Tas Racing: Devonport, Sunday 15th July 2018

Racing returns to Devonport this Sunday with a big 9 race card kicking off at 11:35am. Race 1 sees smart sprinters O’Lonh Star and Killin Falls resuming while smart mares Somerset and Speedonova also resume in races 5 and 8 respectively.

Track: Albion Park

Track Record: Mepunga Blazer 29.41 (28/6/2018)

Honour Roll 

2017- Fast Times

2016- Zambora Brockie

2015- Fabulous Storm

2014- Flash Reality

2013- Glen Gallon


Field and Stats

Jury – Best 29.75 (17/8/17). Runner up in heat in 29.91 with a 1st split of 5.63. Hasn’t won in his past 6 starts, dating back to October. 3 wins and 3 placings in 6 starts from this draw.

Gunnadoo Rev – Best 29.81 (17/8/17). Runner up in heat in 30.10 with a 1st split of 5.59. Has won 7 races over this trip in 21 starts. 1 win and 1 placing in 4 starts from this draw.

Codrington Kid – Best 30.00 (14/6/18). Ran second in heat in 30.12, 1st split of 5.51 (equal quickest). Has won here 8 times in 21 starts. 1 win and 1 placing in 2 starts from this draw.

Joyce Rumble – Best 29.73 (28/9/17). Won her heat in 29.99 with a 1st split of 5.60. Been in the money in her past 6 starts. 3 wins and a placing from 7 starts this box.

Not Available – Best 29.65. Ran this time in heat win with a 1st split of 5.51 (equal quickest). 2 wins from 5 starts this draw. Has won 19 races from 45 career starts.

Mepunga Blazer – Best 29.41. Produced this phenomenal track record run in heat with a 1st split of 5.57. 2017 Group 1 Maturity Classic winner. 2 wins from 3 starts from this draw.

Hasten Slowly – Best 29.77(14/6/18). Won his heat in 29.89 with a 1st split of 5.62. 2 wins and 2 placings from 4 starts this draw. Group 1 2018 Australian Cup runner up. Only missed a placing 5 times in 28 starts.

It’s Dyllan – Best 29.58 (5/4/18). Won his heat in 29.88 with a 1st split of 5.56. Has won 8 races over this trip from 24 starts. Only 1 start from this draw for an unplaced run.

Catch Me Curly – 1st emergency. Ran second in heat in 30.14. 11 wins from 34 career starts.

Benali – 2nd emergency. Ran second in heat in 30.26. 14 wins from 31 career starts.


Race Analysis

Tough race with the three best dogs in the race, the Victorians Not Available, Mepunga Blazer and Hasten Slowly all drawing poorly with squeeze draws which makes it very difficult to find a bet so will be going with a double lay strategy.

MEPUNGA BLAZER set the track alight in breaking the track record here in his heat. The draw looks a big worry again but it was a big query last week as well and he still found a way to win. He is the obvious top pick in the race I am just not willing to take the short odds.

HASTEN SLOWLY can fence crash in his races so the wide draw looks to be a problem. He won well in his heat but he may have been a little lucky to land where he did without finding any trouble. I am banking on him not being able to get across early and getting shuffled back.

NOT AVAILABLE did nothing wrong in leading all the way in his heat. I have always rated him as a Box 1 bandit so from Box 5 he may not get any favours. If he was to find a forward position he may burn too many petrol tickets early and tire late.

IT’S DYLLAN hasn’t had much experience from wide draws, especially in big group races but I think he could get plenty of room and could run a cheeky race here.

JOYCE RUMBLE is one of Queensland’s most consistent chasers and could get forward early and give a big sight. She would need to be at her absolute best to win though.

JURY hasn’t won a race since October but third up from an injury enforced spell he has a sense of timing about him. The Tony Brett kennel is the best in Queensland and he is probably the best drawn dog in the race. I am just not as bullish due to the long run without a win.

GUNNADOO REV is ultra consistent and always puts in a great effort but looks outclassed here.

CODRINGTON KID is a super reliable beginner but may get too much pressure here and I can’t see him running into the placings.


Selections

1st – Mepunga Blazer (5)

2nd – Jury (1)

3rd – It’s Dyllan (8)

Betting Strategy

 LAY (WIN) Not Available (5) > $4.00 (1 unit)

 LAY (WIN) Hasten Slowly (7) > $8.00 (1 unit)

 


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