza. Has a poor winning strike rate and finds a competitive race here but can be around the mark as usual.

3. Ryan’s Daughter: Had plenty of supporters in this grade on Launceston Cup day but she stood in the gates and took no part. She likes this track but would ideally like a strong tempo in front which may not eventuate here. Suited if the fence is going off and has plenty of ability but have to take her on trust at the moment as she needs things her way.

Verdict

Very competitive race with most of these having at least place claims and very hard to split the leading few chances. Trot On Candy and Partenza do stand out as promising gallopers sure to run well but Step The Pedal is improving and Spihro’s last run was good enough for this. Hard race so look for value among the major winning hopes.

 

Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK – WIN – Trot On Candy for 4 units

Back on Betfair BACK – WIN – Spihro for 2 units

 

Race 4 7:45pm Autobarn 2yo Maiden Plate (1100m)

Speed Map

Newcomer Jerrazz has shown plenty of speed at the trials and may find the lead here with I Love This Bar sure to go forward from wider out. Immortal Charm has plenty of speed if they want to use it, while Gee Gees Rusty and Top Draw can be handy to the speed also. Emergency Butani also has plenty of speed but was ridden quieter in her trial so not sure what tactics they use if she gets a run. Should be a good tempo so all should get their chance if good enough.

Major Players

6. Immortal Charm: Had a very big boom before her first race start but ran into a rampant Gee Gee Double Dee. Don’t think we saw the best of her there and was given a break afterwards. Comes here with a nice trial win under her belt where she raced just off the speed which may help her finish her race off better. Drawn out probably suits to work across as she likes and no surprise if we see the ‘real one’.

10. Top Draw: Will have derived plenty of benefit from her debut run in the Magic Millions behind Hot Dipped where she stuck on ok despite being beaten a long way. Siggy Carr sticks with her and she may be better suited drawing wide where she can roll forward into the race. Trials were very good so expect to see a much better run here.

3. Gee Gees Rusty: Was specked in betting last time and ran a good race when 2nd behind Gee Gee Spitfire in Hobart over this trip. Brendon McCoull takes over here and should get a good run just behind the speed from the good draw. Wasn’t far behind Immortal Charm on debut and is the most experienced runner of the field so expect a good showing.

4. Angel Of The Abyss: May have been beaten 17L on debut but that was behind Hot Dipped in the Magic Millions and she wasn’t a bad effort. Wasn’t too far off Top Draw there which ties in alright for this. Looks a bit of a work in progress but looks an improver.

Next best I Love This Bar (improving with race experience and will go forward) and the emergencies Jansz (ran home nicely on debut) and Butani (beaten favourite on debut then didn’t show much in recent trial, jury’s out).

Verdict

Immortal Charm can show what she’s made of here in a pretty suitable race. Top Draw can improve, while Gee Gees Rusty looks pretty bombproof to finish around the money. Keep a watch on the market with Jerrazz.

 

Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK – WIN – Immortal Charm for 10 units

 

Race 5 8:25pm Sue’s of Invermay F&M Maiden Plate (1200m)

Speed Map

Can’t Decide has plenty of speed and should find the lead here with What An Option likely to come across from her wide draw. Questions may settle a bit closer with the blinkers on while Ansaam and newcomer to the state Bonbeach may kick up from their inside draws. Expect them to run along at a genuine speed but the on pacers won’t find much pressure.

Major Players

1. Can’t Decide: Was a gutsy effort fresh when softened up in front but battled hard to the line when 2nd to Off The Grid over this course. Looks the leader again and should be better for that run. This doesn’t look much harder so she looks an obvious chance.

5. Ansaam: Was fancied at her first run in the state when she disappointed after racing wide but ran a much improved race last time when making good ground for 3rd behind Banca Boy. May be able to settle a little closer from the good gate and should be just about cherry ripe now 3rd up. A repeat of her most recent effort has her right in the mix here.

6. Bonbeach: A newcomer to the state for the Adam Trinder stable. Has shown a bit of ability at the Victorian provincials and trialled alright in slow time leading into this. Draws the inside for Siggy Carr who should be able to find a nice spot so she is worth watching the market on.

11. What An Option: Has been freshened after two pretty handy efforts to start her career and Darmanin sticks with her. Showed plenty of speed on debut and she can overcome the wide draw with a similar display here. Bandages on are a slight concern but form from her last start 3rd is good and she’s a definite winning hope.

9. Fashion Tycoon: Ran home nicely from last behind Global Squire when first-up after missing the start and has a barrier blanket on to try and improve her manners at the start. Has always shown a little ability so maybe that effort was the start of her showing what she can do. Step up to 1200m should suit and she can be around the mark if she improves further.

Next best Questions (better effort first up and now has blinkers first time) and Crystal Flame (ran home ok in first prep, showed a bit more early speed at trials so may surprise).

