TASRacing: Devonport, Sunday 13th August 2017

Devonport hosts thoroughbred racing again this Sunday with the $20,000 Luxbet All Weather Distance Prelude the highlight of a big 9 race card. Showers are forecast for the weekend but the track has been racing exceptionally well under those conditions so expect it to do so again.

Race 1 – 12:00 Luxbet Benchmark 72 Hcp (1350 METRES)

Speed Map

Ain’t The Whisky should find the front here ahead of the stablemate Wanaea. Doubt there will be much pressure up front but those off speed won’t be far behind them in the small field.

Major Players

2. Lord Farquaad: Loves this course and will find this easier than last time when he should have finished closer behind Killin Falls. That was the first time he hasn’t finished in the first two from five tries at this course and he was only narrowly beaten two starts ago with a similar big weight. Probably goes back to last after drawing the outside but shouldn’t be too far away on straightening in the small field and has a big finish to make up the ground. Looks hard to beat.

1. Vandermeer: Comes through the same Killin Falls race where he finished alongside Lord Farquaad and was less than three lengths from the winner despite finishing last. Will appreciate the drop in grade and isn’t in too badly with Voorham’s claim. Ready to peak here third-up and the small field should suit. Has won over this course in fast time in the past and rates as a major danger.

4. Wanaea: Has been scratched a couple of times after being caught wide first-up and finishing last behind Underplay. Had three trials leading in so should be fit enough for this trip second-up and looks to get a soft run from the inside draw. Up to this grade on her best form and should be in front of the main hopes in the run so expect sharp improvement this time.

6. Ain’t The Whisky: Was very good here last time over this course in C1 company. Chased a fast tempo there so should be peaking for this and may get her chance to control this from the front. This is a vast jump in grade which is a major concern but she can give some cheek in front.

 

Verdict

Lord Farquaad (2) is a course specialist and looks suited in this small field.

Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Lord Farquaad  for 4 units

Race 2 – 12:35 Tasracing Live Streaming Maiden (1350 METRES)

Speed Map

With limited proven speed on paper, look for Irish Jeff, Hint Of Moonlight and Skip to be most likely to roll forward. Those who end up in the first few should get every chance in a race of little pressure.

Major Players

6. Hint Of Moonlight: Wasn’t bad at her first run in Tasmania when finishing just behind the placegetters in the race won by Great Expectation. On her mainland form she looks suited by the rise in trip and may work forward to overcome the wide barrier. Gets her chance in a race with limited exposed form and looks one of the better chances with luck in running.

1. Irish Jeff: Improved sharply last time when able to get to the front in a race of no tempo and he fought on alright to hold second behind Purple Rider. Darmanin sticks with him and he finds another race of limited speed so he should be able to lob on speed. Form from his last run is questionable but this doesn’t look hard so is in with a hope.

8. Lucky I’m Here: Worked home alright in her first Tasmanian run when finishing midfield behind Great Expectation. Has blinkers first time and a good draw so no surprise to see her settle a bit handier to the speed which would be an advantage in this. Stays down in the weights with Willis’ claim and finished within 2 lengths of Hint Of Moonlight last time. Has solid each-way claims.

7. Kamikaze Force: Ran home reasonably well in Hobart on heavy ground first-up behind Odessa Lad. Has her first look at this surface here and draws awkwardly so probably drifts back in the run. Step up in trip is unknown but looks suitable and finds a very winnable race. Hard to line up but did enough fresh to be respected.

4. Sebring Star: Ran well first-up before failing to run on last time behind Great Expectation. Was forced to race wide there so can be forgiven and seems to be looking for this longer trip that he gets to for the first time. Likely to get back again so tempo may be against but with better luck in running he can run an improved race.

Verdict

Even race. Hint Of Moonlight (6) can roll forward and give a sight on speed but many of these are capable of winning if they get the right run.

