Sandown – 2nd December: The Trial Files

Posted: December 2, 2015 at 11:43 am

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THE TRIAL FILES

Sandown – 2nd December

 

Race 3 – Kevin Halion Plate 3YO+ Fillies & Mares BM70 Hcp 1000m

The 1000m start features a long run into a very gentle bend on the run into the home straight. Horses can sit wide and win over this very forgiving course.

 

Speed Map:

AUNTY MO and ALL ABOUT RHYTHM should pair off and dictate to their rivals. The other speed horse is MANAGEM who will sit in behind the leading pair for a nice trail.

Outside of this trio there doesn’t look an abundance of tactical speed. SUNSET GLORY and CHIAVARI might be next in line while the race favourite TESTABILITY has very little early speed and she will be near the tail.

The first few in running will get every chance to control the race and set up a winning break at the top of the straight.

 

Major Players:

AUNTY MO is a mare I’ve had a lot of time for since she impressed in a Cranbourne trial in February. Off the back of that trial she was scintillating on debut to win under lights at Cranbourne despite racing very green.

At her second start she went to Seymour and was again dominant on pace over the 1009m – running quicker time than GRANE (who won the race prior). The win was top shelf.

Her only other start was at Cranbourne against a very strong field. She laid out rounding the home bend and let the eventual winner, JERSEY WHISTLER, through on her inside. She finished second and beat home the very talented RECALCULATE in the process.

Resuming over 1000m is ideal for this mare. She hasn’t trialled leading in but if she is anywhere near right then she rates a clear favourite on my board. I can get her as short as 6/4 ($2.50) so the current Betfair price presents great value.

ALL ABOUT RHYTHM jumped to the early lead in a recent Cranbourne trial (23/11) and was held together for the first half of the straight. She took a little riding to get her through her gears late but she was very good on the line.

This mare had five starts in six weeks over the winter months and she proved herself to be very consistent. She has tactical speed, grits her teeth and fights on strongly as the pressure is applied in the concluding stages of her races.

The 1000m suits this mare first up and from gate two Williams will have no issues getting to the early lead. She will take some running down and rates much shorter than the $7 on offer.

 

The Favourite:

TESTABILITY resumes here in her third campaign.

She created a huge impression at Kyneton on debut when overcoming a slow beginning to trot in over 1200m. She had plenty of luck in running and the time was just average but she quickened like a nice horse.

TESTABILITY continued to miss the start during her second campaign and was very costly going under as a short priced favourite first up at Geelong. She was good at Caulfield when stepping up to 1400m but then struggled at her most recent outing at Moonee Valley dropping back to 1200m.

She trialled at Sandown on the 17th of November, the last to leave the barriers. She travelled OK in the run and made steady ground to the line but the work was fair at best.

While the drop to 53.5kg is advantageous after a 3kg claim for apprentice Ben Thompson, I think he’ll need to be at the top of his game to control this erratic mare. She is going to settle closer to last than first and I really feel they will be too sharp for her over 1000m.

 

Betting Activity:

BACK – AUNTY MO (1) – 3 units to WIN

BACK – ALL ABOUT RHYTHM (5) – 1 unit to WIN

LAY E/W- TESTABILITY (8) – 2 units to WIN & 1 unit to PLACE