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WARWICK FARM - 22/12/2021
Meeting Overview
Racing at Warwick Farm on Wednesday. Track is currently a good 4 with the rail in the true position. With no predicted rainfall in the lead up to the meeting expect that the track stays in the good 4 range.
BEST BACK OF THE DAY: Race 1 | #3 Man In The Mirror for 6 units
2yo race with limited exposed race day form, however from what we have seen at the trials Man In The Mirror looks the one to beat. Stable has made it public that they want to go to better races then this so if they are to make those races they should be winning this.
BEST LAY OF THE DAY: Race 5 | #2 Miss Einstein to win 3 units
The jockey and trainer combo is a formidable one particularly on short priced favourites however this should mean that she remains short enough in the market. I don’t think she is going as well as she has in previous preps so I’m happy to risk at the price.
Race 1 | KEY RUNNERS
3. Man In The Mirror
2. Captain Bond
7. Northumbria
9. D’Arpano
Betting Strategy
BACK (WIN) — Man In The Mirror for 6 units
2yo race with limited exposed race day form, however from what we have seen at the trials Man In The Mirror looks the one to beat. Stable has made it public that they want to go to better races then this so if they are to make those races they should be winning this.
Race 2 | KEY RUNNERS
9. Pizarro
5. Gulf Of Panama
10. Publicist
11. Regal Pom
Betting Strategy
BACK (WIN) — Pizarro for 3 units
Two starts to date have been excellent behind two runners that look to have above average ability. From gate 1 will just need luck at the right moment but expect James McDonald to position the horse close in the run and should be to strong late.
Race 3 | KEY RUNNERS
5. Comme Bella Fille
4. Black Queen
1. Oceanic Flash
7. Atonement
Betting Strategy
BACK (WIN) — Comme Bella Fille for 2 units
First time to the distance however looks to suit, with regular rider Tommy Berry back on. Form from last start looks strong with the winner of that race winning impressively again on Saturday.
Race 4 | KEY RUNNERS
7. Warrior Hero
4. Rule of Law
6. Damaged
3. Jailbreak
Betting Strategy
BACK (WIN) —Warrior Hero for 1.5 unit
Racing very consistent this prep and deserves another win. Comes out of a nice race last start where the quinella in front of him were very solid in betting on Saturday. With plenty of speed in this race expect Tommy Berry to position the horse perfectly in the run from gate 5 and can be right in the finish.
Race 5 | KEY RUNNERS
9. Segrill
2. Miss Einstein
7. Majella
5. Jungle Book
Betting Strategy
BACK (EACH WAY) — Segrill for 1 unit EW
Racing well last couple, took a good one to beat her last start. Gets in light and can be around the money again.
LAY (WIN) – Miss Einstein to win 3 units
The jockey and trainer combo is a formidable one particularly on short priced favourites however this should mean that she remains short enough in the market. I don’t think she is going as well as she has in previous preps so I’m happy to risk at the price.
Race 6 | KEY RUNNERS
6. Quatenus
10. Rubinocchi
12. Sneaky Paige
4. Authentic Jewel
Betting Strategy
BACK (WIN) — Quatenus for 2.5 units
Was unlucky last start when well backed late and unable to hold a soft position in run, yet still managed to run home in the quickest last 400m and 200m of the race. Gets a nice weight swing on those that beat him home last time and from gate 1 just needs luck to get a clear passage to win this.
Race 7 | KEY RUNNERS
3. Mensa Missile
4. Rubamos
8. Construct
2. Zell
Betting Strategy
BACK (WIN) — Mensa Missile for 2 units
Was good first up and has solid form around some good types from last prep. Expect to be fitter here and from the low draw can control the race if they wish to do so.
BACK (SAVE – EW) — Construct for 1 unit EW
SAVE – Returns gelded here and recent trial was nice, cruising around under a hold. Had nice SP’s last prep and was competitive against horses who are group performed.