 

Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Hint Of Moonlight for 1 unit

Race 3 – 13:10 Luxbet Maiden / Class 1 (1880 METRES)

Speed Map

Becerikli has been racing keenly and looks set to lead if desired. Poacher’s Son can settle handy, as can Grand Faith and Kingsclere, but in general most of these like to relax off the speed so the pressure may be minimal.

Major Players

4. Another Brother: Crying out to win a race after finishing second at all five runs this preparation. Last time out over this course he ran a narrow second behind White Hawk, who then ran well last week in better grade. This looks easier but he was suited by a strong tempo there which he may not get here. His racing style isn’t suited at this track but he might have too much on them anyway and appeals as top pick.

9. Miss Bluegrass: Backs up after a good effort to run second over the mile behind Sugar Free last week. Gets to this trip for the first time since racing in the 3yo filly classics over the carnival, where she finished within 3 lengths of the winner on both occasions. Races well at this track with her only win coming here. Rates highly.

1. Becerikli: Wasn’t bad over this course two starts back behind White Hawk after racing near a strong tempo before dropping back to the mile last week and battling on OK after over-racing near the lead. Looks like getting an easier run up front this time and drops in weight with Voorham’s claim. Should be rock hard so if Voorham can control the race in front she may break through for her first win.

3. Special Shot: Had excuses last week when finishing back in the field behind Sugar Free and now goes out to this trip on the quick back-up. His only win came at this track but he has been unplaced at his 11 other tries, although he is rarely too far away. Not sure if he wants this trip but best form is up to this and should be respected.

8. Kingsclere: A lightly raced 4yo who has been improving with distance and ran a solid enough 4th last time behind White Hawk. Obviously that form ties in alright in this field and he should improve again with that run under his belt. May be able to roll forward with less pressure up front and looks to have minor each-way claims.

Next best British (6) (always running on and wasn’t far away in the White Hawk race last time so can be around the mark again).

Verdict

Another Brother (4) gets his chance to break through with Miss Bluegrass (9) the obvious danger. Happy to save on Becerikli (1) who potentially gets a good run in front.

 

Betting Strategy 

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Another Brother for 6 units

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Becerikli for 1 unit

Race 4 – 13:45 Tasracing Off The Track Maiden (1150 METRES)

Speed Map

Monobrow and Look At This look the leaders here and they should comfortably get across in front of Miss Chat A Lot and possibly the first starter Maleluji. Former Victorian Mookcat should settle in the front half of the field also.

Major Players

3. Sudden Shock: Trialled nicely before his first-up run and he ran home very nicely from back in the field to claim 3rd behind Great Expectation. Had his issues in the run there, over-racing and having to ease so the way he hit the line was very promising. Gets a senior rider in Maskiell this time who has his work cut out from the outside barrier but if he can get across he should finish hard and be hard to beat.

6. Monobrow: Returned to form with a game second behind Great Expectation last time when able to lead from her inside draw. Looks set to lead them up again here and should be just about ready to peak third-up. Can mix her form and doesn’t run any real time but finds a rather weak affair so if she is able to hold the lead she will take some running down. One of the better chances.

7. Mookcat: Has her first run for Cameron Thompson here after racing in Victoria for Symon Wilde. Form in maiden grade over there is generally consistent and has raced well enough on the Geelong Synthetic at her past couple of runs. This is easier than what she has been contesting and she gets in light with McCarthy’s claim so if fancied she looks very capable. Big market watch.

11. Breathtaking: Debuted against her own age here over 1000m a fortnight ago and ran alright without ever really threatening. Looks suited by the step up in trip and should get a soft run from the inside draw with no weight. This may be a little harder against older horses and she may still need a bit of time but has less convictions than many of these and may run into the finish.

12. Look At This: Was well in the market on debut but was caught three-wide on speed and understandably faded at the finish. Struggled to muster the early speed required to go forward then so may be better suited by a softer early tempo getting to this trip. Meets older horses this time which looks a bit harder and would like to see her find the line first but may improve with a better run on speed.

