TASRacing: Devonport, Sunday 16th July 2017

Posted: July 15, 2017

Racing returns to Devonport this Sunday for an 8 race program featuring predominantly big fields and plenty of depth. With substantial rain this week leading into the meeting the Tapeta surface should be in great condition and provide a fair racing surface as usual.

 

Race 1 – 12:05 Luxbet Benchmark 72 Hcp (1350 METRES)

Speed Map

Cyclone Jess looks like getting the lead pretty easily here in the small field. Gallow Gate and Minute Repeater can roll forward and these on-pacers should get every chance.

Runner Name

2. Lord Farquaad: Loves this course with two wins and a narrow 2nd behind Killin Falls here from his last three starts. Gets plenty of weight here but has won with 59kg so looks capable of carrying it. Drawn inside suits again and he should enjoy a plain tempo as he can sprint hard when saved up. Shouldn’t be too far away in the small field and clearly has the best finish so will be hard to hold out with any luck.

6. Cyclone Jess: Has mixed her form a bit since joining the Brunton stable but she wasn’t far behind Lord Farquaad here last time over this course. Enjoyed a good run in front there but looks likely to get a similar run again and meets Lord Farquaad and Magnasa 4.5kg better from their last race. Has run well both times Barr has been on top so she ticks a lot of boxes here. Definite hope.

1. Magnasa: Improved sharply second-up when not far away behind Killin Falls over this course. Just about ready to peak now and has won four times at this track. Also has a big weight, even after McCarthy’s claim, and might land in an awkward spot back in the field from his inside draw. Looks ready to do his best so very respectful of his chances.

3. Minute Repeater: Resumes here and defeated Hot Dipped in a recent trial. Generally races very well fresh but doesn’t usually resume at this distance range. Pires on is a decent lead that he should be ready to fire and he should get a good run on speed here. Most runs at this track have been good and he is proven in this grade. Suggest he will be ready to go so he can’t be discounted.

5. Gallow Gate: Found some form last time in easier grade when 2nd over this course behind Tambro’s Game. Looks like getting a gun run here for Carr from an inside draw and stays down in the weights. This class should test but with a cheap run on speed he has place claims at the least.

Verdict

Lord Farquaad (2) and Cyclone Jess (6) look well placed here in a small but competitive affair. Lean to Lord Farquaad (2) but no issue going with Cyclone Jess (6) if she is overlooked by the market.

 

Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Lord Farquaad for 4 units

 

Race 2 – 12:40 Tasracing Live Streaming Maiden (1350 METRES)

Speed Map

A lot of the speed rests here with the emergencies The Grey Crusader and King Of Saigon. If they don’t get a run, look for Trophy Legs, Hot Chisel and possibly I Am The Dude to be contesting the front. Fought For and Victory Medal can go forward also if they are in the mood. Doesn’t look to be too much pressure so those landing near the front may be advantaged.

Major Players

8. Trophy Legs: Has had many chances but continues to run solid races which has her among the leading hopes each time she goes around. Ran a good 2nd on the heavy ground last time behind Valerius and looks just about at her peak now. Hasn’t seen this surface but this course should suit if she can roll forward from her wide draw. Expect her to be in the finish as she looks a leading chance again.

4. Purple Rider: Has been very good at both runs since arriving in the state. Handled this surface well first-up here over 1000m and he looks ready for this trip now after a strong 2nd last week in Hobart. WIde draw is awkward and he may be back in the field again on a steady tempo which looks a concern. Will be hard to hold out with the right run and is one of the better hopes here.

9. Gee Gees Saint Nik: Takes on the older horses for the first time coming off a strong finishing 3rd here over 1150m behind Windrider. The time was slow there so the form has a question mark over it but he races like he will relish the extra trip and Ganderton rides this course especially well. Still has plenty to learn and this looks harder but has each-way claims on raw ability alone.

2. Hot Chisel: Was heavily backed in his first Tasmanian run when 3rd behind stablemate Mansplaining before failing last time on heavy ground. Hasn’t seen this surface but goes forward in his races which should suit around here. Gets blinkers on for the first time as well as the services of Pires, both obviously big positives, and with a lack of pressure up front he may get over into a good spot from his wide draw. Looks the improver at odds.

