Rugby World Cup 2015: Argentina v Tonga

Posted: October 3, 2015

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RUGBY WORLD CUP 2015

Pool C

Argentina v Tonga

Monday, 5 October 00:30

 

Following a rugged confrontation with the All Blacks, Argentina struggled in their opening 40 minutes against Georgia and it wasn’t until the opposing captain and key player got sin binned that they were really able to cut loose and run in six second-half tries. That 54-9 score line and pushing New Zealand all the way is a sign that things are starting to come together for Los Pumas and a win here will effectively secure their quarter-final spot with just Namibia to come.

Tonga recovered from the disappointment of their opening defeat to Georgia to record a bonus point victory over Namibia 35-21. The Tongans will no doubt take inspiration from their shock victory over France at this stage four years ago as they head into this clash.

Oddly this is the first ever meeting between these two countries. Argentina haven’t faced a Pacific Island nation since 2005 when they lost to Samoa by 16 points, whilst their last encounter at a World Cup was in 1999 against the same team, the same points difference was in their favour that time.

Los Pumas have an impressive pool stage record, prevailing in 10 of their last 14. The only sides to have beaten them in that spell are New Zealand, England, France and Australia all of which were  ranked above them at the time. In each of the last three World Cups they’ve won by an average of 33 points against sides that failed to qualify for the knockout stages.

Tonga, meanwhile, haven’t faced opposition from the Rugby Championship since the last World Cup when they were beaten 10-41 by the All Blacks.

Tonga’s World Cup record against stronger opposition suggests that it would be sensible to back them on the spread. But the manner in which Georgia’s pack dominated them means we are inclined to support a powerful Argentinian side that has seemed to have rediscovered its mojo.

 

Key Stats

  • Argentina haven’t faced a Pacific Island nation since 2005 when they lost to Samoa by 16 points
  • Los Pumas have an impressive pool stage record, prevailing in 10 of their last 14
  • Tonga haven’t faced opposition from the Rugby Championship since the last World Cup when they were beaten 10-41 by the All Blacks

 

Recommendation: Argentina -20.5 points 1.5