Next best One Before You Go (2) (had plenty of chances and only run on this surface was plain but his best form is up with these) and Maleluji (8) (has shown speed at the trials and debuts with blinkers on but trials haven’t been anything flash).

Verdict

Look to be three main chances here in Sudden Shock (3), Monobrow (6) and Mookcat (7). Would be very keen on Sudden Shock (3) had he drawn a better barrier but he still looks hard to beat on his latest effort.

 

Betting Strategy 

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Sudden Shock for 2 units

Race 5 – 14:20 Simons Design Centre Benchmark 68 Hcp (1150 METRES)

Speed Map

Nielson should be able to cross this field and lead if desired but Meteor Strike does have speed and may look to kick up underneath him. Gee Gees Blondie and Time Commands usually prefer to box seat behind them so the on-pacers should be able to control this race.

Major Players

1. Nielson: A very consistent galloper who has finished in the first four at all six runs this preparation. Returns from a trip to Victoria where he ran a game 3rd on the synthetic at Pakenham after having every chance outside the leader. Loves this track, has won twice over this course and is performed in better company than this. In well with Voorham’s claim and if he gets his own way on speed he can provide her with her first winner. Hard to beat.

2. Gee Gees Blondie: Has had a break since failing on heavy ground behind Love Magic in Launceston. Previous form at this track was very consistent and she has won three times over this course. Has blinkers back on for this and is drawn to enjoy a gun run just behind the speed as she often does. Has beaten Nielson in the past and with the sit behind him she is capable of doing so again.

3. Time Commands: Comes back in trip here after being caught wide behind The Master Speed over 1350m and understandably knocking up. Yet to win here but has placed 5 times, including once here behind O’Lonhro. Should get a good run just behind the leaders and has each-way claims on that basis.

5. Meteor Strike: Took a long time to do so but finally broke through in C1 grade last time over this course. Has had a break since but tuned up for this with a recent trial. Has the speed to put himself into the race here and races well at this track. Makes a clear jump in grade which will test but gets the right run to be in the finish.

4. Toorak Affair: Resumes from a good spell after competing in the 3yo fillies races over the carnival. Ran a very good 2nd first-up last time in behind Time Commands and his maiden win came over this course earlier in her career. Her racing style is not really suited at this track and those in front of her look to get comfortable runs but she is a mare with a touch of class and is the knockout chance if the pressure goes on up front.

Next best Crystal Flame (7) (backs up from last week, generally races well over this course and drawn well but hasn’t won for a long time and this class tests).

Verdict

Nielson (1) is the class runner of this field and looks to get a good run on speed to boot, so he appeals as hardest to beat.

Betting Strategy 

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Nielson for 3 units

Race 6 – 14:55 Birdcage Tavern Functions Class 2 Hcp (1150 METRES)

Speed Map

Expect Amaword and Duperrey to contest the front here with Willby Rules and Anyways Rosie looking to sit behind them. Tammany Hall is new to the state but looks to have some early speed in his form also.

Major Players

4. Willby Rules: Had betting support first-up and was excellent when only narrowly beaten by Ariconte over this course. That race was run in good time so expect him to strip fitter here and gains the services of a senior rider. Might get an ideal drop on the leaders and races very well at this track. Top chance to go one better.

3. Amaword: Was also well supported first-up but after having every chance racing outside the leader he tired late and had to settle for 3rd. Should have finished a little closer there after being interfered with late but he wouldn’t have beaten Willby Rules home. Also should strip fitter and may be able to control the tempo from the front. Expect him to be right in the finish.

1. Duperrey: Was impressive on debut in maiden grade before being forced to chase last time over this course but still recording a strong victory. Drawn outside Amaword so may have to sit outside that horse and he finds himself in a C2 with a couple of smart gallopers at only his third run. Clearly has ability and is doing all he can so far but has to go up a level again this time. Good hope but wary of short odds as the wrap on him continues to grow.