7. Sorturo: Didn’t have things pan out last time over 1650m but found the line alright late to sneak into 3rd. Not sure the drop in trip looks suitable here but she has run some respectable races over this course earlier this prep. Wide draw may be against but likely to drift back anyway, in which case a softer tempo would also be against. Is capable and might be suited racing outside horses to work into the race so has minor claims.

Next best Om Nom (6) (ran home alright first-up for Trinder, gets to home track now with no weight but not sure this course will suit her racing pattern) and Fiveandfurther (10) (blew the start on debut so effort to run home into midfield was very solid, some hope if she steps away with them).

Verdict

Even race with luck in running sure to play a big part. Looking to play small around Gee Gees Saint Nik (9) and Hot Chisel (2) who are both capable of winning with the right run.

 

Betting Strategy 

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Hot Chisel for 1 unit

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Gee Gees Saint Nik for 1 unit

 

Race 3 – 13:15 Tasracing Off The Track Maiden (1000 METRES)

Speed Map

Big field short course so expect the pace to be on but there doesn’t look so much pressure that the speedsters up front won’t be able to cope. Look for Woohoo, Bonjour Belle and the debutant Duperrey to contest the front with the likes of Gwenville, Jayemara, Party Planner and Koppar Beauty possibly going forward. A few of these are on debut which can throw a spanner in the works but not many of them look to be speedsters from the trials.

Betting Strategy

2. Duperrey: Must have had some problems after trialling in Sydney earlier in his career but he makes his debut now as a rising 5yo. Nice type of horse who trialled very impressively leading into this, beating smart 2yo Il Regalo by 5 lengths and recording a quick time. Should be in the firing line throughout from his inside draw and finds a very winnable race to debut in. Only has to run up to his trial to take a power of beating.

4. Bonjour Belle: Is suited over these short trips and wasn’t bad first-up over this course when a distant 2nd behind Kyogle Son. Has the early speed to put herself into the race and gets right down in the weights here with Voorham’s claim. Struggles to finish off at the end of her races but she finds a pretty thin race here and has better form than most. Looks to be one of the main dangers.

8. Party Planner: Debuts here and won a trial leading in over Jayemara in solid time. Looks like slightly further will be more her go in time but inside draw looks ideal and she may land in a nice spot just behind the speed. The booking of Darmanin suggests she is ready to go so watch betting as any positive moves can be respected.

5. Drinks At Rosie’s: Resumed a fortnight ago for Peter Luttrell and ran a much better race to finish off into 2nd on heavy ground behind Egalitarian. Back to 1000m doesn’t look ideal but the inside draw should help her not get too far out of her ground. Hasn’t seen this surface which is a query and probably giving these a big start but rates an each-way hope if she can run up to her first-up effort.

12. Jayemara: Resumes from a spell here with two trials on this track under her belt, the most recent a close-up 2nd behind Party Planner. Only run earlier this year was alright when midfield behind Foreeva and the 1000m looks pretty suitable fresh. Outside draw presents a major issue but if she can somehow get across into a reasonable spot she can be somewhere in the finish.

Next best Reggiano (3) (not bad at both runs, gets the services of McCoull and a good draw, not sure back to 1000m suits but not the worst).

Verdict

Might come up a very short price but this is Duperrey’s (2) race to lose.

 

Betting Strategy 

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Duperrey for 8 units

 

Race 4 – 13:55 D-Signs Class 2 Hcp (1150 METRES)

Speed Map

The lead should be contested by Happy Halloween, Anyways Rosie and Ariconte here, but they look the only on-pacers so if they find their spots quickly they may be able to run the race on their terms.

Major Players

1. Happy Halloween: Had his first look at this track last start and ran home well alright into 2nd but couldn’t pick up the leader Jacques. Should be better for that and looks likely to land in front or behind the lead here getting a comfortable run. Capable of carrying the top weight and has very solid form in this grade and above so he appeals as top pick.

4. Bedrock Dreams: An interesting runner resuming from a spell. Had one start earlier in the year for Scott Brunton but after being heavily backed to run favourite she was finished at the tail. She was forced to make her run wide from the back on a track biased to the on-pacers so her run was forgivable and this time she has Pires on top. First look at this track but has won on the Pakenham synthetic. Suggest she can improve sharply here and potentially a major danger on spec.