Verdict

Quite an open affair with a number of these having shown a little form without knocking down the door to win a race. Can’t Decide will be hard to beat if leaders are suited, but it is a winnable race for Bonbeach if fancied.

 

Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK – WIN – Can’t Decide for 2 units

Back on Betfair BACK – WIN – Bonbeach for 2 units

 

Race 6 9:05pm Kingsmeadows Pharmacy Class 1 Handicap (1400m)

Speed Map

Our Cheerio and Seajamm look like coming across from their wide gates to take up the running in front of Dangerous Aura and possibly Union Boss working over from his wide draw just behind them. A couple of roughies who might try and run along to upset the map but if that doesn’t eventuate those racing on the speed look to get it pretty comfortably.

Major Players

3. Seajamm: Goes to 1400m for the first time after two good runs at 1200m but is some query at the longer trip until she proves she can do it. Should get every chance to do so with Clark likely to work across from the wide draw and control the speed. If she gets an easy time of it she has the best turn of foot in the race and looks very hard to beat but if she gets softened up in the run she may be vulnerable late.

1. Union Boss: Broke his maiden quite impressively last time out over this course and the 3rd horse from there has won since. Showed better early speed from the good draw and although drawn wide here he can find a good spot on the pace if he can show similar speed early. Finds a pretty weak C1 to give him his chance to string two in a row and he should be in the finish with the right run.

4. You Didn’t: Has been pretty consistent this prep bar a failure over 1400m two starts back when ridden upside down. Finished off well last start at the shorter trip and looks ready to tackle this distance again from a better draw. Looks one of the better chances.

6. Dangerous Aura: Resumes from a spell here with a trial under her belt and does have pretty good fresh form. Ran 3rd on heavy ground to start last prep before having a couple of months off before winning her maiden at Devonport – both over this distance range. Draws well and can take up a position on speed so should get a good run here and expect her to run an honest race.

5. Littlerayov: Hasn’t raced since early January where he was a very good 5th behind Livermore over this course. Both runs at this trip have been good but some query over his fitness with the break between runs. Gets back and wants the speed on which might not eventuate here but pretty honest and should be running on.

Next best Gee Gees Supreme, who’s last couple have been surprisingly good.

Verdict

Looks a very suitable race for Seajamm if she can run the trip. Union Boss is on the up and may improve again while You Didn’t has a hope if he brings his form to 1400m. Few minor chances but seems a pretty thin race.

 

Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK – WIN – Seajamm for 6 units

Back on Betfair BACK – WIN – Union Boss for 2 units

 

Race 7 9:35pm helloworld Benchmark 72 Handicap (2100m)

Speed Map

Looks a staying race with a genuine tempo. Bidirectional steps up from two all-the-way mile wins and will no doubt be looking for the front again, while Sir Joey ran along in front last time and Electric Crimson can be right on the speed. Prom King and Immortal Fire can also be handy to the speed, while Dillon Hall has shown good speed at the mile. All runners should get their chance on this tempo.

Major Players

3. Electric Crimson: Had the form on the board and finally broke through last time over this course in BM62 grade last time out. Goes up in grade here but don’t think it is much harder. Very consistent type and should be able to work across into a good position on speed from the wide draw as the tempo should string them out. Only has to run up to his last effort to be hard to beat again.

2. Bidirectional: Has been very good at his past couple of mile runs and although the first try at this trip is always some query he looks ready to tackle it. Win two starts back was very tough beating a good filly before controlling the race last time and sprinting home impressively. Strong type with a good cruising speed and plenty of upside unlike a lot of these so expect him to give a big sight again.

1. Dillon Hall: An impressive winner over a mile last time and was heading to the Launceston Cup before abandoning that plan. Goes to 2100m for the first time and good tempo will help him relax coming out of a couple of very fast mile races – including one where he ran along at a brutal clip. In well with Steph Thornton’s claim but she is still quite inexperienced riding over the longer journeys. Has the form but a few things to prove at this trip.

4. Shipspotting: Wasn’t bad last time when 6th in the Night Cup and will find this much easier. Doesn’t win out of turn but has the formlines through Electric Crimson to be competitive and she is proven in this grade. Expect her to be thereabouts as she often is in this grade.

7. Prom King: An 11 year old who can pull out a sneaky run in good company, shown by his 5th in the Brighton Cup at 200/1 3 runs ago and he wasn’t far behind Shipspotting last time in the Night Cup. Can roll forward to make his own luck and will find this easier than what he has been contesting but he can be a hard horse to follow. His best has him in the mix.

Next best Kompressor (up in grade but won over this course last time and will appreciate genuine tempo), Prominent Star (better for a couple of runs at the staying trips, no match for Electric Crimson last time but continues to run on) and Toakio Tower (racing well since having blinkers applied, unproven this grade but probably looking for this trip now).