2. Tammany Hall: Has his first run for Cameron Thompson and has found a tough spot to kick off. Has won in C2 grade in Gosford when with Anthony Cummings in Sydney so suggest that form measures up alright here. This looks to be his right trip and Darmanin is a positive booking. Hard horse to line up at his first Tasmanian start so watch betting and respect any substantial moves.

Next best Shockwave Miss (5) (better second-up behind Kyogle Son but finds a pretty strong field here).

Verdict

Three genuine chances here in a good Class 2 with Tammany Hall (2) an obvious watch. Willby Rules (4) was very good first-up and looks set to get the drop on the two leaders again so a repeat performance has him very hard to beat in this.

 

Betting Strategy 

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Willby Rules for 4 units

Race 7 – 15:30 RJ Publishing Benchmark 62 Hcp (1650 METRES)

Speed Map

Doesn’t look to be much natural speed here so Jerrazz and Dalehill may get very comfortable runs up front. Into The Night can probably roll forward also but the rest of these prefer to settle midfield at best.

Major Players

2. Reann’s Diamond: Continues to race very consistently and ran home well into 4th last time behind Kool Kash over this course. This is a bit easier and all her runs over this trip have been very good this preparation. Will get back which is always a concern here but showed enough on this surface last time to suggest she handles it well enough to show her best in this. Will be hard to hold out.

3. Col’s Hero: Backs up from a good 2nd over 1350m last week behind Tambro’s Game when he made up plenty of ground at the finish. Gets out to the longer trip now over which he was unplaced at his only try earlier in his career. That is a major concern but this is much easier than last week and looks a very winnable race. If he gets the right run he can feature in the finish if he repeats his latest effort.

7. Dalehill: Has been battling away in harder grade with her three latest runs all being over this course. Looks like getting a good run on speed here and should find this easier than his recent runs. Needs to find a length or two which may not be possible this deep into her prep but if she gets away with a cheap run in front she may give them something to catch.

4. Kompressor: Resumes from a spell here for new trainer Adam Trinder. Has trialled twice leading in to this with his most recent being a big win over 1350m. Fitness is obviously some query over this trip first-up but stable can get them fit and this looks to be a plan. Best form over this distance range is as good as any of these and being trained on the track should help him adapt to the surface. Doesn’t win often but very wary of positive market support.

1. Jerrazz: Hasn’t done a whole lot this prep in three runs over 1350m so looks ready for the step up in trip. This is easier than what she has been contesting but she has to contend with the 59kg as a result. Looks like getting a good run on speed and only run over this distance range was solid enough in the 1000 Guineas over the carnival. Needs to improve and may have a tough ask with the top weight but McCoull on will help and she is capable on her best.

Next best Into The Night (6) (sharp jump in trip from 1150m but has had three runs there, failed only try this trip and unproven in this grade so although he is often thereabouts prefer to risk).

Verdict

Tricky race. Reann’s Diamond (2) continues to race well and finds a winnable race, with a big market watch on Kompressor (4).

Betting Strategy 

Back on Betfair BACK (E/W) on Reann’s Diamond for 1 unit

Race 8 – 16:05 Luxbet All Weather Distance Prelude Handicap (1650 METRES)

Speed Map

Possibly a stronger tempo here than the most recent 1350m event many of these come through. Secrets She Has and The Master Speed go forward, while Geegees Baritone may also look to lead with the blinkers going back on. Sound Bar can also be right there so expect a competitively run race which gives those off speed their chance.

Major Players

5. Killin Falls: Couldn’t be racing any better and comes here having beaten the majority of his rivals over 1350m a fortnight ago. Goes to 1650m for the first time this prep but worth noting he ran a nose 2nd behind Taramaya over this course earlier in the year. Clearly loves this surface having won four of five and he may be able to slot in a little closer with those around him going forward or back. Meets most of these a couple of kilos worse but is a winner and can win again.