7. Ty Dash: Returned in good style when 2nd to Killin Falls three starts back but has finished down the track at her two latest runs. Has had excuses – the heavy ground didn’t suit in Launceston and then she was forced to race wide without cover here last time when well in the market. Suggest she will be ridden a bit quieter this time and her best form is good enough for this. Expecting much better here and she may prove good value for those able to overlook her recent failures.

10. Anyways Rosie: Wasn’t bad at her first start for Cameron Thompson when beaten less than 3 lengths by Killin Falls here in C4 company over this course. Showed good speed there and similar here will see her get a good run on speed from a nice draw. Stays down in the weights with McCarthy’s claim and should find this a little easier. Appeals as an each-way hope at longer odds with the good run on speed.

6. Ariconte: Has over raced on both occasions since a spell when leading up over the longer 1350m trip. Hasn’t run too badly considering and the drop in trip may see him travel better on the quicker tempo. Has the speed to work across from the wide draw into a good spot and has the blinkers on to sharpen him up for the shorter distance. Should get a good run and that gives him his chance to improve.

Next best Leconte (2) (ran home into 3rd over this course last time, racing pattern makes it hard at this track but he can be running on late) and Rougeau (3) (not having much luck at the barriers so probably goes back again which makes it hard, but capable if he gets the breaks).

Verdict

Happy Halloween (1) looks like getting the run to make amends for his last start defeat. Looking to save on Ty Dash (7) who can improve sharply and can win with luck in running.

 

Betting Strategy 

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Happy Halloween for 4 units

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Ty Dash for 1 unit

 

Race 5 – 14:30 Birdcage Tavern Class 1 Hcp (1150 METRES)

Speed Map

Big field and looks a ton of pressure up front here. Ain’t The Whisky, Gee Gee Rich Ruby, Kyogle Son and Husson’s Kiss all like to race in or near the lead and should ensure a strong tempo. Divine Strategy and possibly Silver Reset look to roll forward from their wide draws to take up a position, while Pistol Jack and Gee Gee Royal Miss can kick up from their inside barriers to hold a spot. Expecting a fast run race.

Major Players

2. Pistol Jack: Resumes from a spell here and has won a recent trial at this track. Generally races well fresh and first-up last time he ran 2nd behind Killin Falls in maiden grade. His maiden win came on this track and he has the early speed to take advantage of the inside draw while still being capable of sitting behind them if they go too hard. Will need luck getting out if the leaders collapse in front of them but looks one of the better chances.

5. Khatun: Wasn’t bad first-up in Launceston on heavy ground when working home into 4th behind By The Pound. Showed some potential last prep against some of the better fillies and placed at both runs on this track. Gets the state’s leading rider on top and should appreciate the strong tempo up front. Looks the best of the backmarkers and could be the one to swamp them late.

9. Gee Gee Rich Ruby: Also resumes here with a Hobart trial under her belt. Showed plenty of early speed in her first preparation and ran some good races in reasonable maidens before her form tapered off at the end of her preparation. Has won over 1400m which should hold her in good stead in a high pressure race but this is her first look at this track which is always a query. Watch the market because she has each-way claims if fit and ready to go.

7. Gee Gee Royal Miss: A reasonably consistent filly so her last start failure when backed to start favourite was quite out of character. Given a break and a trial since so ready to start again and has her regular rider Ganderton back on. Blinkers replace the winkers and the inside draw should help her settling just behind the speed. Can bounce back and is definitely capable if she can find her best form.

6. Divine Strategy: Broke through over this course two starts ago beating subsequent winner Need A Queen before failing over the longer trip last time. McCoull back on here and back to a trip she is proven over but has to cope with a wide draw in a race of high pressure so hard to see where she can slot in near the speed. Has a fitness edge on a lot of these which should help if the speed is right on but has to prove herself in this grade. Some hope with the right run.

Next best Ain’t The Whisky (10) (honest 2nd over this course last time, kept up to the mark with a couple of trials, pressure against but can be there from a good draw) and Kyogle Son (1) (big win in maiden grade last time but up in grade, extra trip and forward pressure all against).

