Rugby World Cup 2015: Argentina v Namibia

Posted: October 9, 2015

RUGBY WORLD CUP 2015

Pool C

Argentina v Namibia

Sunday, 11 October 22:00

As expected pre-tournament, Argentina are set to finish runners-up to the All Blacks in Pool C. The favourites have impressed throughout their campaign including pushing New Zealand all the way while they dismantled both Georgia and Tonga by combining powerful forward play with attacking flair from the backs. Los Pumas have proven they have the capacity to potentially go further than just a quarter-final sport. With progression to the final eight guaranteed they will no doubt take this opportunity rest some key players. Their opponents Namibia picked up their first ever World Cup point earlier this week as they came up just short: 16-17 against Georgia. On top of the four day turnaround, the Namibians have to cope with the shock news that their captain, Jacques Burger, announced his immediate retirement from international rugby after taking a blow to the head.

These two countries have only ever met at a World Cup and Argentina have recorded their largest pool stage wins on both occasions – a 67-14 win in 2003 and a 60-point victory in France eight years ago. Those wins are two of their seven against minnows at World Cups this century. Their average winning margin the fixtures is in-line with the current handicap line as they’ve prevailed by a mean of 41 points.

Namibia were so close to their first ever World Cup victory on Wednesday but they can still be proud that this is their best World Cup to date. They have yet to concede more than 60 points in a game like they did in each of the last three World Cups. They’ve been thrashed in all of their past matches against Rugby Championship sides at this level.

Backing Namibia with the points has proved profitable in their first three matches and usually we would be inclined to follow that trend but the loss of Burger could prove pivotal.  Argentina have already proven against Georgia that they have the ability to pile on the points so we are happy to side with them here.

 

Key Stats

  • Argentina have an average winning margin of 41 points against minnows at World cups since 2003
  • Argentina have won the past two head-to-heads by over 50 points
  • Namibia have lost their last 18 World Cup matches

 

Recommendation: Argentina -40.5 points 2.00