4. Siorca: Ran well when resuming here a fortnight ago behind Killin Falls over 1350m and gained second on protest after late interference. Should relish the step up to the mile and should do little work in the run from a good draw. Devonport Cup placegetter who always runs well at this track but surprisingly has only won once from 10 tries. Will be fitter and is capable of turning the tables.

2. Geegees Baritone: Has done enough at his two runs back from a spell here over shorter trips and now gets to the mile where he was a dominant winner in the Sheffield Cup in blistering time back in December. Has the blinkers go on so possible that he looks to drive through and hold the front, with both his wins last prep coming when he was able to lead them up. Even if he doesn’t lead he looks set to get a great run from the inside draw and he must be respected on that basis.

1. Powercharged: Ran well last time behind Killin Falls when a close-up fourth after having to ease mid-race at an inopportune time. Another of these who is suited by the step up in trip and he beat most of these in the Devonport Cup earlier in the year. Probably has to go back from the outside draw but there should be enough tempo up front to give him his chance. Just about ready now and he has genuine winning claims.

9. Trusted Warrior: The new horse on the scene having come through the lower grades after competing in the major 3yo races last season. Had his first look at this track last start when running home strongly into 4th behind The Master Speed, who proved competitive against many of these last time. Extra trip suits and should do no work from the inside draw. Big jump in grade but has the minimum weight and wouldn’t shock.

Next best Magnasa (6) (not far away behind Killin Falls, gets a good run from inside draw and overdue for the jump in trip so should be thereabouts).

Verdict

This group have proven themselves to be pretty evenly matched which makes luck in running paramount. Killin Falls (5) deserves to run favourite, but Geegees Baritone (2) may be the value with the blinkers on

Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Killin Falls for 2 units

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Geegees Baritone for 1 unit

Race 9 – 16:40 Killin Falls DRC HOY Class 2 Hcp (1350 METRES)

Speed Map

Doesn’t look to be much natural speed here so Silver Reset should drive through and hold the lead. Burma may push forward with possibly Private Baldrick and Bedrock Dreams but most of these prefer to settle midfield or worse.

Major Players

3. Khatun: Was very impressive here a fortnight ago when she showed a sharp turn of foot to win over this course in C1 grade. This is harder but still on the up this prep and should be able to slot in midfield for a good run. Hasn’t missed a place in four starts here on her home track and loses nothing with Ganderton going on. Hard to beat again.

5. Bedrock Dreams: Has run well at both starts this prep here over 1150m in fast run races, giving her a great base to step to the 1350m. Placed over 1400m in Victoria so extra trip should be OK and she showed first-up she was capable of pushing forward to overcome her wide gate. This is arguably a little easier than what she has been contesting and she has beaten home many of her rivals at both recent runs. If she runs the trip right out she will keep the favourite honest.

4. Leconte: Also steps up in trip for the first time this prep after racing alright at the shorter trips. Both runs at this track have been respectable and he won last prep when he got to 1400m for the first time. Drawing inside should suit around this course so if he gets luck in running he looks to have each-way claims.

2. Burma: Was well beaten here first-up behind Ariconte but passed a few in the run home and is better suited up to this trip. Should be able to roll forward at this longer distance and has won second-up in the past in this distance range. Both tries over this course in the past have only been fair but should get every chance in the run here. Should improve and can be thereabouts at the end.

7. Rougeau: Also comes through the same fast 1150m races that Bedrock Dreams has, finishing within a couple of lengths of that horse on both occasions. Has been out to 1400m a few times previously but hasn’t placed in any of those attempts and his last try was February last year. The trip is a query on that basis and drawing wide may make it hard to get the soft run he might need to run it out. Always around the mark and may show up if he gets the right run.

Next best Black Hills (8) (coming through same races as Rougeau, finishing behind him but better suited by step up in trip) and Cheers Chappy (6) (resumes here off two trials, doesn’t win often and form on this surface isn’t great but is up to this grade).

Verdict

Khatun (3) will find this harder but is a mare on the up and looks set to win again.

Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Khatun for 4 units

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