Verdict

Expecting a high pressure race so looking for those who can be strong at the finish. Pistol Jack (2) looks like getting a good run just behind the speed while Khatun (5) looks the one if they go too hard up front. Happy to play around both.

 

Betting Strategy 

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Pistol Jack for 2 units

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Khatun for 2 units

 

Race 6 – 15:06 August Winter Series Class 4 Hcp (1350 METRES)

Speed Map

Jerrazz can come across here searching for the lead but there are a few on-pacers who may decide to kick up, such as The Master Speed, Tambro’s Game, Jacques and Time Commands. That could result in some pressure up front but if they find their spots early many of these are content to sit and sprint. The chances of the backmarkers may be dependent on how steady they go up front.

Major Players

2. Trusted Warrior: Comes here in super form with two big wins on heavy ground in Launceston at his past couple. This is a different kettle of fish however with this being his first look at this surface and the race being at a much more competitive level. Showed a bit of quality in the feature 3yo races earlier in the season and the penny may have dropped but now he has to do it from the back over a course which can be difficult to make ground on. Going as well as anything but there is definitely risk with him this time.

4. Zatacla: Backs up from Hobart where he ran well and arguably should have finished closer. Also having his first look at this track under race conditions but won a trial here as a 2yo so should handle the surface. Ganderton on looks a plus over this course and will relish any pressure going on up front. Has some quality about him and expect him to run well as he usually does.

6. Jacques: A new horse since the addition of blinkers three starts ago, showing much better tactical speed and scoring two wins here over 1150m. Has only had one start over this distance range which was a failure on heavy ground but think this course looks much more suitable, especially if he can bounce quickly again and land near the front. This is his toughest test so far but held off a decent galloper in Happy Halloween last time and he looks a good each-way chance.

8. Tambro’s Game: Loves this course with her last five runs here and she broke through for a deserved win last time. This looks harder but she stays down in the weights and looks to get a good run on speed again. Form behind Lord Farquaad reads pretty well for this grade and she has proven herself under these conditions whereas a lot of the major chances are yet to do so. Each-way claims again.

5. Time Commands: Won well two starts ago in Hobart beating Winston Wolfe before finishing midfield on unsuitable heavy ground last time. Placed on 5 occasions on this track earlier in her career from 7 tries so no concerns getting back to this surface, including 3 of 4 over this course. Can roll forward into a handy spot and is up to this grade on her best. Rarely runs a bad race so she has each-way claims also.

Verdict

Tricky race, with the class runners potentially needing to overcome an unsuitably run race on a new surface. Jacques (6) is flying and may prove value with a good run on speed, but many of these can win without surprising.

 

Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (E/W) Jacques for 1 unit

 

Race 7 – 15:42 Simons Design Centre Benchmark 82 Hcp (1150 METRES)

Speed Map

Big field but surprisingly looks a lack of genuine speedsters on paper. Steel Moon, My Paige Three, Underplay and Sound Bar appeal as the on-pacers and one of these should find the front but hard to imagine any more than a solid tempo. Le Bel Opera, Merrick’s Beauty and Wanaea are capable of being in the forward half but many of these like to settle back in their races, potentially advantaging those landing on speed.

Major Players

8. Killin Falls: Has returned in super form with three wins in as many starts this prep, all at this track and the first two over this course. Showed plenty of fight to win over 1350m last time and now looks suited coming back to this trip with three weeks between runs. Middle draw looks suitable but a lack of pressure up front wouldn’t help his cause. This is as hard as he has contested but he has been running good time and looks well suited to take the next step. Leading chance in a hot race.

4. Steel Moon: Comes back to his favourite trip after being beaten less than a length by Killin Falls last time over 1350m. Has won both starts over this course this prep and can get a gun run from the inside draw if the pressure is as basic as it appears on paper. No rider listed as of Friday so important to see who goes on but suggest he has a great each-way hope the way this is likely to be run.