Verdict 

Bit of depth to this event but last start winners Electric Crimson and Bidirectional appeal as the major winning hopes. Plenty of minor chances should the on-pacers burn each other out.

 

Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK – WIN – Electric Crimson for 4 units

Back on Betfair BACK – WIN – Bidirectional for 2 units

 

Race 8 10:05pm Mercure Hotel Launceston Class 1 Handicap (1200m)

Speed Map

Very good speed engaged here. Liberty Dance will be looking for the lead from the middle of the line but expect The Captain to come out humming from wide out and Islandsinthestream is capable of following along also. Plenty of on-pacers looking for a spot behind them should result in a genuine tempo and give those back in the field their opportunity.

Major Players

1. The Captain: Drops right back in grade here after good runs in open 3yo company – a formula followed successfully by Jazzy’s Choice on Sunday in Hobart. Thrown in at the weights with Steph Thornton’s claim and there’s a spot outside the lead available for her if she rides positively early. Last run was good in probably the wrong part of the track in the straight and a repeat of that effort is good enough here. Hard to beat.

2. Cameo Kiss: Resumes after a very solid first preparation in which she broke her maiden fresh and placed twice in this grade. Shapes as if she will get further so think 1200m without a trial is probably suitable at this stage. Fast tempo will suit her as will being drawn out and she’s the one who will be finishing off hard late. Definite hope.

4. Liberty Dance: Hasn’t done much wrong in her three career starts thus far and ran a handy 3rd last time behind two in-form horses in Step The Pedal and Le Bel Opera. Winkers go on here and she looks capable of taking up the lead. Looks plenty of pressure which is a negative but Darmanin has plenty of options from the middle draw and she looks one of the better hopes.

5. Ready If You Are: Was fancied second-up with the blinkers on but was very sluggish early and never really got into the race. Ran into some dead ends and should have finished a bit closer and McCoull sticks with her here. Should be suited by the good tempo so she gets her chance to atone but she still has a bit to prove.

They look to be the major winning chances in this, with next best Sir Marmaduke (better effort last time, in light, drawn inside), Islandsinthestream (hard to follow but capable with no weight, outside draw may prove tricky) and Marie Clare (bit better last time in good company but needs to improve further).

Verdict

Two obvious chances – The Captain stands out as the on-pacer, while Cameo Kiss is the run-on chance. Think they stand out with Liberty Dance and Ready If You Are next best in what is a pretty thin race.

 

Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK – WIN –  The Captain  for 3 units

Back on Betfair BACK – WIN –  Cameo Kiss for 3 units

 

Race 9 10:35pm Southern Cross C,G&E Maiden Plate (1200m)

Speed Map

Under Milkwood looks likely to take up the running as he always does but expect newcomer Silver Reset to show speed from the outside draw. George’s Gambol may kick up from the inside draw and God’s Venom can be on speed with the blinkers on. Doesn’t look to be much pressure so those on speed can be advantaged.

Major Players

9.  George’s Gambol: has had a number of chances but continues to race well without winning and should appreciate getting back to 1200m here. Raced a bit ungenerously last time before making ground late in what was a disappointing run for favourite backers but still handy enough for a race like this. Drawn nicely if the fence is holding up and McCoull takes the reins so expect him to be in the finish again.

2. Elegatano: Resumes after a three run Devonport campaign through the winter where he made a good impression. This track will probably suit him better given his run-on racing style and he may get a pattern to suit being the last race of the night. Placed on debut so no worries fresh and expect him to be running on hard.

1. Chill Winston: Resumes with a handy trial under his belt. Placed fresh last prep before a good 4th at this course second up. Lacks early speed which might be against here if they only go steady in front but another who would enjoy a run-on pattern and does have a big finish at his best. Will be better suited over a bit longer but should be running into the mix.

4. Silver Reset: A striking gelding by Reset who is a half-brother to former good sprinter Miami Jack. Makes his debut here and looks to have the speed to overcome his outside draw. Had 2 trials across two preparations where he has shown plenty of ability and finds a good race to kick off in. May control the speed and although 1200m can be tough first up he looks a genuine winning chance.

8. Cincha: Another resuming here and returns to the course where he ran the best race of his short career so far when a close up 4th behind Burma. Carr may find a decent spot midfield from 6 but ideally wants the speed on more than it shapes to be. May win if everything unfolds perfectly but realistically probably more of a place chance.

Next best Under Milkwood (will lead and give a sight but has had plenty of chances).

Verdict

Tricky race to finish the night with 6 genuine winning chances and a few of these looking to run on off a steady tempo. Maybe the newcomer Silver Reset can control the speed and win on debut.

 

Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK – WIN – Silver Reset for 3 units