10. Merrick’s Beauty: Another in very good form, having won her past couple of starts since connections have reportedly solved her foot issues. Has won at this track earlier in her career and may be able to settle a bit closer from an inside draw which will help. Up to this grade at her best and she looks to have found that again, and her form stacks up with Steel Moon finishing behind her last time in Hobart. One of the better hopes here.

9. Le Bel Opera: Resumes from a spell here and looks ready to go with two trials under his belt. Track specialist who has won 5 here, including twice at this trip. Would ideally prefer him at 1000m as this trip just about sees him out but he is drawn to do no work in the run and Ganderton rides him especially well. Might get a gun run just behind them and is definitely a winning chance.

7. Erin’s Element: Returns from a run at Moonee Valley when things didn’t pan out her way. Has trialled very nicely here since and despite her racing pattern not being suited to this track she has won here a couple of times previously. Always needs luck as she will be back near last but from an inside draw she may be able to pinch runs and Carr has won on her previously. Best form is good enough so she has a knockout hope.

Next best Powercharged (1) (class runner of the field back from a 1400m Caulfield run, shorter trip from wide draw not ideal but isn’t in too badly with McCarthy’s claim) and My Paige Three (6) (hasn’t done much in two runs this time in but Pires goes on, has won on this surface and may get a good run near the lead).

Verdict

Hot race. Killin Falls (8) is the fresh horse on the scene and is in-form but this is his toughest task to date. Prefer to be with the track specialist Steel Moon (4) on an each-way basis as he may get a great run on speed and be hard to run down.

 

Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (E/W) Steel Moon for 2 units

 

Race 8 – 16:17 Luxbet Benchmark 68 Hcp (1650 METRES)

Speed Map

Look for Dalehill and Kool Kash to take up the running here and they should set a genuine tempo. Spihro and Bidirectional should be handy while Kryptonian may put some pace into the race if he pushes forward from the wide draw. Expecting them all to get their chance here.

Major Players 

6. Banca Dream: Jumped into benchmark grade last time and won in strong fashion after a clever ride by Carr. Was able to capitalise on a slow tempo there but doubt he will get the same opportunity here, although settling behind a more genuine speed may be even further to his liking. Lightly raced with a stack of upside, he should only improve with the mile run under his belt. Looks hard to beat again.

7. Mulley’s Idol: Has won both starts over the mile and was a convincing winner last time in Launceston on heavy ground. Has won at this track over 900m and looks like getting a great smother from an inside draw. Looks to have a touch of quality and is in light with McCarthy’s claim. This is much harder than last time but untapped at this distance range and expect him to take plenty of beating.

3. Geegees Classicboy: Has developed into a bit of a track specialist with all his better runs in recent times coming here. Ran a very good race last time at big odds when beaten less than a length by Killin Falls and getting out to the mile looks ideal third-up with the blinkers on. Ran 2nd in the Sheffield Cup here earlier in the season, albeit well behind the winner, but that form looks very solid for a race in this grade. Should get a good run from the draw and he is a live chance.

2. Barjeel: Finally gets out the mile trip he has been crying out for. Last couple of runs on this surface have been alright in easier grade and he wasn’t far behind Banca Dream two starts ago when both had excuses. Outside draw makes it a bit difficult as he probably has to go right back but will appreciate a genuine tempo up front and he appeals as an each-way hope.

1. Spihro: Continues to race consistently and he ran another solid 3rd last time over this course. Has won 5 of 8 at this track and gets right down in the weights with Voorham’s claim. She is yet to ride one into a place which is a concern from a betting point of view but he looks like getting a very cosy run from the inside draw. Very honest and with luck in running he should be somewhere in the finish again.

Next best Kool Kash (4) (ready for the mile now, has won 4 times on this track and sticks on well so always a chance in this grade), Bidirectional (5) (attempting the mile first-up but proven to be a genuine stayer and has two trials under his belt, Pires on is a plus) and Dalehill (11) (been a bit disappointing of late but some chance she controls the speed here and if allowed to run along a bit more she could surprise from the front).

Verdict

Banca Dream (6) is a horse going places and while this is harder he can win again. Geegees Classicboy (3) appeals getting to this trip and is a definite danger at longer odds.

 

Betting Strategy 

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Banca Dream for 3 units

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Geegees Classicboy for 1 unit

 

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